Kylian Mbappé
14'
(pen.)
Álvaro Fernández Carreras
(ast. Kylian Mbappé)
17'
Jude Bellingham
(ast. Vinícius)
35'
Kylian Mbappé
(ast. Arda Güler)
90'+1
51'
Sergio Camello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Rayo Vallecano 25%). The final result was Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano. In 2 previous meetings, Real Madrid have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rayo Vallecano.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
18
11
Shots on target
7
6
Saves
7
56%
Possession
44%
11
Corners
5
18
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Kylian Mbappé
(pen.)
14'
⚽Álvaro Fernández Carreras
· ast. Kylian Mbappé
17'
⚽Jude Bellingham
· ast. Vinícius
35'
Federico Valverde
/ Eduardo Camavinga
45'
51'
Sergio Camello⚽
67'
Óscar Valentín
/
Gnangoro Bouare
67'
Rayane Belaid
/
Pedro Díaz
Bernardo Silva
/ Aurelien Tchouameni
69'
Yan Diomande
/ Arda Güler
72'
75'
Alexandre Zurawski
/
Sergio Camello
75'
Mujaid Sadick
/
Unai López
76'
Pathé Ciss
85'
Ivan Balliu
/
Adrià Pedrosa
Vinícius
/ Marc Cucurella
89'
⚽Kylian Mbappé
· ast. Arda Güler
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
47.91%
Real ←
26.17%
X
25.91%
Rayo
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid)
47.91%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.41
—
—
1.57
—
—
Lineups
1
T. Courtois
G
T. Courtois
G
18
Álvaro Fernández
1 ⚽
D
Álvaro Fernández
1 ⚽
D
22
A. Rüdiger
D
A. Rüdiger
D
16
I. Konaté
D
I. Konaté
D
24
D. Dumfries
D
D. Dumfries
D
20
Bernardo Silva
69'
M
Bernardo Silva
69'
M
8
F. Valverde
45'
M
F. Valverde
45'
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
1 👟
89'
M
Vinícius Júnior
1 👟
89'
M
5
J. Bellingham
1 ⚽
M
J. Bellingham
1 ⚽
M
25
Y. Diomande
72'
M
Y. Diomande
72'
M
10
Kylian Mbappé
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Kylian Mbappé
2 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
15
A. Güler
1 👟
18'
M
A. Güler
1 👟
18'
M
13
A. Lunin
G
A. Lunin
G
14
A. Tchouaméni
21'
M
A. Tchouaméni
21'
M
21
Brahim Díaz
M
Brahim Díaz
M
19
Carlos Espí
F
Carlos Espí
F
4
D. Huijsen
D
D. Huijsen
D
6
E. Camavinga
45'
M
E. Camavinga
45'
M
9
Endrick
F
Endrick
F
17
Marc Cucurella
1'
D
Marc Cucurella
1'
D
2
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
27
Thiago Pitarch
M
Thiago Pitarch
M
25
E. Audero
G
E. Audero
G
17
Adrià Pedrosa
85'
D
Adrià Pedrosa
85'
D
6
P. Ciss
D
P. Ciss
D
24
F. Lejeune
D
F. Lejeune
D
2
A. Rațiu
D
A. Rațiu
D
8
Unai López
75'
M
Unai López
75'
M
36
G. Bouare
67'
M
G. Bouare
67'
M
18
Álvaro García
M
Álvaro García
M
4
Pedro Díaz
67'
M
Pedro Díaz
67'
M
14
G. Tsitaishvili
M
G. Tsitaishvili
M
10
Sergio Camello
1 ⚽
75'
F
Sergio Camello
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
30
Adrián Molina
G
Adrián Molina
G
9
Alemão
15'
F
Alemão
15'
F
1
Dani Cárdenas
G
Dani Cárdenas
G
20
I. Balliu
5'
D
I. Balliu
5'
D
3
Marash Kumbulla
D
Marash Kumbulla
D
26
Marco de las Sías
D
Marco de las Sías
D
31
M. Roman
M
M. Roman
M
15
Mujaid Sadick
15'
D
Mujaid Sadick
15'
D
23
Óscar Valentín
23'
M
Óscar Valentín
23'
M
22
Pelayo Fernández
D
Pelayo Fernández
D
37
Rayane Belid
23'
F
Rayane Belid
23'
F
28
Samu Becerra
M
Samu Becerra
M
Best on the pitch
Kylian Mbappé
F · Real
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 31 pass
T. Courtois
G · Real
8.35
· 37 pass
J. Bellingham
M · Real
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 38 pass
Sergio Camello
F · Rayo
8.17
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
Álvaro Fernández
D · Real
7.92
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 63 pass
Vinícius Júnior
M · Real
7.70
1 👟
4 shots
· 37 pass
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Courtois | G | 90 | 8.35 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| Álvaro Fernández | D | 90 | 7.92 | 1 | — | 1 | 63 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 74% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Konaté | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 69 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Valverde | M | 45 | 7.11 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | M | 89 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 4 | 37 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Diomande | M | 72 | 6.97 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 90 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Güler | M | 18 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 21 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Camavinga | M | 45 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 1 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Audero | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Adrià Pedrosa | D | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Ciss | D | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Lejeune | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rațiu | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| Unai López | M | 75 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Bouare | M | 67 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Álvaro García | M | 90 | 5.58 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Díaz | M | 67 | 6.65 | — | — | 5 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Tsitaishvili | M | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Camello | F | 75 | 8.17 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Alemão | F | 15 | 6.25 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Balliu | D | 5 | 5.60 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Mujaid Sadick | D | 15 | 5.76 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Óscar Valentín | M | 23 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayane Belid | F | 23 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
The final score was Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano.
What did the model predict before Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Real Madrid win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Rayo Vallecano win.