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League One · Regular Season - 12 October 21, 2026 21:00 Madejski Stadium, Reading
Reading
#6 · 21 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Leyton Orient
#16 · 14 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Reading
P. Lane (ast. Lewis Wing) 52'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Reading a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Leyton Orient 22%). The final result was Reading 1–0 Leyton Orient. In 2 previous meetings, Reading have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Leyton Orient.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
23
2
Shots on target
8
1.49
Actual xG
2.85
8
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
6
11
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Josh Stokes
14'
⚽Lewis Wing (missed pen.)
32'
Paudie O’Connor
48'
49'
Aaron Connolly
⚽P. Lane · ast. Lewis Wing
52'
62'
Jaze Kabia / Dane Scarlett ↕
62'
Charlie Wellens / Joseph Olowu ↕
72'
Armando Dobra / Yusuf Akhamrich ↕
↕ Josh Stokes / Charlie Savage
73'
↕ Jamie Reid / Jacob Brown
73'
85'
Tony Springett / Aaron Connolly ↕
↕ Kyreece Joshua Lisbie / Daniel·Kyerewaa
90'+4
↕ P. Lane / Randell Williams
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
52.83%
Reading ←
25.01%
X
22.16%
Leyton
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Reading) 52.83% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Reading
1.85
1.49
-0.36
Leyton
0.83
2.85
+2.02
Leyton Orient dominated by xG (2.85 vs 1.49). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Reading Reading 4-4-2
1 Joel Pereira Joel Pereira G 9.40
5 H. Roberts H. Roberts D 7.15
3 J. Dorsett J. Dorsett D 7.29
15 P. O'Connor P. O'Connor D 6.98
2 U. Godwin-Malife U. Godwin-Malife D 7.36
32 P. Lane P. Lane 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.61
10 L. Wing L. Wing 1 👟 M 7.70
4 A. Rinomhota A. Rinomhota M 6.70
19 Kyreece Lisbie Kyreece Lisbie 89' M 6.42
28 J. Stokes J. Stokes 73' F 6.30
9 J. Reid J. Reid 73' F 6.25
Bench
8 C. Savage C. Savage 17' M 6.80
11 D. Kyerewaa D. Kyerewaa 1' M 0.00
18 J. Brown J. Brown 17' F 6.65
20 J. Knight J. Knight D 0.00
25 J. Stevens J. Stevens G 0.00
6 L. Fraser L. Fraser M 0.00
14 R. Williams R. Williams 1' M 0.00
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-4-2-1
1 N. Baxter N. Baxter G 6.55
12 A. Gilchrist A. Gilchrist D 6.86
6 W. Forrester W. Forrester D 7.36
5 J. Olowu J. Olowu 62' D 6.70
3 J. Morris J. Morris M 6.05
8 I. El Mizouni I. El Mizouni M 6.99
20 A. Gilbert A. Gilbert M 6.60
2 F. Stevens F. Stevens M 6.67
10 A. Connolly A. Connolly 85' M 5.78
22 Y. Akhamrich Y. Akhamrich 72' M 6.26
18 D. Scarlett D. Scarlett 62' F 6.22
Bench
17 A. Dobra A. Dobra 18' F 6.19
25 Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens 28' M 7.07
14 I. Hayden I. Hayden M 0.00
9 J. Kabia J. Kabia 28' F 6.04
13 Noah Phillips Noah Phillips G 0.00
34 P. Chinedu P. Chinedu D 0.00
27 T. Springett T. Springett 5' F 6.33
Best on the pitch
Joel Pereira
Joel Pereira
G · Reading
9.40
· 39 pass
L. Wing
L. Wing
M · Reading
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 35 pass
P. Lane
P. Lane
M · Reading
7.61
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
U. Godwin-Malife
U. Godwin-Malife
D · Reading
7.36
· 27 pass
W. Forrester
W. Forrester
D · Leyton
7.36
3 shots · 62 pass
J. Dorsett
J. Dorsett
D · Reading
7.29
· 48 pass
Reading Reading — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Joel Pereira G 90 9.40 — — 0 39 31% 0 — —
H. Roberts D 90 7.15 — — 0 35 27% 2 — —
J. Dorsett D 90 7.29 — — 0 48 41% 0 — —
P. O'Connor D 90 6.98 — — 0 46 38% 0 1 —
U. Godwin-Malife D 90 7.36 — — 0 27 19% 1 — —
P. Lane M 89 7.61 1 — 3 19 16% 0 — —
L. Wing M 90 7.70 — 1 3 35 32% 2 — —
A. Rinomhota M 90 6.70 — — 0 33 28% 4 — —
Kyreece Lisbie M 89 6.42 — — 0 10 5% 1 — —
J. Stokes F 73 6.30 — — 3 14 10% 0 1 —
J. Reid F 73 6.25 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
C. Savage M 17 6.80 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
D. Kyerewaa M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Brown F 17 6.65 — — 0 6 4% 1 — —
R. Williams M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Baxter G 90 6.55 — — 0 27 17% 0 — —
A. Gilchrist D 90 6.86 — — 1 55 53% 0 — —
W. Forrester D 90 7.36 — — 3 62 58% 0 — —
J. Olowu D 62 6.70 — — 0 35 29% 2 — —
J. Morris M 90 6.05 — — 3 35 25% 0 — —
I. El Mizouni M 90 6.99 — — 2 72 65% 3 — —
A. Gilbert M 90 6.60 — — 0 63 57% 0 — —
F. Stevens M 90 6.67 — — 2 59 51% 2 — —
A. Connolly M 85 5.78 — — 3 16 13% 0 1 —
Y. Akhamrich M 72 6.26 — — 2 17 15% 0 — —
D. Scarlett F 62 6.22 — — 3 8 3% 0 — —
A. Dobra F 18 6.19 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens M 28 7.07 — — 2 18 17% 2 — —
J. Kabia F 28 6.04 — — 2 5 2% 0 — —
T. Springett F 5 6.33 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reading vs Leyton Orient?
The final score was Reading 1–0 Leyton Orient.
What did the model predict before Reading vs Leyton Orient?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Reading win, 25% to a draw, and 22% to an Leyton Orient win.