La Liga · Regular Season - 29 March 22, 2026 21:00 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Real Madrid

#16 · 0 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Atletico Madrid

#2 · 0 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Real Madrid

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Atletico Madrid 20%). The final result was Real Madrid 3–2 Atletico Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Real Madrid have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

7

2.42

Actual xG

1.00

53%

Possession

47%

4

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

58.32%

Real ←

21.25%

X

20.43%

Atletico

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid) 58.32% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Real

2.04

2.42

+0.38

Atletico

1.10

1.00

-0.1

Real Madrid dominated by xG (2.42 vs 1.00). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0
5	Elche	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0
8	Levante	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0