MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 03:30
✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake
Z. Gozo
(ast. S. Solans)
36'
S. Solans
(ast. J. Sanabria)
68'
7'
(ast. P. Aaronson)
W. Frederick
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Colorado Rapids 17%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
4
1.38
Actual xG
0.39
3
Saves
6
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
6
21
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
ast. P. Aaronson ·
W. Frederick⚽
34'
H. Ojediran
⚽Z. Gozo
· ast. S. Solans
36'
52'
J. Atencio
/
C. Ronan
52'
R. Holding
/
J. Travis
A. Hezarkhani
/ M. Guilavogui
64'
L. Engel
/ S. Junqua
64'
Z. Booth
/ D. Marczuk
64'
67'
J. Atencio
⚽S. Solans
· ast. J. Sanabria
68'
73'
D. Yapi
/
H. Ojediran
73'
R. Cannon
/
K. Thompson
73'
R. Cannon
S. Spierings
/ G. Dillon
76'
Z. Gozo
81'
84'
A. Manyoma
/
M. Navarro
S. Solans
/ V. Olatunji
87'
D. Yedlin
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.52%
Real ←
22.02%
X
17.46%
Colorado
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake)
60.52%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
1.38
-0.72
0.73
0.39
-0.34
Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Rafael Cabral
G
Rafael Cabral
G
8
Juan Sanabria
1 👟
D
Juan Sanabria
1 👟
D
4
Lukas Engel
64'
D
Lukas Engel
64'
D
15
Justen Glad
D
Justen Glad
D
2
DeAndre Yedlin
D
DeAndre Yedlin
D
23
Zach Booth
64'
D
Zach Booth
64'
D
72
Z. Gozo
1 ⚽
M
Z. Gozo
1 ⚽
M
92
Noel Caliskan
M
Noel Caliskan
M
6
Stijn Spierings
76'
M
Stijn Spierings
76'
M
39
Aiden Hezarkhani
64'
M
Aiden Hezarkhani
64'
M
22
Sergi Solans
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
Sergi Solans
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
F
Bench
98
Alexandros Katranis
D
Alexandros Katranis
D
11
Dominik Marczuk
27'
F
Dominik Marczuk
27'
F
27
Griffin Dillon
15'
M
Griffin Dillon
15'
M
24
Max Kerkvliet
G
Max Kerkvliet
G
9
Morgan Guilavogui
27'
F
Morgan Guilavogui
27'
F
26
Philip Quinton
D
Philip Quinton
D
29
Sam Junqua
27'
D
Sam Junqua
27'
D
17
Victor Olatunji
4'
F
Victor Olatunji
4'
F
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
99
J. Travis
52'
D
J. Travis
52'
D
29
M. Navarro
84'
D
M. Navarro
84'
D
22
Lucas Herrington
D
Lucas Herrington
D
33
Kosi Thompson
73'
D
Kosi Thompson
73'
D
20
Connor Ronan
52'
M
Connor Ronan
52'
M
8
H. Ojediran
73'
M
H. Ojediran
73'
M
93
Georgi Minoungou
M
Georgi Minoungou
M
13
W. Frederick II
1 ⚽
M
W. Frederick II
1 ⚽
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
1 👟
M
Paxten Aaronson
1 👟
M
9
Rafael Navarro
F
Rafael Navarro
F
Bench
31
Adam Beaudry
G
Adam Beaudry
G
11
Alexis Manyoma
7'
M
Alexis Manyoma
7'
M
77
Darren Yapi
18'
F
Darren Yapi
18'
F
7
D. Sealy
F
D. Sealy
F
12
J. Atencio
39'
M
J. Atencio
39'
M
2
Keegan Rosenberry
D
Keegan Rosenberry
D
24
Noah Cobb
D
Noah Cobb
D
4
Reggie Cannon
18'
D
Reggie Cannon
18'
D
6
R. Holding
39'
D
R. Holding
39'
D
Best on the pitch
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G · Colorado
8.50
· 46 pass
Sergi Solans
F · Real
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 10 pass
Z. Gozo
M · Real
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
Juan Sanabria
D · Real
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 37 pass
Justen Glad
D · Real
7.20
1 shots
· 67 pass
Noel Caliskan
M · Real
7.20
· 46 pass
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral | G | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Juan Sanabria | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 30% | 6 | — | — |
| Lukas Engel | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Justen Glad | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| DeAndre Yedlin | D | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Zach Booth | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Z. Gozo | M | 91 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Aiden Hezarkhani | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Sergi Solans | F | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Griffin Dillon | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Morgan Guilavogui | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sam Junqua | D | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 91 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | — | — | — |
| J. Travis | D | 52 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 71 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Connor Ronan | M | 52 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| H. Ojediran | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | M | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 91 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 91 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Manyoma | M | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Atencio | M | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Holding | D | 39 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Real Salt Lake 2–1 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 22% to a draw, and 17% to an Colorado Rapids win.