Real Madrid - PSV Eindhoven
Champions League
November 24, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.63%
Win
Real Madrid
29.4%
Draw
28.97%
Win
PSV Eindhoven
1.4
0.93
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.68%)
1X2 Result
1
42%
X
29%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
58%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Madrid a 41% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for PSV Eindhoven. Expected goals are 1.4 for Real Madrid and 0.9 for PSV Eindhoven (total 2.3), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.68% probability.
Season Stats
10W
0D
5L
2W
3D
4L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.9
1.4
Conceded
1.9
7.0
Shots OT
3.7
5.6
Corners
4.8
52%
Poss.
52%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
89%
27%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
19%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
6W
0D
2L
· at home
1W
2D
1L
· away
2.2
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
1.5
75%
Win %
25%
75%
Win or Draw
75%
88%
O 1.5
100%
88%
O 2.5
50%
13%
O 3.5
25%
75%
BTTS
75%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
25%
last 8
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Real Madrid
PSV Eindhoven →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.6% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Real Madrid
Attack
62
Defence
61
Form
68
PSV Eindhoven
Attack
68
Defence
64
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?
The model gives Real Madrid a 41% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an PSV Eindhoven win.
How many goals are expected in Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?
Expected goals: Real Madrid 1.4, PSV Eindhoven 0.9 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.68%.