La Liga
· Regular Season - 36
May 12, 2026 20:00
✓Model correct — prediction Real Betis
Cucho Hernandez
(ast. P. Fornals)
9'
P. Fornals
68'
41'
(ast. G. Valera)
H. Fort
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Betis a 58% win probability (draw 22%, Elche 19%). The final result was Real Betis 2–1 Elche. In 2 previous meetings, Real Betis have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Elche.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
2
1.50
Actual xG
0.44
1
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
1
22
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Cucho Hernandez
· ast. P. Fornals
9'
41'
ast. G. Valera ·
H. Fort⚽
49'
L. Petrot
57'
V. Chust
/
G. Diangana
58'
E. Sarabia
G. Lo Celso
/ Isco
63'
64'
A. Rodriguez
/
Andre Silva
64'
Tete Morente
/
H. Fort
J. Firpo
/ Natan
66'
⚽P. Fornals
68'
76'
A. Febas
78'
G. Villar
D. Llorente
80'
81'
J. Donald
/
G. Villar
81'
A. Pedrosa
/
Buba Sangare
A. Ezzalzouli
/ R. Riquelme
83'
P. Fornals
/ S. Altimira
83'
Natan
85'
Cucho Hernandez
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
58.05%
Real ←
22.17%
X
19.78%
Elche
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Real Betis)
58.05%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
1.50
-0.28
0.92
0.44
-0.49
Real Betis dominated by xG (1.50 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Álvaro Valles
G
Álvaro Valles
G
23
Junior Firpo
66'
D
Junior Firpo
66'
D
16
Valentín Gómez
D
Valentín Gómez
D
3
Diego Llorente
D
Diego Llorente
D
2
Héctor Bellerín
D
Héctor Bellerín
D
20
Giovani Lo Celso
63'
M
Giovani Lo Celso
63'
M
14
Sofyan Amrabat
M
Sofyan Amrabat
M
8
Pablo Fornals
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
Pablo Fornals
1 ⚽
1 👟
83'
M
10
A. Ezzalzouli
83'
F
A. Ezzalzouli
83'
F
19
C. Hernández
1 ⚽
F
C. Hernández
1 ⚽
F
7
Antony
F
Antony
F
Bench
13
Adrián
G
Adrián
G
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
M
Álvaro Fidalgo
M
33
Carlos De Roa
D
Carlos De Roa
D
11
Cédric Bakambu
F
Cédric Bakambu
F
9
Chimy Ávila
F
Chimy Ávila
F
22
Isco
27'
M
Isco
27'
M
21
Marc Roca
M
Marc Roca
M
4
Natan
24'
D
Natan
24'
D
18
Nelson Deossa
M
Nelson Deossa
M
25
Pau López
G
Pau López
G
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
16'
M
Rodrigo Riquelme
16'
M
6
Sergi Altimira
16'
M
Sergi Altimira
16'
M
1
Matías Dituro
G
Matías Dituro
G
21
Léo Pétrot
49'
D
Léo Pétrot
49'
D
22
David Affengruber
D
David Affengruber
D
42
Buba Sangare
81'
D
Buba Sangare
81'
D
11
Germán Valera
1 👟
M
Germán Valera
1 👟
M
14
Aleix Febas
M
Aleix Febas
M
8
Marc Aguado
M
Marc Aguado
M
12
Gonzalo Villar
81'
M
Gonzalo Villar
81'
M
39
Hector Fort
1 ⚽
64'
M
Hector Fort
1 ⚽
64'
M
9
André Silva
64'
F
André Silva
64'
F
19
Grady Diangana
57'
F
Grady Diangana
57'
F
Bench
3
Adrià Pedrosa
9'
D
Adrià Pedrosa
9'
D
20
Álvaro Rodriguez
26'
F
Álvaro Rodriguez
26'
F
5
Federico Redondo
M
Federico Redondo
M
13
Iñaki Peña
G
Iñaki Peña
G
18
John Donald
9'
D
John Donald
9'
D
17
Josan
M
Josan
M
46
Juan Piera
F
Juan Piera
F
24
Lucas Cepeda
F
Lucas Cepeda
F
16
Martim Neto
M
Martim Neto
M
6
Pedro Bigas
D
Pedro Bigas
D
15
Tete Morente
26'
F
Tete Morente
26'
F
23
Víctor Chust
33'
D
Víctor Chust
33'
D
Best on the pitch
Pablo Fornals
M · Real
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 47 pass
Antony
F · Real
8.00
2 shots
· 46 pass
C. Hernández
F · Real
7.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 31 pass
Diego Llorente
D · Real
7.20
· 41 pass
Hector Fort
M · Elche
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
A. Ezzalzouli
F · Real
7.20
2 shots
· 16 pass
Real Betis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Valles | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Junior Firpo | D | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Valentín Gómez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Llorente | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Héctor Bellerín | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Giovani Lo Celso | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Sofyan Amrabat | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Fornals | M | 83 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Ezzalzouli | F | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Hernández | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 31 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Antony | F | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 46 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Isco | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Natan | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Riquelme | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Elche — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matías Dituro | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Léo Pétrot | D | 49 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | 1 |
| David Affengruber | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 74% | 4 | — | — |
| Buba Sangare | D | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Germán Valera | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| Marc Aguado | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Hector Fort | M | 64 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Grady Diangana | F | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Adrià Pedrosa | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Rodriguez | F | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| John Donald | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Tete Morente | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Betis vs Elche?
The final score was Real Betis 2–1 Elche.
What did the model predict before Real Betis vs Elche?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Real Betis win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Elche win.