League One
· Regular Season - 42
April 06, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Lincoln
L. Wing
90'+2
5'
(ast. R. Hackett-Fairchild)
R. One
90'+6
(ast. C. McGrandles)
J. Moylan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lincoln a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Reading 24%). The final result was Reading 1–2 Lincoln. In 1 previous meetings, Reading have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lincoln.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
2
70%
Possession
30%
3
Corners
3
17
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
ast. R. Hackett-Fairchild ·
R. One⚽
K. Doyle
/ P. Lane
28'
59'
R. Street
/
B. House
66'
D. Jefferies
67'
D. Elerewe
/
D. Jefferies
68'
A. Lloyd
/
R. One
L. Fraser
/ W. Keane
70'
R. Nyambe
/ H. Roberts
70'
J. R. Dorsett A.
/ K. Young
82'
83'
J. Moylan
/
R. Hackett-Fairchild
83'
T. Bayliss
/
I. Varfolomeev
F. Burns
84'
⚽L. Wing
90'+2
90'+3
A. Lloyd
90'+6
ast. C. McGrandles ·
J. Moylan⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.02%
Reading
22.15%
X
53.83%
Lincoln ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lincoln)
53.83%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
—
—
1.91
—
—
Lineups
1
G
3
Jeriel Dorsett
82'
D
Jeriel Dorsett
82'
D
15
Paudie O’Connor
D
Paudie O’Connor
D
12
F. Burns
D
11
Daniel Kyerewaa
M
Daniel Kyerewaa
M
6
Liam Fraser
70'
M
Liam Fraser
70'
M
10
Lewis Wing
1 ⚽
M
Lewis Wing
1 ⚽
M
24
R. Nyambe
70'
M
8
Charlie Savage
F
Charlie Savage
F
29
K. Doyle
28'
F
9
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan
F
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan
F
Bench
18
Andy Rinomhota
M
Andy Rinomhota
M
5
Haydon Roberts
28'
D
Haydon Roberts
28'
D
19
Kadan Young
16'
F
Kadan Young
16'
F
32
Paddy Lane
70'
F
Paddy Lane
70'
F
1
G
6
Ryley Towler
D
Ryley Towler
D
15
S. Bradley
D
S. Bradley
D
22
Thomas Hamer
D
Thomas Hamer
D
2
Tendayi Darikwa
D
Tendayi Darikwa
D
14
Conor McGrandles
1 👟
M
Conor McGrandles
1 👟
M
24
Varfolomieiev Ivan
83'
M
Varfolomieiev Ivan
83'
M
20
Ryan One
1 ⚽
68'
M
Ryan One
1 ⚽
68'
M
16
Dom Jefferies
67'
M
Dom Jefferies
67'
M
7
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
1 👟
83'
M
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild
1 👟
83'
M
18
Ben House
59'
F
Ben House
59'
F
Bench
19
Alfie Lloyd
30'
F
Alfie Lloyd
30'
F
10
J. Moylan
1 ⚽
15'
M
J. Moylan
1 ⚽
15'
M
17
Robert Street
39'
F
Robert Street
39'
F
8
T. Bayliss
15'
M
Best on the pitch
Lewis Wing
M · Reading
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 95 pass
F. Burns
D · Reading
7.30
· 108 pass
J. Moylan
M · Lincoln
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Jeriel Dorsett
D · Reading
7.20
· 61 pass
Conor McGrandles
M · Lincoln
7.20
1 👟
· 31 pass
Ryan One
M · Lincoln
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Reading — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 45% | — | — | — | |
| Jeriel Dorsett | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Paudie O’Connor | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Burns | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 108 | 92% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Kyerewaa | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Liam Fraser | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Lewis Wing | M | 98 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 95 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Nyambe | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Charlie Savage | F | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Doyle | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan | F | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Haydon Roberts | D | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Kadan Young | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paddy Lane | F | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
Lincoln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Ryley Towler | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bradley | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Hamer | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Tendayi Darikwa | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Conor McGrandles | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Varfolomieiev Ivan | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Ryan One | M | 68 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Dom Jefferies | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Reeco Hackett-Fairchild | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ben House | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| Alfie Lloyd | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Moylan | M | 15 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Robert Street | F | 39 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Bayliss | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reading vs Lincoln?
The final score was Reading 1–2 Lincoln.
What did the model predict before Reading vs Lincoln?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Reading win, 22% to a draw, and 53% to an Lincoln win.