División Profesional
· Apertura - 22
October 17, 2026 21:00
Ademar Rivera Sifuentes
(ast. Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz)
41'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Oruro a 42% win probability (draw 20%, Aurora 37%). The final result was Real Oruro 1–0 Aurora. In 1 previous meetings, Real Oruro have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Aurora.
Match statistics
22
Total shots
12
9
Shots on target
4
1.98
Actual xG
1.30
0
Saves
8
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
8
17
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
F. Gatti
17'
E. Rivera
23'
Ademar Rivera Sifuentes
34'
⚽Ademar Rivera Sifuentes
· ast. Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz
41'
45'
Ivan Huayhuata
/
Alfredo·Amarilla
45'
Rodrigo Ramallo
/
Erwin Junior Sanchez
45'
Henry Vaca
/
Ronaldo Sánchez
Denis Pinto
/ Juan Montenegro
54'
F. Gatti
/ Angel Quiñonez
54'
Hernán Tifner
/ Raul Ardaya
65'
70'
adrian pacheco
/
leandro barro
70'
David Alejandro Villca Coria
/
Leonardo Viviani
71'
I. Vidaurre
Jhámil Rodrigo Ari Cruz
/ Rivaldo Omar Méndez Maraz
72'
Ademar Rivera Sifuentes
/ Juan Pablo Gómez Perez
72'
Juan Pablo Gómez Perez
77'
83'
David Alejandro Villca Coria
90'
Henry Vaca
Pre-match prediction
42.17%
Real ←
20.76%
X
37.07%
Aurora
we assigned to the actual result (Real Oruro)
42.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.97
1.98
+0.01
1.84
1.30
-0.54
Real Oruro dominated by xG (1.98 vs 1.30).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
66
70'
G
31
R. J. Balceras Cuellar
D
R. J. Balceras Cuellar
D
22
E. Rivera
D
E. Rivera
D
5
L. Corulo
D
L. Corulo
D
18
Y. Calle
D
Y. Calle
D
65
Adán Alexis Félix Bravo
M
Adán Alexis Félix Bravo
M
6
A. Rivera
1 ⚽
72'
M
A. Rivera
1 ⚽
72'
M
30
J. Ari Cruz
1 👟
72'
M
J. Ari Cruz
1 👟
72'
M
26
H. Tifner
65'
M
H. Tifner
65'
M
33
F. Gatti
54'
M
F. Gatti
54'
M
9
D. Pinto
54'
F
D. Pinto
54'
F
Bench
10
A. Quiñonez
36'
F
A. Quiñonez
36'
F
77
C. Siles
M
C. Siles
M
15
D. Castellón
D
D. Castellón
D
13
I. Peña
G
I. Peña
G
48
J. Berrios
D
J. Berrios
D
50
J. Montenegro
36'
F
J. Montenegro
36'
F
70
J. P. Gomez
18'
M
J. P. Gomez
18'
M
37
J. Velez
J. Velez
42
R. Ardaya
25'
M
R. Ardaya
25'
M
32
R. Méndez
18'
D
R. Méndez
18'
D
55
S. Garcia
F
S. Garcia
F
23
Yhon Jairo Villegas Soleto
D
Yhon Jairo Villegas Soleto
D
12
R. Cordano
G
R. Cordano
G
70
J. Torrico
D
J. Torrico
D
4
I. Vidaurre
D
I. Vidaurre
D
22
J. Velázquez
D
J. Velázquez
D
16
D. Barro
70'
D
D. Barro
70'
D
5
A. Amarilla
45'
M
A. Amarilla
45'
M
8
70'
M
19
J. Sánchez
45'
M
J. Sánchez
45'
M
14
H. Sánchez
45'
M
H. Sánchez
45'
M
69
A. Terrazas
M
A. Terrazas
M
9
M. Rangel
F
M. Rangel
F
Bench
25
Alvaro Rios
M
Alvaro Rios
M
20
A. Pacheco
20'
F
A. Pacheco
20'
F
26
D. Villca
20'
F
D. Villca
20'
F
11
H. Mojica
M
H. Mojica
M
7
H. Vaca
45'
F
H. Vaca
45'
F
23
I. Huayhuata
45'
M
I. Huayhuata
45'
M
15
Jose Cordova
D
Jose Cordova
D
1
J. Terrazas
G
J. Terrazas
G
21
M. Ortiz
M
M. Ortiz
M
28
O. Vaca
D
O. Vaca
D
10
R. Ramallo
45'
F
R. Ramallo
45'
F
18
S. Rojas
F
S. Rojas
F
Best on the pitch
R. Cordano
G · Aurora
8.33
· 45 pass
A. Rivera
M · Real
8.01
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Y. Calle
D · Real
7.43
· 27 pass
R. Méndez
D · Real
7.42
· 11 pass
J. Ari Cruz
M · Real
7.28
1 👟
1 shots
· 17 pass
F. Gatti
M · Real
7.20
1 shots
· 23 pass
Real Oruro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 70 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. J. Balceras Cuellar | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Rivera | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Corulo | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Calle | D | 90 | 7.43 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Adán Alexis Félix Bravo | M | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 6 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rivera | M | 72 | 8.01 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Ari Cruz | M | 72 | 7.28 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Tifner | M | 65 | 6.95 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Gatti | M | 54 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Pinto | F | 54 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Quiñonez | F | 36 | 7.11 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Montenegro | F | 36 | 6.43 | — | — | 4 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. P. Gomez | M | 18 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Ardaya | M | 25 | 7.01 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Méndez | D | 18 | 7.42 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Aurora — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Cordano | G | 90 | 8.33 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Torrico | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Vidaurre | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 43% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Velázquez | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Barro | D | 70 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Amarilla | M | 45 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M | 70 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Sánchez | M | 45 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Sánchez | M | 45 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Terrazas | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rangel | F | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pacheco | F | 20 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Villca | F | 20 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| H. Vaca | F | 45 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Huayhuata | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ramallo | F | 45 | 6.74 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Oruro vs Aurora?
The final score was Real Oruro 1–0 Aurora.
What did the model predict before Real Oruro vs Aurora?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Real Oruro win, 20% to a draw, and 37% to an Aurora win.