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RB Bragantino - Atletico-MG

Copa Sudamericana August 12, 2026 22:00
RB Bragantino
#2 · 10 pts
vs
Atletico-MG
#1 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.19%
Win
RB Bragantino
24.84%
Draw
25.96%
Win
Atletico-MG
1.83
Expected xG
1.07

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.91%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 49%
X 25%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 51%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
✓ 80.9% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5 55%
✓ 63.2% hit rate (19 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives RB Bragantino a 49% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Atletico-MG. Expected goals are 1.8 for RB Bragantino and 1.1 for Atletico-MG (total 2.9), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.91% probability. In 1 previous meetings, RB Bragantino have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atletico-MG.

Season Stats

RB Bragantino
4W 2D 2L
Atletico-MG
8W 4D 3L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.3
0.6
Conceded
0.8
6.4
Shots OT
4.0
5.6
Corners
3.5
53%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
53%
25%
O 2.5
40%
25%
BTTS
47%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
28%
O 3.5
43%
BTTS
RB Bragantino
3W 0D 1L · at home
Atletico-MG
2W 5D 3L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.1
0.8
Conceded
1.2
75%
Win %
20%
75%
Win or Draw
70%
50%
O 1.5
60%
25%
O 2.5
40%
25%
O 3.5
30%
25%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
30%
25%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ RB Bragantino Atletico-MG →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.0% 10.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
W Sporting Cristal 1–0
D Sporting Cristal 0–0
W Carabobo FC 2–0
D River Plate 1–1
W Blooming 0–6
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W Puerto Cabello 1–0
W Cienciano 2–0
D Juventud 2–2
L Cienciano 1–0
W Juventud 2–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
Attack
39
Defence
77
Form
63
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
37
Defence
68
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
RB Bragantino
0
Draw
0
Atletico-MG
4 Feb 2026 Brasileirão Série A 1–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?
The model gives RB Bragantino a 49% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 25% for an Atletico-MG win.
How many goals are expected in RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?
Expected goals: RB Bragantino 1.8, Atletico-MG 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in RB Bragantino vs Atletico-MG?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.91%.