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League One · Regular Season - 42 April 06, 2026 16:00
Reading
#12 · 63 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Lincoln
#1 · 103 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Lincoln
L. Wing 90'+2
5' (ast. R. Hackett-Fairchild) R. One
90'+6 (ast. C. McGrandles) J. Moylan

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lincoln a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Reading 24%). The final result was Reading 1–2 Lincoln. In 1 previous meetings, Reading have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lincoln.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
2
70%
Possession
30%
3
Corners
3
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
ast. R. Hackett-Fairchild · R. One⚽
↕ K. Doyle / P. Lane
28'
59'
R. Street / B. House ↕
66'
D. Jefferies
67'
D. Elerewe / D. Jefferies ↕
68'
A. Lloyd / R. One ↕
↕ L. Fraser / W. Keane
70'
↕ R. Nyambe / H. Roberts
70'
↕ J. R. Dorsett A. / K. Young
82'
83'
J. Moylan / R. Hackett-Fairchild ↕
83'
T. Bayliss / I. Varfolomeev ↕
F. Burns
84'
⚽L. Wing
90'+2
90'+3
A. Lloyd
90'+6
ast. C. McGrandles · J. Moylan⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.02%
Reading
22.15%
X
53.83%
Lincoln ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lincoln) 53.83% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Reading
1.07
—
—
Lincoln
1.91
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Reading Reading 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.30
3
Jeriel Dorsett 82' D 7.20
15 P. O'Connor P. O'Connor D 6.50
12
F. Burns D 7.30
11
D. Kyerewaa M 6.90
6
L. Fraser 70' M 6.90
10 L. Wing L. Wing 1 ⚽ M 7.90
24
R. Nyambe 70' M 6.90
8 C. Savage C. Savage F 7.00
29
K. Doyle 28' F 6.20
9
K. Ehibhatiomhan F 6.30
Bench
18
A. Rinomhota M
5
H. Roberts 28' D 6.20
19
K. Young 16' F 6.30
32
P. Lane 70' F 6.20
Lincoln Lincoln 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.60
6
R. Towler D 6.60
15
S. Bradley D 6.90
22
T. Hamer D 6.30
2
T. Darikwa D 6.30
14
C. McGrandles 1 👟 M 7.20
24
I. Varfolomeev 83' M 6.90
20
R. One 1 ⚽ 68' M 7.00
16
D. Jefferies 67' M 6.70
7 R. Hackett R. Hackett 1 👟 83' M 6.30
18
B. House 59' F 6.90
Bench
19
A. Lloyd 30' F 6.50
10
J. Moylan 1 ⚽ 15' M 7.30
17
R. Street 39' F 6.30
8
T. Bayliss 15' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
L. Wing
L. Wing
M · Reading
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 95 pass
F. Burns
D · Reading
7.30
· 108 pass
J. Moylan
M · Lincoln
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
Jeriel Dorsett
D · Reading
7.20
· 61 pass
C. McGrandles
M · Lincoln
7.20
1 👟
· 31 pass
R. One
M · Lincoln
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Reading Reading — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.30 — — — 46 45% — — —
Jeriel Dorsett D 82 7.20 — — — 61 52% 2 — —
P. O'Connor D 98 6.50 — — — 86 83% 1 — —
F. Burns D 98 7.30 — — — 108 92% 5 1 —
D. Kyerewaa M 98 6.90 — — — 33 29% 2 — —
L. Fraser M 70 6.90 — — — 66 61% 2 — —
L. Wing M 98 7.90 1 — 2 95 82% 1 — —
R. Nyambe M 70 6.90 — — — 33 29% 2 — —
C. Savage F 98 7.00 — — 1 39 32% 1 — —
K. Doyle F 28 6.20 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
K. Ehibhatiomhan F 98 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
H. Roberts D 28 6.20 — — — 12 9% — — —
K. Young F 16 6.30 — — — — — — — —
P. Lane F 70 6.20 — — — 17 12% — — —
Lincoln Lincoln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 98 6.60 — — — 20 11% — — —
R. Towler D 98 6.60 — — 1 30 22% 1 — —
S. Bradley D 98 6.90 — — — 33 24% — — —
T. Hamer D 98 6.30 — — — 23 16% 1 — —
T. Darikwa D 98 6.30 — — — 24 18% 1 — —
C. McGrandles M 98 7.20 — 1 — 31 23% 4 — —
I. Varfolomeev M 83 6.90 — — — 19 16% 4 — —
R. One M 68 7.00 1 — 1 7 5% — — —
D. Jefferies M 67 6.70 — — — 24 18% — 1 —
R. Hackett M 83 6.30 — 1 1 13 9% — — —
B. House F 59 6.90 — — — 11 7% 4 — —
A. Lloyd F 30 6.50 — — 1 4 3% — 1 —
J. Moylan M 15 7.30 1 — 1 2 2% — — —
R. Street F 39 6.30 — — — 10 6% 1 — —
T. Bayliss M 15 6.20 — — — 4 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reading vs Lincoln?
The final score was Reading 1–2 Lincoln.
What did the model predict before Reading vs Lincoln?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Reading win, 22% to a draw, and 53% to an Lincoln win.