RB Leipzig - Lens
Champions League
November 24, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.31%
Win
RB Leipzig
31.15%
Draw
30.54%
Win
Lens
1.33
0.87
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.22%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
31%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
62%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives RB Leipzig a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Lens. Expected goals are 1.3 for RB Leipzig and 0.9 for Lens (total 2.2), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.22% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
3.0
4.0
Conceded
2.0
4.0
Shots OT
8.0
5.0
Corners
9.0
51%
Poss.
63%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 1 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ RB Leipzig
Lens →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | — |
| 1 | 14.7% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
RB Leipzig
Attack
47
Defence
52
Form
32
Lens
Attack
52
Defence
53
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Lens?
The model gives RB Leipzig a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an Lens win.
How many goals are expected in RB Leipzig vs Lens?
Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.3, Lens 0.9 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in RB Leipzig vs Lens?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.22%.