Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 30
October 13, 2026 02:00
✓Model correct — prediction RB Bragantino
Lucas Henrique Barbosa
(ast. Eric Ramires)
13'
Kaio Jorge
20'
(og)
Eric Ramires
30'
Jose Herrera
(ast. Isidro Pitta)
90'+1
43'
(ast. Kaio Jorge)
Zé Lucas
89'
Matheus Henrique
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Bragantino a 59% win probability (draw 16%, Cruzeiro 24%). The final result was RB Bragantino 4–2 Cruzeiro. In 1 previous meetings, RB Bragantino have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cruzeiro.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
25
10
Shots on target
13
2.68
Actual xG
2.80
11
Saves
7
31%
Possession
69%
7
Corners
6
8
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Guzman Rodriguez
10'
⚽Lucas Henrique Barbosa
· ast. Eric Ramires
13'
18'
William
⚽Kaio Jorge
(og)
20'
Ryan Augusto
28'
⚽Eric Ramires
30'
43'
ast. Kaio Jorge ·
Zé Lucas⚽
45'
Fabrício Bruno
/
William
45'
Matías Viña
/
Gabriel Rojas
Gustavo Marques Alves dos Santos
/ Eduardo Santos
58'
63'
Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
/
João Marcelo
63'
Matheus Henrique
/
Zé Lucas
Wallace Yan
/ Matheus Fernandes
65'
Eduardo Sasha
/ Isidro Pitta
66'
Eric Ramires
/ Gabriel Girotto
66'
77'
Felipe Morais
78'
Bruno Rodrigues
/
Felipe Morais
Lucas Henrique Barbosa
/ Jose Herrera
81'
88'
89'
Matheus Henrique⚽
⚽Jose Herrera
· ast. Isidro Pitta
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
59.68%
RB ←
16.31%
X
24.02%
Cruzeiro
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (RB Bragantino)
59.68%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.00
2.68
-1.32
2.46
2.80
+0.34
xG dominance was balanced (2.68 – 2.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
Tiago Volpi
G
Tiago Volpi
G
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
Juninho Capixaba
D
2
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
16
Gustavo Marques
58'
D
Gustavo Marques
58'
D
52
Ryan Tavares
D
Ryan Tavares
D
5
Fabinho
M
Fabinho
M
7
Eric Ramires
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
M
Eric Ramires
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
M
11
Fernando
M
Fernando
M
47
Wallace
65'
M
Wallace
65'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
1 ⚽
81'
M
Lucas Barbosa
1 ⚽
81'
M
8
Eduardo Sasha
66'
F
Eduardo Sasha
66'
F
Bench
23
A. Sant'Anna
D
A. Sant'Anna
D
19
Bruninho
F
Bruninho
F
1
Cleiton
G
Cleiton
G
3
Eduardo Santos
32'
D
Eduardo Santos
32'
D
6
Gabriel
24'
M
Gabriel
24'
M
22
Gustavinho
M
Gustavinho
M
9
I. Pitta
1 👟
24'
F
I. Pitta
1 👟
24'
F
15
I. Sosa
M
I. Sosa
M
32
J. Herrera
1 ⚽
9'
F
J. Herrera
1 ⚽
9'
F
35
Matheus Fernandes
25'
M
Matheus Fernandes
25'
M
12
Vanderlan
D
Vanderlan
D
17
Vinicius
F
Vinicius
F
81
Otávio Costa
G
Otávio Costa
G
27
Gabriel Rojas
45'
D
Gabriel Rojas
45'
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
D
Jonathan Jesus
D
43
João Marcelo
63'
D
João Marcelo
63'
D
12
William Furtado
45'
D
William Furtado
45'
D
8
Gerson
M
Gerson
M
5
Zé Lucas
1 ⚽
63'
M
Zé Lucas
1 ⚽
63'
M
38
Felipe Morais
78'
M
Felipe Morais
78'
M
10
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
99
Keny Arroyo
M
Keny Arroyo
M
19
Kaio Jorge
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Kaio Jorge
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
9
Bruno Rodrigues
12'
F
Bruno Rodrigues
12'
F
1
Cássio
G
Cássio
G
15
Fabrício Bruno
45'
D
Fabrício Bruno
45'
D
2
Kauã Moraes
D
Kauã Moraes
D
70
Kenji
F
Kenji
F
16
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
25
Lucas Villalba
D
Lucas Villalba
D
97
Luciano Rodríguez
F
Luciano Rodríguez
F
11
Marquinhos
F
Marquinhos
F
7
Matheus Henrique
1 ⚽
27'
M
Matheus Henrique
1 ⚽
27'
M
6
Matías Viña
45'
D
Matías Viña
45'
D
20
Wesley
27'
F
Wesley
27'
F
Best on the pitch
Tiago Volpi
G · RB
8.79
· 32 pass
Eric Ramires
M · RB
7.96
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
Zé Lucas
M · Cruzeiro
7.94
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 47 pass
Otávio Costa
G · Cruzeiro
7.40
· 22 pass
J. Herrera
F · RB
7.36
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Gerson
M · Cruzeiro
7.20
4 shots
· 87 pass
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | G | 90 | 8.79 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Guzmán Rodríguez | D | 90 | 5.64 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 17% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 58 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Tavares | D | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabinho | M | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 66 | 7.96 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Fernando | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 5 | 25 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Wallace | M | 65 | 6.71 | — | — | 5 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 81 | 6.83 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 66 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | 32 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel | M | 24 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 24 | 6.38 | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Herrera | F | 9 | 7.36 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 25 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio Costa | G | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabriel Rojas | D | 45 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 78 | 77% | 6 | — | — |
| João Marcelo | D | 63 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| William Furtado | D | 45 | 5.33 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gerson | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 87 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Lucas | M | 63 | 7.94 | 1 | — | 2 | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Morais | M | 78 | 6.03 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 5 | 56 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| Keny Arroyo | M | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 4 | 37 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 90 | 6.77 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Rodrigues | F | 12 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 45 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 27 | 7.14 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Matías Viña | D | 45 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Wesley | F | 27 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was RB Bragantino 4–2 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 59% probability to a RB Bragantino win, 16% to a draw, and 24% to an Cruzeiro win.