Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 24
August 23, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction RB Bragantino
Gustavo Marques
(ast. Gustavo Neves)
90'+5
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Bragantino a 50% win probability (draw 29%, Gremio 19%). The final result was RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, RB Bragantino have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Gremio.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
1
2.76
Actual xG
0.53
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
5
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
Juninho Capixaba
25'
45'+3
E. Noriega
46'
C. Pavon
/
Tete
64'
J. Cabral
/
F. Amuzu
Eric Ramires
/ Fabinho
64'
J. Herrera
/ H. Mosquera
64'
A. Sant'Anna
72'
Lucas Barbosa
/ Eduardo Sasha
72'
76'
Weverton
86'
Wallace
Rodriguinho
/ Gustavo Neves
86'
Vinicinho
/ Yuri Alves
86'
88'
Carlos Vinicius
/
F. Krovinovic
90'+2
Danilo Barbosa
/
E. Noriega
⚽Gustavo Marques
· ast. Gustavo Neves
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
50.86%
RB ←
29.88%
X
19.26%
Gremio
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (RB Bragantino)
50.86%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
2.76
+1.64
0.57
0.53
-0.04
RB Bragantino dominated by xG (2.76 vs 0.53).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
Tiago Volpi
G
Tiago Volpi
G
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
Juninho Capixaba
D
16
Gustavo Marques
1 ⚽
D
Gustavo Marques
1 ⚽
D
14
Pedro Henrique
D
Pedro Henrique
D
23
A. Sant'Anna
D
A. Sant'Anna
D
20
Rodriguinho
86'
M
Rodriguinho
86'
M
7
Eric Ramires
64'
M
Eric Ramires
64'
M
17
Vinicius
86'
M
Vinicius
86'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
72'
M
Lucas Barbosa
72'
M
32
J. Herrera
64'
M
J. Herrera
64'
M
9
I. Pitta
F
I. Pitta
F
Bench
4
Alix
D
Alix
D
1
Cleiton
G
Cleiton
G
8
Eduardo Sasha
18'
F
Eduardo Sasha
18'
F
5
Fabinho
26'
M
Fabinho
26'
M
6
Gabriel
M
Gabriel
M
22
Gustavinho
1 👟
11'
M
Gustavinho
1 👟
11'
M
2
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
30
Henry Mosquera
26'
F
Henry Mosquera
26'
F
15
I. Sosa
M
I. Sosa
M
34
J. Hurtado
D
J. Hurtado
D
35
Matheus Fernandes
M
Matheus Fernandes
M
41
Yuri Alves de Aquino
11'
M
Yuri Alves de Aquino
11'
M
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
23
Marlon
D
Marlon
D
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
82
Wallace
D
Wallace
D
27
Diego Caito
D
Diego Caito
D
8
E. Noriega
89'
M
E. Noriega
89'
M
9
F. Amuzu
64'
M
F. Amuzu
64'
M
10
F. Krovinović
88'
M
F. Krovinović
88'
M
20
M. Villasanti
M
M. Villasanti
M
21
Tetê
45'
M
Tetê
45'
M
22
M. Braithwaite
F
M. Braithwaite
F
Bench
95
Carlos Vinícius
9'
F
Carlos Vinícius
9'
F
7
C. Pavón
45'
F
C. Pavón
45'
F
15
Danilo Barbosa
1'
M
Danilo Barbosa
1'
M
2
F. Balbuena
D
F. Balbuena
D
12
Gabriel Grando
G
Gabriel Grando
G
37
Gabriel Mec
F
Gabriel Mec
F
99
J. Enamorado
F
J. Enamorado
F
77
Jovane Cabral
26'
F
Jovane Cabral
26'
F
43
Luis Guedes
D
Luis Guedes
D
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
30
Matheus Nascimento
F
Matheus Nascimento
F
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Marques
D · RB
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 77 pass
Juninho Capixaba
D · RB
7.90
3 shots
· 62 pass
Pedro Henrique
D · RB
7.90
· 77 pass
Wallace
D · Gremio
7.90
2 shots
· 35 pass
Vinicius
M · RB
7.60
· 20 pass
Rodriguinho
M · RB
7.30
2 shots
· 37 pass
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 62 | 54% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 77 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Sant'Anna | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinicius | M | 86 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Herrera | M | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 26 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavinho | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Henry Mosquera | F | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Yuri Alves de Aquino | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Marlon | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Wagner Leonardo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Wallace | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Caito | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Noriega | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Amuzu | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| F. Krovinović | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Villasanti | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Tetê | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Pavón | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Danilo Barbosa | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
The final score was RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio.
What did the model predict before RB Bragantino vs Gremio?
The model assigned 50% probability to a RB Bragantino win, 29% to a draw, and 19% to an Gremio win.