MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 03:30
✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake
Z. Gozo
(ast. S. Solans)
36'
S. Solans
(ast. J. Sanabria)
68'
7'
(ast. P. Aaronson)
W. Frederick
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Colorado Rapids 17%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado Rapids. In 1 previous meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
1.38
Actual xG
0.39
3
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
6
21
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
ast. P. Aaronson ·
W. Frederick⚽
34'
H. Ojediran
⚽Z. Gozo
· ast. S. Solans
36'
52'
J. Atencio
/
C. Ronan
52'
R. Holding
/
J. Travis
A. Hezarkhani
/ M. Guilavogui
64'
L. Engel
/ S. Junqua
64'
Z. Booth
/ D. Marczuk
64'
67'
J. Atencio
⚽S. Solans
· ast. J. Sanabria
68'
73'
D. Yapi
/
H. Ojediran
73'
R. Cannon
/
K. Thompson
73'
R. Cannon
S. Spierings
/ G. Dillon
76'
Z. Gozo
81'
84'
A. Manyoma
/
M. Navarro
S. Solans
/ V. Olatunji
87'
D. Yedlin
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.52%
Real ←
22.02%
X
17.46%
Colorado
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake)
60.52%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
1.38
-0.72
0.73
0.39
-0.34
Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Rafael Cabral
G
Rafael Cabral
G
8
J. Sanabria
1 👟
D
J. Sanabria
1 👟
D
4
L. Engel
64'
D
L. Engel
64'
D
15
Justen Glad
D
Justen Glad
D
2
D. Yedlin
D
D. Yedlin
D
23
Zach Booth
64'
D
Zach Booth
64'
D
72
Z. Gozo
1 ⚽
M
Z. Gozo
1 ⚽
M
92
N. Caliskan
M
N. Caliskan
M
6
Stijn Spierings
76'
M
Stijn Spierings
76'
M
39
A. Hezarkhani
64'
M
A. Hezarkhani
64'
M
22
S. Solans
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
S. Solans
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
Bench
98
A. Katránis
D
A. Katránis
D
11
Dominik Marczuk
27'
F
Dominik Marczuk
27'
F
27
Griffin Dillon
15'
M
Griffin Dillon
15'
M
24
Max Kerkvliet
G
Max Kerkvliet
G
9
M. Guilavogui
27'
F
M. Guilavogui
27'
F
26
P. Quinton
D
P. Quinton
D
29
Sam Junqua
27'
D
Sam Junqua
27'
D
17
Victor Olatunji
4'
F
Victor Olatunji
4'
F
41
N. Defreitas
G
N. Defreitas
G
99
J. Travis
52'
D
J. Travis
52'
D
29
M. Navarro
84'
D
M. Navarro
84'
D
22
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
33
K. Thompson
73'
D
K. Thompson
73'
D
20
C. Ronan
52'
M
C. Ronan
52'
M
8
H. Ojediran
73'
M
H. Ojediran
73'
M
93
G. Minoungou
M
G. Minoungou
M
13
W. Frederick II
1 ⚽
M
W. Frederick II
1 ⚽
M
10
P. Aaronson
1 👟
M
P. Aaronson
1 👟
M
9
Rafael Navarro
F
Rafael Navarro
F
Bench
31
A. Beaudry
G
A. Beaudry
G
11
A. Castillo Manyoma
7'
M
A. Castillo Manyoma
7'
M
7
D. Sealy
F
D. Sealy
F
77
D. Yapi
18'
F
D. Yapi
18'
F
12
J. Atencio
39'
M
J. Atencio
39'
M
2
K. Rosenberry
D
K. Rosenberry
D
24
N. Cobb
D
N. Cobb
D
4
R. Cannon
18'
D
R. Cannon
18'
D
6
R. Holding
39'
D
R. Holding
39'
D
Best on the pitch
N. Defreitas
G · Colorado
8.50
· 46 pass
S. Solans
F · Real
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 10 pass
Z. Gozo
M · Real
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
J. Sanabria
D · Real
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 37 pass
Justen Glad
D · Real
7.20
1 shots
· 67 pass
N. Caliskan
M · Real
7.20
· 46 pass
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral | G | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Sanabria | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 30% | 6 | — | — |
| L. Engel | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Justen Glad | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Yedlin | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Zach Booth | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Z. Gozo | M | 91 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Caliskan | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hezarkhani | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. Solans | F | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Griffin Dillon | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| M. Guilavogui | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sam Junqua | D | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Defreitas | G | 91 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| J. Travis | D | 52 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Herrington | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Thompson | D | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ronan | M | 52 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| H. Ojediran | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Minoungou | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 91 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| P. Aaronson | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Castillo Manyoma | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Yapi | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Cannon | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Holding | D | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 22% to a draw, and 17% to an Colorado Rapids win.