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Champions League · League Stage - 2 October 13, 2026 21:00 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig
#30 · 3 pts
1 – 0
Final score
PSV Eindhoven
#18 · 4 pts
Brajan Gruda 75'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 38% win probability (draw 25%, RB Leipzig 36%). The final result was RB Leipzig 1–0 PSV Eindhoven.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
5
2.19
Actual xG
1.46
5
Saves
6
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
12
10
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
16'
19'
(missed pen.) Ivan Perišić⚽
43'
Sergiño Dest
↕ Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz / Tidiam Gomis
61'
⚽Brajan Gruda
75'
↕ Brajan Gruda / Rocco Reitz
76'
77'
Ryan Flamingo / Lutsharel Geertruida ↕
77'
Yarek Gasiorowski / Filip Kostić ↕
81'
Antonio Nusa
81'
84'
Ayoni Santos / Ruben van Bommel ↕
84'
Mikkel Bro Hansen / Sven Mijnans ↕
85'
Armando Obispo
↕ Ridle Baku / Nicolas Seiwald
86'
↕ Ezechiel Banzuzi / Lukas Klostermann
86'
Pre-match prediction
36.27%
RB ←
25.6%
X
38.13%
PSV
we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig) 36.27% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
RB
1.18
2.19
+1.01
PSV
1.43
1.46
+0.03
RB Leipzig dominated by xG (2.19 vs 1.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Lineups
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt M. Vandevoordt G 8.88
22 D. Raum D. Raum D 7.61
23 C. Lukeba C. Lukeba D 7.38
4 W. Orbán W. Orbán D 7.53
17 R. Baku R. Baku 86' D 7.48
6 E. Banzuzi E. Banzuzi 86' M 6.67
21 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui M 7.09
7 A. Nusa A. Nusa M 6.37
28 C. Nkunku C. Nkunku M 6.34
10 B. Gruda B. Gruda 1 ⚽ 76' M 8.20
40 Rômulo Rômulo 61' F 6.31
Bench
2 A. Koné A. Koné D 0.00
30 A. Maksimović A. Maksimović M 0.00
39 B. Henrichs B. Henrichs D 0.00
11 J. Bakayoko J. Bakayoko F 0.00
16 L. Klostermann L. Klostermann 4' D 6.97
35 Max Finkgräfe Max Finkgräfe D 0.00
3 M. Estève M. Estève D 0.00
13 N. Seiwald N. Seiwald 4' M 6.80
1 Ø. Nyland Ø. Nyland G 0.00
20 R. Reitz R. Reitz 14' M 6.77
27 T. Gomis T. Gomis 29' F 6.68
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
32 M. Kovář M. Kovář G 8.00
18 F. Kostić F. Kostić 77' D 6.76
4 A. Obispo A. Obispo D 6.43
2 L. Geertruida L. Geertruida 77' D 7.05
8 S. Dest S. Dest D 6.72
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior M 6.54
24 K. Sano K. Sano M 6.51
7 R. van Bommel R. van Bommel 84' M 7.13
20 G. Til G. Til M 6.37
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić M 6.81
21 S. Mijnans S. Mijnans 84' F 6.35
Bench
37 A. Bouhamdi A. Bouhamdi F 0.00
35 A. Santos A. Santos 6' M 6.10
27 D. Man D. Man F 0.00
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic F 0.00
23 M. Hansen M. Hansen 6' F 6.25
31 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez M 0.00
1 N. Olij N. Olij G 0.00
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo 13' D 6.62
42 S. Cornecion S. Cornecion M 0.00
51 T. Smolenaars T. Smolenaars G 0.00
3 Yarek Gasiorowski Yarek Gasiorowski 13' D 6.89
Best on the pitch
M. Vandevoordt
M. Vandevoordt
G · RB
8.88
· 41 pass
B. Gruda
B. Gruda
M · RB
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
M. Kovář
M. Kovář
G · PSV
8.00
· 41 pass
D. Raum
D. Raum
D · RB
7.61
· 44 pass
W. Orbán
W. Orbán
D · RB
7.53
3 shots · 39 pass
R. Baku
R. Baku
D · RB
7.48
2 shots · 28 pass
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Vandevoordt G 90 8.88 — — 0 41 32% 0 — —
D. Raum D 90 7.61 — — 0 44 38% 1 — —
C. Lukeba D 90 7.38 — — 0 47 44% 0 — —
W. Orbán D 90 7.53 — — 3 39 34% 3 — —
R. Baku D 86 7.48 — — 2 28 23% 1 — —
E. Banzuzi M 86 6.67 — — 4 17 13% 2 — —
N. El Aynaoui M 90 7.09 — — 1 34 32% 1 — —
A. Nusa M 90 6.37 — — 3 27 21% 2 1 —
C. Nkunku M 90 6.34 — — 1 19 12% 0 — —
B. Gruda M 76 8.20 1 — 3 24 21% 0 — —
Rômulo F 61 6.31 — — 2 11 6% 0 — —
L. Klostermann D 4 6.97 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
N. Seiwald M 4 6.80 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
R. Reitz M 14 6.77 — — 0 4 1% 0 — —
T. Gomis F 29 6.68 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Kovář G 90 8.00 — — 0 41 35% 0 — —
F. Kostić D 77 6.76 — — 1 31 23% 2 — —
A. Obispo D 90 6.43 — — 3 37 31% 2 1 —
L. Geertruida D 77 7.05 — — 0 44 43% 1 — —
S. Dest D 90 6.72 — — 1 61 51% 3 1 —
Mauro Júnior M 90 6.54 — — 0 39 34% 1 — —
K. Sano M 90 6.51 — — 0 47 39% 3 — —
R. van Bommel M 84 7.13 — — 2 27 21% 3 — —
G. Til M 90 6.37 — — 0 30 24% 1 — —
I. Perišić M 90 6.81 — — 1 31 24% 0 — —
S. Mijnans F 84 6.35 — — 2 33 26% 2 — —
A. Santos M 6 6.10 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
M. Hansen F 6 6.25 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
R. Flamingo D 13 6.62 — — 0 7 6% 1 — —
Yarek Gasiorowski D 13 6.89 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
The final score was RB Leipzig 1–0 PSV Eindhoven.
What did the model predict before RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model assigned 36% probability to a RB Leipzig win, 25% to a draw, and 38% to an PSV Eindhoven win.