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Reading - Brentford

EFL Cup September 15, 2026 21:00
Reading
vs
Brentford
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.25%
Win
Reading
26.24%
Draw
32.51%
Win
Brentford
3.8
Expected xG
3.0

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (7.35%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 26%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 59%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 66%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Reading a 41% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Brentford. Expected goals are 3.8 for Reading and 3.0 for Brentford (total 6.8), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.35% probability.

Season Stats

Reading
3W 1D 1L
Brentford
3W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
2.8
1.0
Conceded
0.8
4.8
Shots OT
4.2
5.4
Corners
3.2
48%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
Reading
1W 0D 0L · at home
Brentford
3W 0D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
3.2
1.0
Conceded
0.8
100%
Win %
75%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
25%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Reading Brentford →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.4% 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4% 0.9%
2 0.8% 2.4% 3.6% 3.6% 2.7% 1.6%
3 1.0% 3.1% 4.6% 4.6% 3.4% 2.1%
4 1.0% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 3.3% 2.0%
5 0.7% 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5%

Recent form

Reading Reading
W Stevenage 0–3
D Bromley 1–1
L Wrexham 2–0
W AFC Wimbledon 2–1
W Portsmouth 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Brentford Brentford
W Birmingham 1–6
L Manchester City 2–0
W Grimsby 0–5
D Aston Villa 1–1
W Bournemouth 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Reading Reading
Attack
54
Defence
80
Form
73
Brentford Brentford
Attack
66
Defence
68
Form
71
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Reading vs Brentford?
The model gives Reading a 41% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 32% for an Brentford win.
How many goals are expected in Reading vs Brentford?
Expected goals: Reading 3.8, Brentford 3.0 (total 6.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Reading vs Brentford?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.35%.