Real Betis 3–2 FC Porto — pre-match prediction — Champions League — October 14, 2026

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Champions League · League Stage - 2 October 14, 2026 21:00 Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville

Real Betis

#5 · 9 pts

3 – 2

Final score

FC Porto

#34 · 0 pts

Abde Ezzalzouli (ast. Francisco José García Torres) 47'

Cucho Hernández (ast. Antony Matheus dos Santos) 74'

Isco 84' (pen.)

54' Gabri Veiga

61' (ast. Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa) Samuel Aghehowa

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Real Betis 32%). The final result was Real Betis 3–2 FC Porto.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.68

Actual xG

0.96

Saves

56%

Possession

44%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

42'

Francesco Farioli

42'

⚽Abde Ezzalzouli · ast. Francisco José García Torres

47'

54'

Gabri Veiga⚽

56'

André Silva

Nelson Deossa

56'

Abde Ezzalzouli

56'

59'

Oskar Pietuszewski / Borja Sainz ↕

59'

Samuel Aghehowa / André Silva ↕

59'

Alberto Costa / Martim Fernandes ↕

61'

ast. Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa · Samuel Aghehowa⚽

↕ Troy Parrott / Cucho Hernández

62'

↕ Nelson Deossa / Dani Ceballos

62'

71'

Hwang In-Beom / Gabri Veiga ↕

73'

Alan Gonzalo Varela

⚽Cucho Hernández · ast. Antony Matheus dos Santos

74'

Dani Ceballos

77'

82'

⚽Isco (pen.)

84'

85'

Santiago Giménez / Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa ↕

86'

Santiago Giménez

↕ Isco / Facundo Bernal

87'

↕ Marc Roca / Pablo Fornals

87'

Ángel Ortiz

90'+3

↕ Antony Matheus dos Santos / Rodrigo Riquelme

90'

Pre-match prediction

32.99%

Real ←

30.02%

36.99%

we assigned to the actual result (Real Betis) 32.99% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Real

0.89

1.68

+0.79

1.07

0.96

-0.11

Real Betis dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.96). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	3	9
2	Aston Villa	3	9
3	Liverpool	3	9
4	Real Madrid	3	9
5	Real Betis	3	9
6	VfB Stuttgart	3	7
7	Arsenal	3	7
8	Barcelona	3	6
9	Como	3	6
10	Manchester City	3	6
11	Club Brugge KV	3	6
12	Sporting CP	3	6
13	Borussia Dortmund	3	6
14	Bayern München	3	5
15	AS Roma	3	4
16	Atletico Madrid	3	4
17	Shakhtar Donetsk	3	4
18	PSV Eindhoven	3	4
19	Villarreal	3	3
20	Inter	3	3
21	Manchester United	3	3
22	Napoli	3	3
23	Galatasaray	3	3
24	Lask Linz	3	3
25	Sabah FA	3	3
26	Feyenoord	3	3
27	Lens	3	3
28	Bodo/Glimt	3	3
29	AEK Athens FC	3	3
30	RB Leipzig	3	3
31	Fenerbahçe	3	2
32	Slavia Praha	3	1
33	Viking	3	1
34	FC Porto	3	0
35	Lille	3	0
36	Slovan Bratislava	3	0

Lineups

Real Betis 4-2-3-1

Álvaro Vallés G 6.59

Fran García 1 👟 D 7.19

Natan D 6.35

Marc Bartra D 6.81

Ángel Ortiz D 5.84

Marc Roca 87' M 6.11

N. Deossa 62' M 6.24

A. Ezzalzouli 1 ⚽ M 7.53

Isco 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.73

Antony 1 👟 89' M 7.15

T. Parrott 62' F 6.24

Bench

Álvaro Fidalgo M 0.00

C. Hernández 1 ⚽ 28' F 8.20

Dani Ceballos 28' M 5.93

Diego Conde G 0.00

Diego Llorente D 0.00

F. Bernal 3' M 5.97

G. Lo Celso M 0.00

Héctor Bellerín D 0.00

J. A. Morante F 0.00

Pablo Fornals 3' M 5.65

Rodrigo Riquelme 1' M 6.00

V. Gómez D 0.00

FC Porto 4-3-3

Diogo Costa G 6.70

Francisco Moura D 5.86

J. Kiwior D 6.37

P. Rosario D 6.34

Martim Fernandes 59' D 5.52

Gabri Veiga 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.25

A. Varela M 5.55

Victor Mow Froholdt M 6.19

Pepê Aquino 1 👟 85' F 6.84

André Silva 59' F 5.97

Borja Sainz 59' F 6.27

Bench

Alberto Baio 31' D 5.70

Cláudio Ramos G 0.00

Hwang In-Beom 19' M 6.09

João Pedro Moreira Teixeira M 0.00

Luís Gomes D 0.00

N. Pérez D 0.00

O. Pietuszewski 31' F 6.67

Samu 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.45

S. Fofana M 0.00

S. Giménez 5' F 6.47

Souza D 0.00

Z. Sanusi D 0.00

Best on the pitch

C. Hernández

F · Real

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

Isco

M · Real

7.73

1 ⚽

2 shots · 52 pass

A. Ezzalzouli

M · Real

7.53

1 ⚽

5 shots · 32 pass

Samu

F · FC

7.45

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

Gabri Veiga

M · FC

7.25

1 ⚽

3 shots · 29 pass

Fran García

D · Real

7.19

1 👟

1 shots · 31 pass

Real Betis — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Álvaro Vallés	G	90	6.59	—	—	0	31	20%	0	—	—
Fran García	D	90	7.19	—	1	1	31	30%	5	—	—
Natan	D	90	6.35	—	—	0	30	28%	0	—	—
Marc Bartra	D	90	6.81	—	—	0	59	57%	2	—	—
Ángel Ortiz	D	90	5.84	—	—	1	49	43%	2	1	—
Marc Roca	M	87	6.11	—	—	2	51	44%	2	—	—
N. Deossa	M	62	6.24	—	—	1	48	43%	1	1	—
A. Ezzalzouli	M	90	7.53	1	—	5	32	26%	2	1	—
Isco	M	87	7.73	1	—	2	52	48%	0	—	—
Antony	M	89	7.15	—	1	4	57	45%	1	—	—
T. Parrott	F	62	6.24	—	—	0	17	14%	1	—	—
C. Hernández	F	28	8.20	1	—	1	13	9%	1	—	—
Dani Ceballos	M	28	5.93	—	—	0	15	15%	0	1	—
F. Bernal	M	3	5.97	—	—	0	4	3%	0	—	—
Pablo Fornals	M	3	5.65	—	—	0	12	10%	1	—	—
Rodrigo Riquelme	M	1	6.00	—	—	0	2	2%	0	—	—

FC Porto — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Diogo Costa	G	90	6.70	—	—	0	33	31%	0	—	—
Francisco Moura	D	90	5.86	—	—	0	27	22%	1	—	—
J. Kiwior	D	90	6.37	—	—	0	55	48%	0	—	—
P. Rosario	D	90	6.34	—	—	1	66	59%	0	—	—
Martim Fernandes	D	59	5.52	—	—	0	22	13%	5	—	—
Gabri Veiga	M	71	7.25	1	—	3	29	23%	0	—	—
A. Varela	M	90	5.55	—	—	1	50	37%	2	1	—
Victor Mow Froholdt	M	90	6.19	—	—	0	27	24%	2	—	—
Pepê Aquino	F	85	6.84	—	1	0	22	15%	3	—	—
André Silva	F	59	5.97	—	—	1	16	12%	0	1	—
Borja Sainz	F	59	6.27	—	—	0	10	7%	0	—	—
Alberto Baio	D	31	5.70	—	—	1	8	7%	0	—	—
Hwang In-Beom	M	19	6.09	—	—	0	12	11%	0	—	—
O. Pietuszewski	F	31	6.67	—	—	0	9	7%	0	—	—
Samu	F	31	7.45	1	—	1	6	4%	0	—	—
S. Giménez	F	5	6.47	—	—	3	1	1%	2	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Real Betis vs FC Porto?

The final score was Real Betis 3–2 FC Porto.

What did the model predict before Real Betis vs FC Porto?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Real Betis win, 30% to a draw, and 36% to an FC Porto win.