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#4 · 9 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#20 · 3 pts
Kylian Mbappé (ast. Brahim Díaz) 14'
Federico Valverde 23'
77' (ast. Lautaro Martínez) Carlos Augusto
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 41% win probability (draw 32%, Inter 25%). The final result was Real Madrid 2–1 Inter.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
21
8
Shots on target
7
7
Saves
6
36%
Possession
64%
4
Corners
11
14
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Kylian Mbappé · ast. Brahim Díaz
14'
⚽Federico Valverde
23'
39'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
45'
John Stones / Benjamin Pavard ↕
60'
Petar Sučić / Nicolò Barella ↕
60'
Piotr Zieliński / Hakan Çalhanoğlu ↕
60'
Ange-Yoan Bonny / Marcus Thuram ↕
77'
ast. Lautaro Martínez · Carlos Augusto⚽
↕ Trent Alexander-Arnold / Aurelien Tchouameni
79'
↕ Brahim Díaz / Yan Diomande
79'
Dean Huijsen
79'
79'
Lautaro Martínez
83'
Henrikh Mkhitaryan / Carlos Augusto ↕
↕ Vinícius / Álvaro Fernández Carreras
87'
↕ Kylian Mbappé / Carlos Espí
90'+3
90'+4
Yann Bisseck
Pre-match prediction
41.51%
Real ←
32.75%
X
25.74%
Inter
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid) 41.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Real
0.89
—
—
Inter
0.52
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Lineups
Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
1 T. Courtois T. Courtois G 7.90
17 Marc Cucurella Marc Cucurella D 7.13
4 D. Huijsen D. Huijsen D 6.41
16 I. Konaté I. Konaté D 6.76
24 D. Dumfries D. Dumfries D 6.46
8 F. Valverde F. Valverde 1 ⚽ M 8.20
12 T. Alexander-Arnold T. Alexander-Arnold 79' M 6.50
10 Kylian Mbappé Kylian Mbappé 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.20
21 Brahim Díaz Brahim Díaz 1 👟 79' F 7.70
5 J. Bellingham J. Bellingham M 6.87
7 Vinícius Júnior Vinícius Júnior 87' F 6.57
Bench
13 A. Lunin A. Lunin G 0.00
18 Álvaro Fernández Álvaro Fernández 3' D 6.60
22 A. Rüdiger A. Rüdiger D 0.00
14 A. Tchouaméni A. Tchouaméni 11' M 6.35
19 Carlos Espí Carlos Espí 1' F 0.00
9 Endrick Endrick F 0.00
29 J. Cestero Sancho J. Cestero Sancho M 0.00
33 Mario Rivas Mario Rivas D 0.00
26 Sergio Mestre Sergio Mestre G 0.00
27 Thiago Pitarch Thiago Pitarch M 0.00
25 Y. Diomande Y. Diomande 11' F 6.66
Inter Inter 3-5-2
1 Josep Martínez Josep Martínez G 7.60
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni D 6.72
31 Y. Bisseck Y. Bisseck D 6.60
28 B. Pavard B. Pavard 45' D 6.47
30 Carlos Augusto Carlos Augusto 1 ⚽ 83' M 8.20
21 Curtis Jones Curtis Jones M 6.59
20 H. Çalhanoğlu H. Çalhanoğlu 60' M 7.20
23 N. Barella N. Barella 60' M 7.11
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf M 6.43
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 60' F 6.37
10 Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez 1 👟 F 7.52
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny 30' F 6.34
5 A. Stanković A. Stanković M 0.00
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito F 0.00
22 H. Mkhitaryan H. Mkhitaryan 7' M 6.09
49 I. Provedel I. Provedel G 0.00
6 John Stones John Stones 45' D 6.51
11 Luis Henrique Luis Henrique F 0.00
25 M. Akanji M. Akanji D 0.00
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić 30' M 7.03
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński 30' M 6.91
12 R. Di Gennaro R. Di Gennaro G 0.00
Best on the pitch
Carlos Augusto
Carlos Augusto
M · Inter
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé
F · Real
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 37 pass
F. Valverde
F. Valverde
M · Real
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
T. Courtois
T. Courtois
G · Real
7.90
· 30 pass
Brahim Díaz
Brahim Díaz
F · Real
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 29 pass
Josep Martínez
Josep Martínez
G · Inter
7.60
· 27 pass
Real Madrid Real Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Courtois G 90 7.90 — — 0 30 18% 0 — —
Marc Cucurella D 90 7.13 — — 0 42 41% 1 — —
D. Huijsen D 90 6.41 — — 0 39 32% 2 1 —
I. Konaté D 90 6.76 — — 1 32 26% 1 — —
D. Dumfries D 90 6.46 — — 1 18 16% 1 — —
F. Valverde M 90 8.20 1 — 2 39 38% 3 — —
T. Alexander-Arnold M 79 6.50 — — 1 24 20% 0 — —
Kylian Mbappé F 89 8.20 1 — 4 37 33% 0 — —
Brahim Díaz F 79 7.70 — 1 2 29 26% 1 — —
J. Bellingham M 90 6.87 — — 2 29 26% 3 — —
Vinícius Júnior F 87 6.57 — — 2 28 24% 2 — —
Álvaro Fernández D 3 6.60 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
A. Tchouaméni M 11 6.35 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Carlos Espí F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Y. Diomande F 11 6.66 — — 1 2 2% 0 — —
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Josep Martínez G 90 7.60 — — 0 27 25% 0 — —
A. Bastoni D 90 6.72 — — 2 81 78% 2 — —
Y. Bisseck D 90 6.60 — — 0 59 57% 3 1 —
B. Pavard D 45 6.47 — — 0 35 33% 1 — —
Carlos Augusto M 83 8.20 1 — 1 42 39% 0 — —
Curtis Jones M 90 6.59 — — 3 73 71% 1 — —
H. Çalhanoğlu M 60 7.20 — — 3 67 64% 1 1 —
N. Barella M 60 7.11 — — 1 52 48% 0 — —
A. Diouf M 90 6.43 — — 1 51 43% 1 — —
M. Thuram F 60 6.37 — — 4 10 10% 0 — —
Lautaro Martínez F 90 7.52 — 1 4 39 37% 0 1 —
A. Bonny F 30 6.34 — — 0 4 3% 1 — —
H. Mkhitaryan M 7 6.09 — — 1 15 14% 0 — —
John Stones D 45 6.51 — — 1 23 23% 0 — —
P. Sučić M 30 7.03 — — 0 18 15% 0 — —
P. Zieliński M 30 6.91 — — 0 25 24% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Inter?
The final score was Real Madrid 2–1 Inter.
What did the model predict before Real Madrid vs Inter?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Real Madrid win, 32% to a draw, and 25% to an Inter win.