Real Betis 2–5 Barcelona — pre-match prediction — La Liga — October 17, 2026

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La Liga · Regular Season - 9 October 17, 2026 18:30 Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville

Real Betis

#4 · 20 pts

2 – 5

Final score

Barcelona

#1 · 27 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Barcelona

Diego Valentín Gómez (ast. Pablo Fornals) 27'

Abde Ezzalzouli (ast. Giovani Lo Celso) 53'

10' (ast. Jules Koundé) Lamine Yamal

41' (ast. Fermín López) Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante

51' (ast. Lamine Yamal) Gabriel Jesus

62' (ast. Pau Cubarsí) Eric García

81' (ast. Pau Cubarsí) Daniel Olmo Carvajal

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 54% win probability (draw 21%, Real Betis 24%). The final result was Real Betis 2–5 Barcelona. In 2 previous meetings, Real Betis have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Barcelona.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.02

Actual xG

3.05

Saves

31%

Possession

69%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

10'

ast. Jules Koundé · Lamine Yamal⚽

20'

Fermín López

Héctor Bellerín

22'

⚽Diego Valentín Gómez · ast. Pablo Fornals

27'

41'

ast. Fermín López · Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante⚽

45'

Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti

45'

Eric García / Gerard Martín ↕

↕ Dani Ceballos / Nelson Deossa

45'

51'

ast. Lamine Yamal · Gabriel Jesus⚽

Facundo Bernal

53'

⚽Abde Ezzalzouli · ast. Giovani Lo Celso

53'

Facundo Bernal

54'

55'

Lamine Yamal

Diego Llorente

61'

62'

Daniel Olmo Carvajal / Fermín López ↕

62'

Anthony Gordon / Karim Adeyemi ↕

62'

ast. Pau Cubarsí · Eric García⚽

↕ Cucho Hernández / Troy Parrott

64'

↕ Giovani Lo Celso / Rodrigo Riquelme

64'

70'

Raphael Dias Belloli / Lamine Yamal ↕

↕ Héctor Bellerín / Ángel Ortiz

70'

↕ Pablo Fornals / Álvaro Fidalgo

70'

79'

Pablo Martín Páez Gavira / Gabriel Jesus ↕

81'

ast. Pau Cubarsí · Daniel Olmo Carvajal⚽

Pre-match prediction

24.31%

Real

21.24%

54.45%

Barcelona ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona) 54.45% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Real

2.54

1.02

-1.52

Barcelona

4.50

3.05

-1.45

Barcelona dominated by xG (3.05 vs 1.02). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Barcelona	10	27
2	Atletico Madrid	10	25
3	Real Madrid	10	24
4	Real Betis	10	20
5	Real Sociedad	10	19
6	Sevilla	10	17
7	Alaves	10	12
8	Athletic Club	9	12
9	Celta Vigo	10	12
10	Villarreal	10	12
11	Deportivo La Coruna	10	11
12	Osasuna	10	11
13	Racing Santander	10	11
14	Levante	10	10
15	Elche	10	10
16	Rayo Vallecano	9	9
17	Getafe	10	9
18	Espanyol	10	8
19	Valencia	10	6
20	Malaga	10	5

Lineups

Real Betis 4-2-3-1

Álvaro Vallés G 6.95

Fran García D 5.44

V. Gómez 1 ⚽ D 6.90

Diego Llorente D 5.72

Héctor Bellerín 70' D 4.73

Dani Ceballos 45' M 5.83

F. Bernal 54' M 5.13

A. Ezzalzouli 1 ⚽ M 7.10

Pablo Fornals 1 👟 70' M 7.28

G. Lo Celso 1 👟 64' M 6.11

C. Hernández 64' F 6.28

Bench

Álvaro Fidalgo 20' M 6.03

Ángel Ortiz 20' D 5.53

Antony F 0.00

Diego Conde G 0.00

Isco M 0.00

J. A. Morante F 0.00

Marc Bartra D 0.00

Marc Roca M 0.00

Natan D 0.00

N. Deossa 45' M 6.07

Rodrigo Riquelme 26' M 5.79

T. Parrott 26' F 6.35

Barcelona 4-2-3-1

Joan García G 6.66

X. Espart D 6.63

Gerard Martín 45' D 6.30

Pau Cubarsí Paredes 2 👟 D 8.01

J. Koundé 1 👟 D 6.77

Pedri M 7.03

Rodri 1 ⚽ M 8.20

K. Adeyemi 62' M 6.25

Fermín 1 👟 62' M 6.92

Lamine Yamal 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' M 8.01

Gabriel Jesus 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.71

Bench

A. Gordon 28' F 6.94

Alejandro Balde D 0.00

B. Farinas M 0.00

Dani Olmo 1 ⚽ 28' M 7.14

D. Livaković G 0.00

Eric García 1 ⚽ 45' D 7.28

F. de Jong M 0.00

Gavi 11' M 6.58

João Cancelo D 0.00

Marc Bernal M 0.00

Raphinha 20' F 7.16

W. Szczęsny G 0.00

Best on the pitch

Rodri

M · Barcelona

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 129 pass

Lamine Yamal

M · Barcelona

8.01

1 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 32 pass

Pau Cubarsí Paredes

D · Barcelona

8.01

2 👟

· 109 pass

Gabriel Jesus

F · Barcelona

7.71

1 ⚽

3 shots · 21 pass

Eric García

D · Barcelona

7.28

1 ⚽

1 shots · 31 pass

Pablo Fornals

M · Real

7.28

1 👟

· 20 pass

Real Betis — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Álvaro Vallés	G	90	6.95	—	—	0	30	21%	1	—	—
Fran García	D	90	5.44	—	—	0	35	29%	2	—	—
V. Gómez	D	90	6.90	1	—	1	38	34%	1	—	—
Diego Llorente	D	90	5.72	—	—	0	28	25%	3	1	—
Héctor Bellerín	D	70	4.73	—	—	1	22	16%	0	1	—
Dani Ceballos	M	45	5.83	—	—	0	12	10%	1	—	—
F. Bernal	M	54	5.13	—	—	0	13	9%	2	1	1
A. Ezzalzouli	M	90	7.10	1	—	1	18	12%	2	—	—
Pablo Fornals	M	70	7.28	—	1	0	20	17%	2	—	—
G. Lo Celso	M	64	6.11	—	1	0	31	21%	0	—	—
C. Hernández	F	64	6.28	—	—	1	14	9%	0	—	—
Álvaro Fidalgo	M	20	6.03	—	—	0	15	12%	2	—	—
Ángel Ortiz	D	20	5.53	—	—	0	10	8%	1	—	—
N. Deossa	M	45	6.07	—	—	2	16	15%	0	—	—
Rodrigo Riquelme	M	26	5.79	—	—	0	10	8%	0	—	—
T. Parrott	F	26	6.35	—	—	0	12	10%	0	—	—

Barcelona — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Joan García	G	90	6.66	—	—	0	14	14%	0	—	—
X. Espart	D	90	6.63	—	—	2	61	55%	1	—	—
Gerard Martín	D	45	6.30	—	—	0	46	44%	0	—	—
Pau Cubarsí Paredes	D	90	8.01	—	2	0	109	106%	1	—	—
J. Koundé	D	90	6.77	—	1	0	65	61%	2	—	—
Pedri	M	90	7.03	—	—	0	112	103%	3	—	—
Rodri	M	90	8.20	1	—	1	129	126%	0	—	—
K. Adeyemi	M	62	6.25	—	—	0	29	23%	1	—	—
Fermín	M	62	6.92	—	1	1	32	28%	1	1	—
Lamine Yamal	M	70	8.01	1	1	4	32	21%	1	1	—
Gabriel Jesus	F	79	7.71	1	—	3	21	18%	2	—	—
A. Gordon	F	28	6.94	—	—	3	19	16%	0	—	—
Dani Olmo	M	28	7.14	1	—	2	19	18%	0	—	—
Eric García	D	45	7.28	1	—	1	31	29%	0	—	—
Gavi	M	11	6.58	—	—	0	22	22%	2	—	—
Raphinha	F	20	7.16	—	—	1	10	9%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Barcelona?

The final score was Real Betis 2–5 Barcelona.

What did the model predict before Real Betis vs Barcelona?

The model assigned 24% probability to a Real Betis win, 21% to a draw, and 54% to an Barcelona win.