Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 32
July 30, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction RB Bragantino
Pedro Henrique
(ast. Lucas Barbosa)
59'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Bragantino a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Sporting Cristal 17%). The final result was RB Bragantino 1–0 Sporting Cristal. In 1 previous meetings, RB Bragantino have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sporting Cristal.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
2
1.67
Actual xG
0.42
2
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
11
Corners
0
10
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
6'
M. Tavara
12'
Cristiano
46'
M. Castro
/
I. Wisdom
Pedro Henrique
48'
56'
M. Tavara
56'
M. Tavara
J. Herrera
/ I. Pitta
59'
⚽Pedro Henrique
· ast. Lucas Barbosa
59'
63'
C. Cabellos
/
J. Gonzalez
Eduardo Sasha
65'
Matheus Fernandes
71'
Matheus Fernandes
/ Eric Ramires
74'
Eduardo Sasha
/ Gustavo Neves
74'
77'
M. Hoyos
/
H. Barcos
H. Mosquera
83'
Rodriguinho
/ I. Sosa
85'
H. Mosquera
/ Vinicinho
85'
90'+3
Gabriel
/
S. Gonzalez
90'+3
L. Diaz
/
L. Abram
Pre-match prediction
61.07%
RB ←
21.2%
X
17.73%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (RB Bragantino)
61.07%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
1.67
-0.53
0.86
0.42
-0.44
RB Bragantino dominated by xG (1.67 vs 0.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Cleiton
G
Cleiton
G
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
Juninho Capixaba
D
4
Alix
D
Alix
D
14
Pedro Henrique
1 ⚽
D
Pedro Henrique
1 ⚽
D
23
A. Sant'Anna
D
A. Sant'Anna
D
35
Matheus Fernandes
74'
M
Matheus Fernandes
74'
M
20
Rodriguinho
85'
M
Rodriguinho
85'
M
30
Henry Mosquera
85'
M
Henry Mosquera
85'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
1 👟
M
Lucas Barbosa
1 👟
M
32
J. Herrera
59'
M
J. Herrera
59'
M
8
Eduardo Sasha
74'
F
Eduardo Sasha
74'
F
Bench
3
Eduardo Santos
D
Eduardo Santos
D
7
Eric Ramires
23'
M
Eric Ramires
23'
M
5
Fabinho
M
Fabinho
M
6
Gabriel
M
Gabriel
M
22
Gustavinho
23'
M
Gustavinho
23'
M
2
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
Guzmán Rodríguez
D
9
I. Pitta
38'
F
I. Pitta
38'
F
15
I. Sosa
12'
M
I. Sosa
12'
M
34
J. Hurtado
D
J. Hurtado
D
57
Marcelinho Braz
M
Marcelinho Braz
M
18
Tiago Volpi
G
Tiago Volpi
G
17
Vinicius
12'
F
Vinicius
12'
F
1
D. Enríquez
G
D. Enríquez
G
5
R. Lutiger
D
R. Lutiger
D
96
L. Abram
D
L. Abram
D
20
M. Araujo
D
M. Araujo
D
90
Cris Silva
M
Cris Silva
M
25
G. Távara
56'
M
G. Távara
56'
M
19
Y. Yotún
M
Y. Yotún
M
18
J. González
63'
M
J. González
63'
M
26
Ian Wisdom
45'
F
Ian Wisdom
45'
F
29
H. Barcos
77'
F
H. Barcos
77'
F
7
S. González
F
S. González
F
Bench
4
Anderson Villacorta
D
Anderson Villacorta
D
33
C. Bautista
G
C. Bautista
G
21
C. Cabellos
34'
M
C. Cabellos
34'
M
2
Duham Ballumbrosio
D
Duham Ballumbrosio
D
27
Gabriel
4'
M
Gabriel
4'
M
44
Gerson Castillo
M
Gerson Castillo
M
11
I. Ávila
F
I. Ávila
F
41
Joao Cuenca
D
Joao Cuenca
D
32
L. Díaz
4'
D
L. Díaz
4'
D
16
L. Iberico
F
L. Iberico
F
23
M. Castro
52'
F
M. Castro
52'
F
22
M. Hoyos
20'
M
M. Hoyos
20'
M
Best on the pitch
Cleiton
G · RB
8.50
· 25 pass
Pedro Henrique
D · RB
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 38 pass
H. Barcos
F · Sporting
7.60
1 shots
· 26 pass
A. Sant'Anna
D · RB
7.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
L. Abram
D · Sporting
7.30
· 22 pass
Cris Silva
M · Sporting
7.20
· 28 pass
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleiton | G | 97 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Alix | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Sant'Anna | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Henry Mosquera | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Herrera | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gustavinho | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| I. Sosa | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Enríquez | G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 18% | — | — | — |
| R. Lutiger | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Abram | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Araujo | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Cris Silva | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 4 | 1 | — |
| G. Távara | M | 56 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Y. Yotún | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. González | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Ian Wisdom | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| H. Barcos | F | 77 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. González | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Cabellos | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Díaz | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Castro | F | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hoyos | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RB Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal?
The final score was RB Bragantino 1–0 Sporting Cristal.
What did the model predict before RB Bragantino vs Sporting Cristal?
The model assigned 61% probability to a RB Bragantino win, 21% to a draw, and 17% to an Sporting Cristal win.