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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7 October 24, 2026 15:30 Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig
#5 · 12 pts
4 – 0
Final score
SV Elversberg
#8 · 10 pts
Tidiam Gomis (ast. Antonio Nusa) 48'
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz (ast. Antonio Nusa) 66'
Christoph Baumgartner (ast. Brajan Gruda) 84'
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz (ast. Abdoul Kone) 90'+4
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RB Leipzig a 45% win probability (draw 26%, SV Elversberg 27%). The final result was RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
1
2.91
Actual xG
0.68
1
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
4
Corners
6
29
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ Andrija Maksimović / Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
45'
⚽Tidiam Gomis · ast. Antonio Nusa
48'
59'
Raif Adam / Maurice Krattenmacher ↕
59'
Luca Sirch / Jan Gyamerah ↕
Rocco Reitz
59'
↕ Rocco Reitz / Brajan Gruda
62'
⚽Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz · ast. Antonio Nusa
66'
71'
Noel Futkeu / David Mokwa ↕
71'
Francis Onyeka / Frederik Schmahl ↕
↕ Antonio Nusa / Nicolas Seiwald
72'
↕ Ezechiel Banzuzi / Christoph Baumgartner
72'
74'
Lasse Günther
82'
Cole Campbell / Lasse Günther ↕
⚽Christoph Baumgartner · ast. Brajan Gruda
84'
↕ Tidiam Gomis / Abdoul Kone
87'
⚽Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz · ast. Abdoul Kone
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
45.47%
RB ←
26.6%
X
27.93%
SV
we assigned to the actual result (RB Leipzig) 45.47% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
RB
2.35
2.91
+0.56
SV
1.76
0.68
-1.09
RB Leipzig dominated by xG (2.91 vs 0.68). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-5-1
1 Ø. Nyland Ø. Nyland G 6.64
35 Max Finkgräfe Max Finkgräfe D 7.17
3 M. Estève M. Estève D 7.64
4 W. Orbán W. Orbán D 7.77
39 B. Henrichs B. Henrichs D 7.30
7 A. Nusa A. Nusa 2 👟 72' M 8.44
6 E. Banzuzi E. Banzuzi 72' M 6.51
21 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui M 7.11
20 R. Reitz R. Reitz 62' M 6.48
30 A. Maksimović A. Maksimović 45' M 7.10
27 T. Gomis T. Gomis 1 ⚽ 87' F 7.87
Bench
2 A. Koné A. Koné 1 👟 3' D 7.36
10 B. Gruda B. Gruda 1 👟 28' F 7.70
14 C. Baumgartner C. Baumgartner 1 ⚽ 18' M 7.41
23 C. Lukeba C. Lukeba D 0.00
22 D. Raum D. Raum D 0.00
26 M. Vandevoordt M. Vandevoordt G 0.00
13 N. Seiwald N. Seiwald 18' M 6.81
17 R. Baku R. Baku D 0.00
40 Rômulo Rômulo 2 ⚽ 45' F 8.81
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof N. Kristof G 5.55
21 L. Günther L. Günther 82' D 5.35
31 M. Rohr M. Rohr D 6.02
19 L. Pinckert L. Pinckert D 5.94
30 J. Gyamerah J. Gyamerah 59' D 5.74
8 Ł. Poręba Ł. Poręba M 6.39
43 F. Keidel F. Keidel M 6.47
7 M. Krattenmacher M. Krattenmacher 59' M 5.64
17 F. Schmahl F. Schmahl 71' M 5.72
25 L. Petkov L. Petkov M 6.31
42 D. Mokwa D. Mokwa 71' F 6.83
Bench
6 A. Condé A. Condé M 0.00
3 F. Le Joncour F. Le Joncour D 0.00
40 Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka 19' M 5.87
26 L. Sirch L. Sirch 31' D 6.09
9 N. Futkeu N. Futkeu 19' F 6.25
2 N. Mickelson N. Mickelson D 0.00
15 R. Adam R. Adam 31' F 6.36
28 T. Boss T. Boss G 0.00
39 William Cole Campbell William Cole Campbell 8' F 6.22
Best on the pitch
Rômulo
Rômulo
F · RB
8.81
2 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
A. Nusa
A. Nusa
M · RB
8.44
2 👟
1 shots · 19 pass
T. Gomis
T. Gomis
F · RB
7.87
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
W. Orbán
W. Orbán
D · RB
7.77
1 shots · 77 pass
B. Gruda
B. Gruda
F · RB
7.70
1 👟
· 15 pass
M. Estève
M. Estève
D · RB
7.64
1 shots · 72 pass
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ø. Nyland G 90 6.64 — — 0 42 30% 0 — —
Max Finkgräfe D 90 7.17 — — 0 43 34% 4 — —
M. Estève D 90 7.64 — — 1 72 65% 1 — —
W. Orbán D 90 7.77 — — 1 77 74% 2 — —
B. Henrichs D 90 7.30 — — 0 47 36% 7 — —
A. Nusa M 72 8.44 — 2 1 19 14% 2 — —
E. Banzuzi M 72 6.51 — — 0 26 22% 4 — —
N. El Aynaoui M 90 7.11 — — 2 44 41% 3 — —
R. Reitz M 62 6.48 — — 0 21 16% 0 1 —
A. Maksimović M 45 7.10 — — 0 24 21% 0 — —
T. Gomis F 87 7.87 1 — 3 21 13% 1 — —
A. Koné D 3 7.36 — 1 0 2 1% 0 — —
B. Gruda F 28 7.70 — 1 0 15 9% 3 — —
C. Baumgartner M 18 7.41 1 — 2 13 10% 0 — —
N. Seiwald M 18 6.81 — — 0 9 6% 0 — —
Rômulo F 45 8.81 2 — 3 12 10% 2 — —
SV Elversberg SV Elversberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Kristof G 90 5.55 — — 0 50 43% 0 — —
L. Günther D 82 5.35 — — 0 29 20% 3 1 —
M. Rohr D 90 6.02 — — 0 67 60% 2 — —
L. Pinckert D 90 5.94 — — 0 58 49% 2 — —
J. Gyamerah D 59 5.74 — — 0 25 19% 2 — —
Ł. Poręba M 90 6.39 — — 1 50 42% 0 — —
F. Keidel M 90 6.47 — — 0 34 32% 3 — —
M. Krattenmacher M 59 5.64 — — 1 9 6% 0 — —
F. Schmahl M 71 5.72 — — 1 13 8% 0 — —
L. Petkov M 90 6.31 — — 1 15 9% 1 — —
D. Mokwa F 71 6.83 — — 1 11 6% 0 — —
Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka M 19 5.87 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
L. Sirch D 31 6.09 — — 0 18 15% 3 — —
N. Futkeu F 19 6.25 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
R. Adam F 31 6.36 — — 0 8 5% 2 — —
William Cole Campbell F 8 6.22 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
The final score was RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg.
What did the model predict before RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
The model assigned 45% probability to a RB Leipzig win, 26% to a draw, and 27% to an SV Elversberg win.