✓Model correct — prediction Reading
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
54'
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
(ast. Josh Stokes)
68'
7'
Vimal Yoganathan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Reading a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Barnsley 22%). The final result was Reading 2–1 Barnsley. In 2 previous meetings, Reading have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Barnsley.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
0.89
Actual xG
0.77
2
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
7
18
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
7'
Vimal Yoganathan⚽
P. Lane
/ Randell Williams
34'
⚽Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
54'
Paudie O’Connor
60'
⚽Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
· ast. Josh Stokes
68'
73'
Tyrese Noslin
/
Vimal Yoganathan
73'
Makenzie Kirk
/
Tobi Adeyemo
Jacob Brown
/ Jamie Reid
77'
Josh Stokes
/ Charlie Savage
77'
82'
A. Richards
/
Arley Kay
83'
Royce Brownlie
/
Cameron McGeehan
88'
Jonathan Bland
/
Ziyad Larkeche
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
/ Daniel·Kyerewaa
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
51.93%
Reading ←
25.09%
X
22.98%
Barnsley
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Reading)
51.93%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
0.89
-0.96
0.90
0.77
-0.14
xG dominance was balanced (0.89 – 0.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Joel Pereira
G
Joel Pereira
G
5
H. Roberts
D
H. Roberts
D
3
J. Dorsett
D
J. Dorsett
D
15
P. O'Connor
D
P. O'Connor
D
2
U. Godwin-Malife
D
U. Godwin-Malife
D
4
A. Rinomhota
M
A. Rinomhota
M
10
L. Wing
M
L. Wing
M
32
P. Lane
34'
M
P. Lane
34'
M
28
J. Stokes
1 👟
77'
M
J. Stokes
1 👟
77'
M
19
Kyreece Lisbie
2 ⚽
89'
M
Kyreece Lisbie
2 ⚽
89'
M
18
J. Brown
77'
F
J. Brown
77'
F
Bench
8
C. Savage
13'
M
C. Savage
13'
M
11
D. Kyerewaa
1'
M
D. Kyerewaa
1'
M
20
J. Knight
D
J. Knight
D
9
J. Reid
13'
F
J. Reid
13'
F
25
J. Stevens
G
J. Stevens
G
6
L. Fraser
M
L. Fraser
M
14
R. Williams
56'
M
R. Williams
56'
M
1
C. Slicker
G
C. Slicker
G
3
Z. Larkeche
88'
D
Z. Larkeche
88'
D
5
J. Shepherd
D
J. Shepherd
D
4
S. Gale
D
S. Gale
D
2
A. Kay
82'
D
A. Kay
82'
D
48
L. Connell
M
L. Connell
M
8
C. McGeehan
83'
M
C. McGeehan
83'
M
19
R. Cleary
M
R. Cleary
M
22
Patrick Kelly
M
Patrick Kelly
M
45
Vimal Yoganathan
1 ⚽
73'
M
Vimal Yoganathan
1 ⚽
73'
M
7
T. Adeyemo
73'
F
T. Adeyemo
73'
F
Bench
17
Amani Richards
8'
F
Amani Richards
8'
F
12
J. Okedina
D
J. Okedina
D
30
Jonathan Bland
2'
M
Jonathan Bland
2'
M
9
M. Kirk
17'
F
M. Kirk
17'
F
25
Rogan Ravenhill
G
Rogan Ravenhill
G
11
T. Noslin
17'
D
T. Noslin
17'
D
Best on the pitch
Kyreece Lisbie
M · Reading
8.56
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 13 pass
Vimal Yoganathan
M · Barnsley
7.49
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
J. Stokes
M · Reading
7.03
1 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
Joel Pereira
G · Reading
6.98
· 41 pass
P. O'Connor
D · Reading
6.75
· 47 pass
Z. Larkeche
D · Barnsley
6.63
2 shots
· 21 pass
Reading — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Pereira | G | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Roberts | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dorsett | D | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| P. O'Connor | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 37% | 2 | 1 | — |
| U. Godwin-Malife | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rinomhota | M | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Wing | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Lane | M | 34 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Stokes | M | 77 | 7.03 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| Kyreece Lisbie | M | 89 | 8.56 | 2 | — | 4 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Brown | F | 77 | 6.47 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Savage | M | 13 | 5.96 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Kyerewaa | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Reid | F | 13 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Williams | M | 56 | 6.21 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Barnsley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Slicker | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Larkeche | D | 88 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Shepherd | D | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Gale | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Kay | D | 82 | 5.82 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Connell | M | 90 | 5.63 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| C. McGeehan | M | 83 | 5.96 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Cleary | M | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Patrick Kelly | M | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 25% | 7 | — | — |
| Vimal Yoganathan | M | 73 | 7.49 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Adeyemo | F | 73 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Amani Richards | F | 8 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Jonathan Bland | M | 2 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Kirk | F | 17 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Noslin | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reading vs Barnsley?
The final score was Reading 2–1 Barnsley.
What did the model predict before Reading vs Barnsley?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Reading win, 25% to a draw, and 22% to an Barnsley win.