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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 14, 2026 03:30
Real Salt Lake
#11 · 32 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Houston Dynamo
#5 · 44 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Real Salt Lake
D. Holmes 49' (og)
Z. Gozo (ast. D. Yedlin) 57'
Z. Gozo (ast. S. Spierings) 64'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Houston Dynamo 17%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 3–0 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
4
0.64
Actual xG
0.87
4
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
1
18
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
45'+4
A. Bouzat
46'
Antonio Carlos / A. Resch ↕
46'
M. Bogusz / J. McGlynn ↕
↕ M. Guilavogui / D. Luna
46'
⚽D. Holmes (og)
49'
55'
Guilherme / N. Markanich ↕
↕ V. Olatunji / S. Solans
57'
⚽Z. Gozo · ast. D. Yedlin
57'
⚽Z. Gozo · ast. S. Spierings
64'
↕ S. Spierings / N. Caliskan
75'
↕ D. Marczuk / Z. Booth
75'
79'
L. Ennali / D. Holmes ↕
↕ Z. Gozo / A. Hezarkhani
81'
86'
E. Ponce / O. Lingr ↕
Pre-match prediction
61.53%
Real ←
21.17%
X
17.31%
Houston
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake) 61.53% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Real
2.53
0.64
-1.89
Houston
0.78
0.87
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (0.64 – 0.87). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 26 50
2 St. Louis City St. Louis City 27 47
3 FC Dallas FC Dallas 27 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 27 44
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 28 41
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 27 38
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 27 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
10 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 27 32
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 27 32
12 San Diego San Diego 27 32
13 Austin Austin 27 31
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 27 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 27 21
Lineups
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
1 Rafael Cabral Rafael Cabral G 7.30
29 S. Junqua S. Junqua D 7.00
26 P. Quinton P. Quinton D 7.30
2 D. Yedlin D. Yedlin 1 👟 D 7.00
8 Juan Sanabria Juan Sanabria M 6.90
6 S. Spierings S. Spierings 1 👟 75' M 7.60
27 Griffin Dillon Griffin Dillon M 6.90
11 D. Marczuk D. Marczuk 75' M 6.70
9 M. Guilavogui M. Guilavogui 45' F 6.90
17 Victor Olatunji Victor Olatunji 57' F 6.50
72 Zavier Gozo Zavier Gozo 2 ⚽ 81' F 8.60
Bench
39 A. Hezarkhani A. Hezarkhani 9' F 6.60
98 Alexandros Katranis Alexandros Katranis D
10 D. Luna D. Luna 45' M 6.50
4 L. Engel L. Engel D
24 M. Kerkvliet M. Kerkvliet G
92 N. Caliskan N. Caliskan 15' M 6.30
7 P. Ruiz P. Ruiz M
22 S. Solans S. Solans 33' F 6.60
23 Zach Booth Zach Booth 15' M 6.30
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-4-2-1
31 J. Bond J. Bond G 5.90
21 F. Negri F. Negri D 7.20
34 A. Resch A. Resch 45' D 7.50
28 E. Sviatchenko E. Sviatchenko D 5.90
24 A. Ibrahim A. Ibrahim M 6.20
30 A. Bouzat A. Bouzat M 6.20
16 H. Herrera H. Herrera M 7.00
14 D. Holmes D. Holmes 1 ⚽ 79' M 6.30
9 O. Lingr O. Lingr 86' F 6.70
8 J. McGlynn J. McGlynn 45' F 6.90
17 N. Markanich N. Markanich 55' F 6.50
Bench
3 Antônio Carlos Antônio Carlos 45' D 6.20
6 Artur Artur M
26 B. Gillingham B. Gillingham G
18 D. Samassékou D. Samassékou M
10 E. Ponce E. Ponce 4' F
20 Guilherme Guilherme 35' F 6.50
11 L. Ennali L. Ennali 11' F 6.50
19 M. Bogusz M. Bogusz 45' M 6.20
33 Vinicius Silva Vinicius Silva D
Best on the pitch
Zavier Gozo
Zavier Gozo
F · Real
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
S. Spierings
S. Spierings
M · Real
7.60
1 👟
· 68 pass
A. Resch
A. Resch
D · Houston
7.50
1 shots · 28 pass
P. Quinton
P. Quinton
D · Real
7.30
· 71 pass
Rafael Cabral
Rafael Cabral
G · Real
7.30
· 48 pass
F. Negri
F. Negri
D · Houston
7.20
· 67 pass
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael Cabral G 90 7.30 — — — 48 46% — — —
S. Junqua D 90 7.00 — — — 84 77% — — —
P. Quinton D 90 7.30 — — — 71 68% 1 — —
D. Yedlin D 90 7.00 — 1 — 49 45% 3 — —
Juan Sanabria M 90 6.90 — — 2 38 32% 4 — —
S. Spierings M 75 7.60 — 1 — 68 62% 2 — —
Griffin Dillon M 90 6.90 — — — 47 41% — — —
D. Marczuk M 75 6.70 — — 1 20 15% 4 — —
M. Guilavogui F 45 6.90 — — — 23 21% — — —
Victor Olatunji F 57 6.50 — — — 3 1% — — —
Zavier Gozo F 81 8.60 2 — 3 14 12% 2 — —
A. Hezarkhani F 9 6.60 — — — 2 2% 2 — —
D. Luna M 45 6.50 — — — 26 22% — — —
N. Caliskan M 15 6.30 — — — 7 7% — — —
S. Solans F 33 6.60 — — — 7 6% — — —
Zach Booth M 15 6.30 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bond G 90 5.90 — — — 28 24% — — —
F. Negri D 90 7.20 — — — 67 61% 2 — —
A. Resch D 45 7.50 — — 1 28 27% 1 — —
E. Sviatchenko D 90 5.90 — — — 36 29% 2 — —
A. Ibrahim M 90 6.20 — — 2 19 17% 4 — —
A. Bouzat M 90 6.20 — — 2 42 35% 1 1 —
H. Herrera M 90 7.00 — — 1 76 73% 1 — —
D. Holmes M 79 6.30 1 — — 22 18% — — —
O. Lingr F 86 6.70 — — 3 29 24% 1 — —
J. McGlynn F 45 6.90 — — 2 34 29% — — —
N. Markanich F 55 6.50 — — 1 14 12% — — —
Antônio Carlos D 45 6.20 — — — 19 19% — — —
E. Ponce F 4 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Guilherme F 35 6.50 — — 1 21 18% — — —
L. Ennali F 11 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
M. Bogusz M 45 6.20 — — — 19 16% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Real Salt Lake 3–0 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 21% to a draw, and 17% to an Houston Dynamo win.