✓Model correct — prediction Real Madrid
G. Garcia
(ast. B. Diaz)
44'
J. Bellingham
(ast. K. Mbappe)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 73% win probability (draw 16%, Oviedo 10%). The final result was Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo. In 1 previous meetings, Real Madrid have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Oviedo.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
1.46
Actual xG
1.03
1
Saves
5
65%
Possession
35%
4
Corners
5
9
Tackles
12
Match Events
⚽G. Garcia
· ast. B. Diaz
44'
55'
S. Cazorla
/
I. Chaira
T. Alexander-Arnold
/ D. Carvajal
64'
A. Tchouameni
/ J. Bellingham
64'
69'
H. Hassan
/
T. Fernandez
G. Garcia
/ K. Mbappe
69'
B. Diaz
/ C. Palacios
77'
F. Mastantuono
/ D. Yanez
77'
79'
P. Agudin
/
N. Fonseca
79'
L. Ahijado
/
N. Vidal
⚽J. Bellingham
· ast. K. Mbappe
80'
Pre-match prediction
73.04%
Real ←
16.01%
X
10.96%
Oviedo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid)
73.04%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.37
1.46
-0.91
0.80
1.03
+0.24
Real Madrid dominated by xG (1.46 vs 1.03).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Courtois
G
T. Courtois
G
18
Álvaro Fernández
D
Álvaro Fernández
D
4
D. Alaba
D
D. Alaba
D
17
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
64'
D
T. Alexander-Arnold
64'
D
21
Brahim Díaz
1 👟
77'
M
Brahim Díaz
1 👟
77'
M
14
A. Tchouaméni
64'
M
A. Tchouaméni
64'
M
6
E. Camavinga
M
E. Camavinga
M
30
Franco Mastantuono
77'
M
Franco Mastantuono
77'
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
F
Vinícius Júnior
F
16
Gonzalo García
1 ⚽
69'
F
Gonzalo García
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
22
A. Rüdiger
D
A. Rüdiger
D
38
César Palacios
13'
M
César Palacios
13'
M
2
Dani Carvajal
26'
D
Dani Carvajal
26'
D
42
Daniel Yañez
13'
F
Daniel Yañez
13'
F
20
Fran García
D
Fran García
D
26
Fran González
G
Fran González
G
5
J. Bellingham
1 ⚽
26'
M
J. Bellingham
1 ⚽
26'
M
36
Joan Martínez
D
Joan Martínez
D
10
Kylian Mbappé
1 👟
21'
F
Kylian Mbappé
1 👟
21'
F
43
Sergio Mestre
G
Sergio Mestre
G
45
Thiago Pitarch
M
Thiago Pitarch
M
13
Aarón Escandell
G
Aarón Escandell
G
3
R. Alhassane
D
R. Alhassane
D
4
David Costas
D
David Costas
D
2
E. Bailly
D
E. Bailly
D
22
Nacho Vidal
79'
D
5
Alberto Reina
M
11
Santiago Colombatto
M
Santiago Colombatto
M
23
Nicolas Fonseca
79'
M
Nicolas Fonseca
79'
M
15
T. Fernández
69'
F
T. Fernández
69'
F
9
F. Viñas
F
F. Viñas
F
7
Ilyas Chaira
55'
F
Bench
19
Álex Forés
F
12
Dani Calvo
D
16
David Carmo
D
David Carmo
D
10
H. Hassan
21'
F
H. Hassan
21'
F
1
Horațiu Moldovan
G
Horațiu Moldovan
G
24
Lucas Ahijado
11'
D
Lucas Ahijado
11'
D
21
Luka Ilić
M
Luka Ilić
M
27
Pablo Agudín
11'
M
Pablo Agudín
11'
M
8
Santi Cazorla
35'
M
Santi Cazorla
35'
M
17
T. Borbas
F
T. Borbas
F
Best on the pitch
Gonzalo García
F · Real
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
J. Bellingham
M · Real
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
E. Camavinga
M · Real
7.90
1 shots
· 76 pass
Raúl Asencio
D · Real
7.50
· 65 pass
D. Alaba
D · Real
7.30
· 63 pass
Brahim Díaz
M · Real
7.30
1 👟
3 shots
· 44 pass
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Courtois | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Fernández | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 64% | — | — | — |
| D. Alaba | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Raúl Asencio | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Alexander-Arnold | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Brahim Díaz | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 44 | 41% | — | — | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Camavinga | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 69 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| César Palacios | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Dani Carvajal | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Yañez | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 26 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Oviedo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Alhassane | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| David Costas | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| E. Bailly | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Nacho Vidal | D | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Alberto Reina | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Colombatto | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Fonseca | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Fernández | F | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Viñas | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Ilyas Chaira | F | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Hassan | F | 21 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ahijado | D | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Agudín | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Santi Cazorla | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Oviedo?
The final score was Real Madrid 2–0 Oviedo.
What did the model predict before Real Madrid vs Oviedo?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Real Madrid win, 16% to a draw, and 10% to an Oviedo win.