Conference League · Round of 16 March 19, 2026 21:00

Rayo Vallecano

#5 · 13 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Samsunspor

#12 · 10 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 41% win probability (draw 26%, Samsunspor 32%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Samsunspor. In 1 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Samsunspor.

Match statistics

6

Shots on target

2

1.23

Actual xG

0.93

44%

Possession

56%

13

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

41.11%

Rayo

26.02%

X

32.87%

Samsunspor ←

we assigned to the actual result (Samsunspor) 32.87% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Rayo

1.85

1.23

-0.62

Samsunspor

2.00

0.93

-1.07

xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 0.93). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	16
2	Raków Częstochowa	6	14
3	AEK Athens FC	6	13
4	Sparta Praha	6	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	13
7	FSV Mainz 05	6	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	12
9	Lausanne	6	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	10
12	Samsunspor	6	10
13	Celje	6	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	10
15	Fiorentina	6	9
16	HNK Rijeka	6	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	9
18	Omonia Nicosia	6	8
19	FC Noah	6	8
20	Drita	6	8
21	KuPS	6	7
22	Shkendija	6	7
23	Zrinjski	6	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	7
25	Universitatea Craiova	6	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC	6	7
27	Dynamo Kyiv	6	6
28	Legia Warszawa	6	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	6
30	Breidablik	6	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	4
32	BK Hacken	6	3
33	Hamrun Spartans	6	3
34	Shelbourne	6	2
35	Aberdeen	6	2
36	Rapid Vienna	6	1