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Real Madrid - Lask Linz

Champions League January 19, 2027 21:00
Real Madrid
#4 · 9 pts
vs
Lask Linz
#24 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.03%
Win
Real Madrid
31.58%
Draw
31.39%
Win
Lask Linz
1.04
Expected xG
0.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.4%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Madrid a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Lask Linz. Expected goals are 1.0 for Real Madrid and 0.9 for Lask Linz (total 1.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.4% probability.

Season Stats

Real Madrid
10W 0D 5L
Lask Linz
2W 0D 3L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
2.2
1.6
Conceded
2.6
6.5
Shots OT
6.0
5.7
Corners
4.6
52%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
80%
73%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
28%
O 3.5
56%
BTTS
Real Madrid
7W 0D 2L · at home
Lask Linz
1W 0D 2L · away
2.4
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
78%
Win %
33%
78%
Win or Draw
33%
89%
O 1.5
67%
89%
O 2.5
67%
22%
O 3.5
33%
78%
BTTS
33%
22%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Real Madrid Lask Linz →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.5% 12.9% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.8% 7.0% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 2.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Real Madrid Real Madrid
W RB Leipzig 4–1
W AS Roma 3–4
W Inter 2–1
L Bayern München 4–3
L Bayern München 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Lask Linz Lask Linz
W Sporting CP 2–3
L Liverpool 3–6
L AEK Athens FC 1–0
W Celtic 5–1
L Celtic 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Real Madrid Real Madrid
Attack
65
Defence
55
Form
77
Lask Linz Lask Linz
Attack
51
Defence
46
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Real Madrid vs Lask Linz?
The model gives Real Madrid a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Lask Linz win.
How many goals are expected in Real Madrid vs Lask Linz?
Expected goals: Real Madrid 1.0, Lask Linz 0.9 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Real Madrid vs Lask Linz?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.