Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
May 01, 2026 02:30
90'+3
(ast. L. Silva)
L. Martinez Quarta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Bragantino a 41% win probability (draw 32%, River Plate 26%). The final result was RB Bragantino 0–1 River Plate.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
6
1.28
Actual xG
0.38
5
Saves
5
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
6
20
Tackles
14
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Matheus Fernandes
10'
Eduardo Sasha
18'
22'
I. Subiabre
Matheus Fernandes
/ Gustavo Neves
35'
Alix Vinicius
36'
41'
J. Meza
46'
Giuliano Galoppo
/
J. Meza
46'
K. Paez
/
I. Subiabre
47'
L. Martinez Quarta
⚽Eduardo Sasha
(missed pen.)
53'
Gabriel
55'
Gustavo Neves
56'
Alix Vinicius
59'
Alix Vinicius
59'
Eduardo Sasha
/ Gustavo Marques
61'
Gabriel
/ Fabinho
81'
J. Herrera
/ Fernando Santos
81'
83'
J. Freitas
/
T. Galvan
90'+3
ast. L. Silva ·
L. Martinez Quarta⚽
90'+8
L. Rivero
90'
L. Silva
/
A. Moreno
90'
A. Ruberto
/
M. Salas
Pre-match prediction
41.71%
RB
32.29%
X
26.0%
River ←
we assigned to the actual result (River Plate)
26.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
1.28
+0.08
0.83
0.38
-0.45
RB Bragantino dominated by xG (1.28 vs 0.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
Juninho Capixaba
D
14
D
4
Alix Vinicius
59'
D
Alix Vinicius
59'
D
34
José Andrés Hurtado
D
José Andrés Hurtado
D
6
Gabriel Girotto
81'
M
Gabriel Girotto
81'
M
35
Matheus Fernandes
35'
M
8
Eduardo Sasha
61'
M
Eduardo Sasha
61'
M
32
José Herrera
81'
F
José Herrera
81'
F
9
I. Pitta
F
I. Pitta
F
21
Lucas Barbosa
F
Lucas Barbosa
F
Bench
51
Caue Nascimento
D
7
Eric Ramires
M
Eric Ramires
M
5
Fabinho
18'
M
11
Fernando
18'
F
Fernando
18'
F
16
Gustavo Marques
38'
D
Gustavo Marques
38'
D
22
Gustavo Neves
64'
M
Gustavo Neves
64'
M
57
Marcelinho Braz
M
Marcelinho Braz
M
20
Rodriguinho
M
Rodriguinho
M
17
Vinicinho
F
Vinicinho
F
41
Santiago Beltrán
G
Santiago Beltrán
G
21
Marcos Acuña
D
Marcos Acuña
D
13
Lautaro Rivero
D
Lautaro Rivero
D
28
Lucas Martínez Quarta
1 ⚽
D
Lucas Martínez Quarta
1 ⚽
D
29
Gonzalo Montiel
D
Gonzalo Montiel
D
26
Tomás Galván
83'
M
Tomás Galván
83'
M
6
Aníbal Moreno
M
Aníbal Moreno
M
24
Juan Cruz Meza
45'
M
Juan Cruz Meza
45'
M
38
Ian Subiabre
45'
M
Ian Subiabre
45'
M
11
Facundo Colidio
F
Facundo Colidio
F
7
Maximiliano Salas
F
Maximiliano Salas
F
Bench
32
A. Ruberto
9'
F
33
Ezequiel Centurión
G
Ezequiel Centurión
G
16
Fabricio Bustos
D
Fabricio Bustos
D
20
Germán Pezzella
D
Germán Pezzella
D
34
Giuliano Galoppo
54'
M
Giuliano Galoppo
54'
M
35
Joaquin Freitas
16'
F
Joaquin Freitas
16'
F
19
Kendry Páez
54'
M
Kendry Páez
54'
M
44
Lucas Silva
1 👟
9'
M
Lucas Silva
1 👟
9'
M
18
Matías Viña
D
Matías Viña
D
39
Santiago Lencina
M
Santiago Lencina
M
Best on the pitch
Santiago Beltrán
G · River
8.60
· 13 pass
I. Pitta
F · RB
7.60
2 shots
· 14 pass
Aníbal Moreno
M · River
7.30
1 shots
· 62 pass
Lucas Martínez Quarta
D · River
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
Tomás Galván
M · River
7.20
· 38 pass
Lucas Silva
M · River
6.90
1 👟
· 4 pass
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Alix Vinicius | D | 59 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | M | 61 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| José Herrera | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 99 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | F | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Fernando | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
River Plate — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Beltrán | G | 99 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Acuña | D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Lautaro Rivero | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Martínez Quarta | D | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Montiel | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Galván | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Aníbal Moreno | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 50% | 5 | — | — |
| Juan Cruz Meza | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ian Subiabre | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Facundo Colidio | F | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Salas | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Ruberto | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuliano Galoppo | M | 54 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquin Freitas | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kendry Páez | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 9 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RB Bragantino vs River Plate?
The final score was RB Bragantino 0–1 River Plate.
What did the model predict before RB Bragantino vs River Plate?
The model assigned 41% probability to a RB Bragantino win, 32% to a draw, and 26% to an River Plate win.