División Profesional
· Apertura - 16
August 23, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Bolívar
Y. Vallejos
68'
(pen.)
Y. Vallejos
80'
17'
C. A. Melgar
23'
(ast. J. Sagredo)
D. Romero
63'
(ast. L. Justiniano)
J. Velasquez
82'
(ast. Pato Rodriguez)
E. Saavedra
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 71% win probability (draw 12%, Real Oruro 16%). The final result was Real Oruro 2–4 Bolívar. In 1 previous meetings, Real Oruro have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Bolívar.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
8
1.76
Actual xG
1.69
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
6
Match Events
17'
C. A. Melgar⚽
23'
ast. J. Sagredo ·
D. Romero⚽
S. Garcia
/ J. Velez
46'
46'
M. Cauteruccio
/
D. Asprilla
A. F. Bravo Adan
/ D. Castellon
46'
E. Rivera
54'
57'
E. Saavedra
/
Robson Matheus
63'
ast. L. Justiniano ·
J. Velasquez⚽
67'
L. Justiniano
⚽Y. Vallejos
(pen.)
68'
69'
E. Vaca Moreno
/
C. A. Melgar
69'
Pato Rodriguez
/
J. Velasquez
F. Gatti
/ D. Pinto
69'
L. Corulo
71'
Y. Villegas
/ H. Tifner
77'
⚽Y. Vallejos
80'
82'
ast. Pato Rodriguez ·
E. Saavedra⚽
88'
B. Arce
/
L. Justiniano
A. Rivera
89'
R. J. Balceras Cuellar
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
16.07%
Real
12.17%
X
71.76%
Bolívar ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bolívar)
71.76%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.96
1.76
-0.2
4.50
1.69
-2.81
xG dominance was balanced (1.76 – 1.69).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Oruro vs Bolívar?
The final score was Real Oruro 2–4 Bolívar.
What did the model predict before Real Oruro vs Bolívar?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Real Oruro win, 12% to a draw, and 71% to an Bolívar win.