RB Leipzig - Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League
January 20, 2027 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.67%
Win
RB Leipzig
35.74%
Draw
27.59%
Win
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.8
0.47
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.85%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
36%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
63%
12
64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives RB Leipzig a 36% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 27% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Expected goals are 0.8 for RB Leipzig and 0.5 for Shakhtar Donetsk (total 1.3), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.85% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
2L
1W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.3
2.7
Conceded
1.0
5.3
Shots OT
3.3
3.7
Corners
4.0
43%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
33%
67%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
0W
1D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
0.5
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
0%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ RB Leipzig
Shakhtar Donetsk →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27.9% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 22.4% | 10.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2 | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
RB Leipzig
Attack
56
Defence
51
Form
53
Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack
50
Defence
84
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
3 | 9 |
| 2 |
Aston Villa
|
3 | 9 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
3 | 9 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
3 | 9 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
3 | 9 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
3 | 7 |
| 7 |
Arsenal
|
3 | 7 |
| 8 |
Barcelona
|
3 | 6 |
| 9 |
Como
|
3 | 6 |
| 10 |
Manchester City
|
3 | 6 |
| 11 |
Club Brugge KV
|
3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Sporting CP
|
3 | 6 |
| 13 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
3 | 6 |
| 14 |
Bayern München
|
3 | 5 |
| 15 |
AS Roma
|
3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atletico Madrid
|
3 | 4 |
| 17 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
3 | 4 |
| 18 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
3 | 4 |
| 19 |
Villarreal
|
3 | 3 |
| 20 |
Inter
|
3 | 3 |
| 21 |
Manchester United
|
3 | 3 |
| 22 |
Napoli
|
3 | 3 |
| 23 |
Galatasaray
|
3 | 3 |
| 24 |
Lask Linz
|
3 | 3 |
| 25 |
Sabah FA
|
3 | 3 |
| 26 |
Feyenoord
|
3 | 3 |
| 27 |
Lens
|
3 | 3 |
| 28 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
3 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
3 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
3 | 3 |
| 31 |
Fenerbahçe
|
3 | 2 |
| 32 |
Slavia Praha
|
3 | 1 |
| 33 |
Viking
|
3 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Porto
|
3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
3 | 0 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
3 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The model gives RB Leipzig a 36% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 27% for an Shakhtar Donetsk win.
How many goals are expected in RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Expected goals: RB Leipzig 0.8, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.5 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in RB Leipzig vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.85%.