Primera RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 8
October 18, 2026 18:15
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Avilés a 50% win probability (draw 27%, UD Ourense 22%). The final result was Real Avilés 3–0 UD Ourense.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
50.18%
Real ←
27.55%
X
22.27%
UD
we assigned to the actual result (Real Avilés)
50.18%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
—
—
0.40
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Avilés vs UD Ourense?
The final score was Real Avilés 3–0 UD Ourense.
What did the model predict before Real Avilés vs UD Ourense?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Real Avilés win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an UD Ourense win.