Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 16
May 17, 2026 23:30
✓Model correct — prediction RB Bragantino
Tiago Volpi
41'
(pen.)
Lucas Barbosa
(ast. Fernando Santos)
90'+10
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Bragantino a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Vitoria 21%). The final result was RB Bragantino 2–0 Vitoria.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
2.40
Actual xG
0.27
2
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
6
19
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
Jamerson
H. Mosquera
24'
⚽Tiago Volpi
(pen.)
41'
Juninho Capixaba
45'+2
45'+5
Jair Ventura
46'
Claudinho
/
Edenilson
Pedro Henrique
46'
63'
D. Tarzia
/
Erick
A. Sant'Anna
65'
H. Mosquera
/ Eduardo Sasha
70'
J. Herrera
/ Fernando Santos
71'
72'
Ze Vitor
75'
Lucas Silva
/
Ze Vitor
Gustavo Neves
/ Eric Ramires
77'
Gabriel
/ Alix Vinicius
82'
I. Pitta
/ Rodriguinho
82'
84'
R. Lopez
/
Rene
84'
Fabricio
/
Matheuzinho
⚽Eduardo Sasha
(missed pen.)
89'
⚽Lucas Barbosa
· ast. Fernando Santos
90'+10
Pre-match prediction
56.38%
RB ←
22.57%
X
21.04%
Vitoria
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (RB Bragantino)
56.38%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
2.40
+0.57
0.93
0.27
-0.66
RB Bragantino dominated by xG (2.40 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
Tiago Volpi
1 ⚽
G
Tiago Volpi
1 ⚽
G
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
Juninho Capixaba
D
16
Gustavo Marques
D
Gustavo Marques
D
14
Pedro Henrique
D
Pedro Henrique
D
23
Agustin Sant Anna
D
Agustin Sant Anna
D
6
Gabriel
82'
M
Gabriel
82'
M
22
Gustavo Neves
77'
M
Gustavo Neves
77'
M
30
Henry Mosquera
70'
M
Henry Mosquera
70'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
1 ⚽
M
Lucas Barbosa
1 ⚽
M
32
José Herrera
71'
M
José Herrera
71'
M
9
I. Pitta
82'
F
I. Pitta
82'
F
Bench
4
Alix
19'
D
Alix
19'
D
46
Breno de Moraes
D
Breno de Moraes
D
1
Cleiton
G
Cleiton
G
8
Eduardo Sasha
31'
F
Eduardo Sasha
31'
F
7
Eric Ramires
24'
M
Eric Ramires
24'
M
11
Fernando
1 👟
30'
F
Fernando
1 👟
30'
F
15
Ignacio Sosa
M
Ignacio Sosa
M
34
José Andrés Hurtado
D
José Andrés Hurtado
D
57
Marcelinho Braz
M
Marcelinho Braz
M
20
Rodriguinho
19'
M
Rodriguinho
19'
M
12
Vanderlan
D
Vanderlan
D
17
Vinicinho
F
Vinicinho
F
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
83
Jamerson
D
Jamerson
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
95
Caique Gonçalves
D
Caique Gonçalves
D
26
Edenilson
45'
D
Edenilson
45'
D
88
Zé Vitor
75'
M
Zé Vitor
75'
M
6
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
44
Gabriel Baralhas
M
Gabriel Baralhas
M
10
Matheuzinho
84'
F
Matheuzinho
84'
F
91
Rene
84'
F
Rene
84'
F
33
Erick
63'
F
Erick
63'
F
Bench
2
Claudinho
56'
D
Claudinho
56'
D
12
Diego Tarzia
38'
D
Diego Tarzia
38'
D
23
Fabrício Santos
17'
F
Fabrício Santos
17'
F
22
Gabriel
G
Gabriel
G
55
José Breno
M
José Breno
M
20
Lucas Silva
26'
F
Lucas Silva
26'
F
7
Marinho
F
Marinho
F
77
Neris
D
Neris
D
11
Osvaldo
F
Osvaldo
F
31
Renzo López
17'
F
Renzo López
17'
F
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
41
Wendell dos Santos Sacramento
M
Wendell dos Santos Sacramento
M
Best on the pitch
Lucas Barbosa
M · RB
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Tiago Volpi
G · RB
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Fernando
F · RB
7.60
1 👟
· 7 pass
E. Martínez
M · Vitoria
7.30
· 43 pass
Rene
F · Vitoria
7.20
2 shots
· 9 pass
I. Pitta
F · RB
7.20
1 shots
· 18 pass
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | G | 101 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Agustin Sant Anna | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Neves | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Henry Mosquera | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 101 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| José Herrera | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Alix | D | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 31 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Fernando | F | 30 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 19 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Cacá | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Caique Gonçalves | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Edenilson | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | F | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rene | F | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Erick | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Claudinho | D | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabrício Santos | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | F | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Renzo López | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?
The final score was RB Bragantino 2–0 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before RB Bragantino vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 56% probability to a RB Bragantino win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Vitoria win.