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La Liga · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 19:00 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
#8 · 50 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Villarreal
#3 · 72 pts
S. Camello (ast. A. Ratiu) 28'
Alemao (ast. O. Trejo) 47'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Villarreal 36%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal. In 1 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Villarreal.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
2
1.52
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
1
Corners
9
28
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽S. Camello · ast. A. Ratiu
28'
46'
A. Gonzalez / T. Buchanan ↕
⚽Alemao · ast. O. Trejo
47'
F. Lejeune
61'
63'
G. Moreno / T. Oluwaseyi ↕
64'
T. Partey / S. Comesana ↕
↕ O. Trejo / P. Diaz
66'
72'
D. Parejo / P. Gueye ↕
↕ S. Camello / F. Perez
73'
↕ Alemao / C. Martin
74'
77'
L. Costa / W. Kambwala ↕
↕ P. Chavarria / Pacha
81'
U. Lopez
82'
↕ U. Lopez / A. Mumin
82'
90'+6
S. Mourino
Pre-match prediction
40.29%
Rayo ←
23.66%
X
36.05%
Villarreal
we assigned to the actual result (Rayo Vallecano) 40.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rayo
1.56
1.52
-0.04
Villarreal
1.54
1.00
-0.54
Rayo Vallecano dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 38 86
3 Villarreal Villarreal 38 72
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Real Betis 38 60
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe Getafe 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 38 50
9 Valencia Valencia 38 49
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 38 46
11 Espanyol Espanyol 38 46
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 38 45
13 Sevilla Sevilla 38 43
14 Alaves Alaves 38 43
15 Elche Elche 38 43
16 Levante Levante 38 42
17 Osasuna Osasuna 38 42
18 Mallorca Mallorca 38 42
19 Girona Girona 38 41
20 Oviedo Oviedo 38 29
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
13 Augusto Batalla Augusto Batalla G 7.30
3 Pep Chavarría Pep Chavarría 81' D 7.00
24 Florian Lejeune Florian Lejeune D 7.60
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 7.70
2 Andrei Rațiu Andrei Rațiu 1 👟 D 8.00
23 Óscar Valentín Óscar Valentín M 7.30
17 Unai López Unai López 82' M 7.20
10 Sergio Camello Sergio Camello 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90
8 Óscar Trejo Óscar Trejo 1 👟 66' M 7.90
19 Jorge de Frutos Jorge de Frutos M 7.20
9 Alemão Alemão 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.50
Bench
16 Abdul Mumin Abdul Mumin 14' D 6.60
14 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín 22' F 6.30
1 Dani Cárdenas Dani Cárdenas G
21 Fran Pérez Fran Pérez 23' M 6.70
15 Gerard Gumbau Gerard Gumbau M
20 Iván Balliu Iván Balliu D
33 Jozhua Vertrouwd Jozhua Vertrouwd D
30 Juanpe Juanpe G
32 N. Mendy N. Mendy D
22 Pacha Pacha 15' D 7.00
4 Pedro Díaz Pedro Díaz 30' M 6.30
11 Randy Nteka Randy Nteka M
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
25 Arnau Tenas Arnau Tenas G 7.30
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona D 6.20
4 Rafa Marín Rafa Marín D 6.30
5 Willy Kambwala Willy Kambwala 77' D 6.20
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño D 6.60
20 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro M 5.60
18 P. Gueye P. Gueye 72' M 6.70
14 Santi Comesaña Santi Comesaña 64' M 6.90
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan 45' M 6.50
21 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi 63' F 6.20
22 Ayoze Pérez Ayoze Pérez F 6.60
Bench
3 A. Freeman A. Freeman D
11 Alfon González Alfon González 51' F 6.50
24 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza D
10 Dani Parejo Dani Parejo 24' M 6.70
7 Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno 33' F 6.90
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze F
2 Logan Costa Logan Costa 19' D 6.60
1 Luiz Júnior Luiz Júnior G
19 N. Pépé N. Pépé F
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro D
16 Thomas Partey Thomas Partey 32' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu
D · Rayo
8.00
1 👟
· 44 pass
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello
M · Rayo
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 25 pass
Óscar Trejo
Óscar Trejo
M · Rayo
7.90
1 👟
· 42 pass
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
D · Rayo
7.70
· 56 pass
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune
D · Rayo
7.60
2 shots · 60 pass
Alemão
Alemão
F · Rayo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Augusto Batalla G 96 7.30 — — — 41 30% — — —
Pep Chavarría D 81 7.00 — — — 51 46% 1 — —
Florian Lejeune D 96 7.60 — — 2 60 56% 4 1 —
Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 96 7.70 — — — 56 51% 2 — —
Andrei Rațiu D 96 8.00 — 1 — 44 36% 3 — —
Óscar Valentín M 96 7.30 — — — 37 33% 6 — —
Unai López M 82 7.20 — — — 61 53% 3 1 —
Sergio Camello M 73 7.90 1 — 4 25 19% 1 — —
Óscar Trejo M 66 7.90 — 1 — 42 39% 3 — —
Jorge de Frutos M 96 7.20 — — 2 22 14% 2 — —
Alemão F 74 7.50 1 — 2 6 4% — — —
Abdul Mumin D 14 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
Carlos Martín F 22 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Fran Pérez M 23 6.70 — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
Pacha D 15 7.00 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
Pedro Díaz M 30 6.30 — — — 10 6% — — —
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Arnau Tenas G 96 7.30 — — — 31 23% — — —
Sergi Cardona D 96 6.20 — — 2 43 39% 2 — —
Rafa Marín D 96 6.30 — — — 31 26% 1 — —
Willy Kambwala D 77 6.20 — — — 35 30% — — —
S. Mouriño D 96 6.60 — — 1 48 43% 3 — —
Alberto Moleiro M 96 5.60 — — — 41 34% 2 — —
P. Gueye M 72 6.70 — — — 37 27% 1 — —
Santi Comesaña M 64 6.90 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
T. Buchanan M 45 6.50 — — — 8 7% 2 — —
T. Oluwaseyi F 63 6.20 — — 1 7 5% 2 — —
Ayoze Pérez F 96 6.60 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
Alfon González F 51 6.50 — — — 9 7% — — —
Dani Parejo M 24 6.70 — — — 18 15% — — —
Gerard Moreno F 33 6.90 — — — 20 17% — — —
Logan Costa D 19 6.60 — — — 12 12% — — —
Thomas Partey M 32 6.30 — — 2 25 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal.
What did the model predict before Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Rayo Vallecano win, 23% to a draw, and 36% to an Villarreal win.