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La Liga · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 19:00 Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
#14 · 4 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Villarreal
#17 · 2 pts
S. Camello (ast. A. Ratiu) 28'
Alemao (ast. O. Trejo) 47'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rayo Vallecano a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Villarreal 36%). The final result was Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal. In 1 previous meetings, Rayo Vallecano have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Villarreal.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
2
1.52
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
1
Corners
9
28
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽S. Camello · ast. A. Ratiu
28'
46'
A. Gonzalez / T. Buchanan ↕
⚽Alemao · ast. O. Trejo
47'
F. Lejeune
61'
63'
G. Moreno / T. Oluwaseyi ↕
64'
T. Partey / S. Comesana ↕
↕ O. Trejo / P. Diaz
66'
72'
D. Parejo / P. Gueye ↕
↕ S. Camello / F. Perez
73'
↕ Alemao / C. Martin
74'
77'
L. Costa / W. Kambwala ↕
↕ P. Chavarria / Pacha
81'
U. Lopez
82'
↕ U. Lopez / A. Mumin
82'
90'+6
S. Mourino
Pre-match prediction
40.29%
Rayo ←
23.66%
X
36.05%
Villarreal
we assigned to the actual result (Rayo Vallecano) 40.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Rayo
1.56
1.52
-0.04
Villarreal
1.54
1.00
-0.54
Rayo Vallecano dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Alaves Alaves 5 10
3 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
11 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 6
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 4 1
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
13 Augusto Batalla Augusto Batalla G 7.30
3 Pep Chavarría Pep Chavarría 81' D 7.00
24 F. Lejeune F. Lejeune D 7.60
6 P. Ciss P. Ciss D 7.70
2 A. Rațiu A. Rațiu 1 👟 D 8.00
23 Óscar Valentín Óscar Valentín M 7.30
17 Unai López Unai López 82' M 7.20
10 Sergio Camello Sergio Camello 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.90
8 Óscar Trejo Óscar Trejo 1 👟 66' M 7.90
19 Jorge de Frutos Jorge de Frutos M 7.20
9 Alemão Alemão 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.50
Bench
16 Abdul Mumin Abdul Mumin 14' D 6.60
22 A. Espino A. Espino 15' D 7.00
14 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín 22' F 6.30
1 Dani Cárdenas Dani Cárdenas G
21 Fran Pérez Fran Pérez 23' M 6.70
15 Gerard Gumbau Gerard Gumbau M
20 I. Balliu I. Balliu D
33 Jozhua Vertrouwd Jozhua Vertrouwd D
30 Juanpe Juanpe G
32 N. Mendy N. Mendy D
4 Pedro Díaz Pedro Díaz 30' M 6.30
11 R. Nteka R. Nteka M
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
25 Arnau Tenas Arnau Tenas G 7.30
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona D 6.20
4 Rafa Marín Rafa Marín D 6.30
5 Willy Kambwala Ndengushi Willy Kambwala Ndengushi 77' D 6.20
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño D 6.60
20 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro M 5.60
18 P. Gueye P. Gueye 72' M 6.70
14 Santi Comesaña Santi Comesaña 64' M 6.90
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan 45' M 6.50
21 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi 63' F 6.20
22 Ayoze Pérez Ayoze Pérez F 6.60
Bench
3 A. Freeman A. Freeman D
11 Alfon González Alfon González 51' F 6.50
24 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza D
10 Dani Parejo Dani Parejo 24' M 6.70
7 Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno 33' F 6.90
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze F
2 Logan Costa Logan Costa 19' D 6.60
1 Luíz Júnior Luíz Júnior G
19 N. Pépé N. Pépé F
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro D
16 T. Partey T. Partey 32' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
A. Rațiu
A. Rațiu
D · Rayo
8.00
1 👟
· 44 pass
Óscar Trejo
Óscar Trejo
M · Rayo
7.90
1 👟
· 42 pass
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello
M · Rayo
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 25 pass
P. Ciss
P. Ciss
D · Rayo
7.70
· 56 pass
F. Lejeune
F. Lejeune
D · Rayo
7.60
2 shots · 60 pass
Alemão
Alemão
F · Rayo
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Augusto Batalla G 96 7.30 — — — 41 30% — — —
Pep Chavarría D 81 7.00 — — — 51 46% 1 — —
F. Lejeune D 96 7.60 — — 2 60 56% 4 1 —
P. Ciss D 96 7.70 — — — 56 51% 2 — —
A. Rațiu D 96 8.00 — 1 — 44 36% 3 — —
Óscar Valentín M 96 7.30 — — — 37 33% 6 — —
Unai López M 82 7.20 — — — 61 53% 3 1 —
Sergio Camello M 73 7.90 1 — 4 25 19% 1 — —
Óscar Trejo M 66 7.90 — 1 — 42 39% 3 — —
Jorge de Frutos M 96 7.20 — — 2 22 14% 2 — —
Alemão F 74 7.50 1 — 2 6 4% — — —
Abdul Mumin D 14 6.60 — — — 4 4% — — —
A. Espino D 15 7.00 — — — 4 4% 2 — —
Carlos Martín F 22 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Fran Pérez M 23 6.70 — — 1 4 4% 1 — —
Pedro Díaz M 30 6.30 — — — 10 6% — — —
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Arnau Tenas G 96 7.30 — — — 31 23% — — —
Sergi Cardona D 96 6.20 — — 2 43 39% 2 — —
Rafa Marín D 96 6.30 — — — 31 26% 1 — —
Willy Kambwala Ndengushi D 77 6.20 — — — 35 30% — — —
S. Mouriño D 96 6.60 — — 1 48 43% 3 — —
Alberto Moleiro M 96 5.60 — — — 41 34% 2 — —
P. Gueye M 72 6.70 — — — 37 27% 1 — —
Santi Comesaña M 64 6.90 — — — 26 23% 1 — —
T. Buchanan M 45 6.50 — — — 8 7% 2 — —
T. Oluwaseyi F 63 6.20 — — 1 7 5% 2 — —
Ayoze Pérez F 96 6.60 — — — 12 9% 2 — —
Alfon González F 51 6.50 — — — 9 7% — — —
Dani Parejo M 24 6.70 — — — 18 15% — — —
Gerard Moreno F 33 6.90 — — — 20 17% — — —
Logan Costa D 19 6.60 — — — 12 12% — — —
T. Partey M 32 6.30 — — 2 25 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?
The final score was Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Villarreal.
What did the model predict before Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Rayo Vallecano win, 23% to a draw, and 36% to an Villarreal win.