MLS
· Regular Season - 9
April 23, 2026 05:30
82'
(ast. T. Segovia)
R. de Paul
83'
(ast. G. Berterame)
L. Suarez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Inter Miami 30%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 0–2 Inter Miami.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
0.87
Actual xG
1.56
5
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
4
15
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
42'
N. Allen
D. Yedlin
43'
S. Spierings
45'+4
D. Luna
58'
58'
Micael
A. Katranis
/ J. Sanabria
61'
65'
T. Segovia
71'
I. Fray
/
N. Allen
75'
L. Suarez
/
T. Allende
S. Solans
/ V. Olatunji
80'
82'
ast. T. Segovia ·
R. de Paul⚽
83'
ast. G. Berterame ·
L. Suarez⚽
S. Spierings
/ A. Hezarkhani
85'
Pre-match prediction
43.05%
Real
26.41%
X
30.54%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
30.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.50
0.87
-1.63
1.74
1.56
-0.18
Inter Miami dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
D
15
J. Glad
D
2
DeAndre Yedlin
D
DeAndre Yedlin
D
98
Alexandros Katranis
61'
M
Alexandros Katranis
61'
M
92
Noel Caliskan
M
Noel Caliskan
M
6
Stijn Spierings
85'
M
Stijn Spierings
85'
M
72
Zavier Gozo
M
Zavier Gozo
M
9
Morgan Guilavogui
F
Morgan Guilavogui
F
22
Sergi Solans
81'
F
Sergi Solans
81'
F
10
Diego Luna
F
Diego Luna
F
Bench
8
Juan Sanabria
35'
M
Juan Sanabria
35'
M
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
37
Maximiliano Falcón
D
Maximiliano Falcón
D
2
Gonzalo Luján
D
Gonzalo Luján
D
32
N. Allen
71'
M
8
Telasco Segovia
1 👟
M
Telasco Segovia
1 👟
M
7
Rodrigo De Paul
1 ⚽
M
Rodrigo De Paul
1 ⚽
M
4
Facundo Mura
M
Facundo Mura
M
19
G. Berterame
1 👟
F
G. Berterame
1 👟
F
10
Lionel Messi
F
Lionel Messi
F
21
T. Allende
75'
F
Bench
56
Daniel Pinter
F
Daniel Pinter
F
41
David Ruíz
M
David Ruíz
M
17
Ian Fray
25'
D
Ian Fray
25'
D
9
Luis Suárez
1 ⚽
21'
F
Luis Suárez
1 ⚽
21'
F
Best on the pitch
Rodrigo De Paul
M · Inter
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 76 pass
Luis Suárez
F · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Lionel Messi
F · Inter
8.00
5 shots
· 46 pass
Dayne St. Clair
G · Inter
7.60
· 35 pass
Diego Luna
F · Real
7.30
1 shots
· 55 pass
G · Real
7.30
· 42 pass
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 3 | — | — | |
| J. Glad | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| DeAndre Yedlin | D | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexandros Katranis | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Zavier Gozo | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Morgan Guilavogui | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Sergi Solans | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Luna | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Sanabria | M | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Micael | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maximiliano Falcón | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Allen | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Telasco Segovia | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 76 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Mura | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Lionel Messi | F | 96 | 8.00 | — | — | 5 | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Allende | F | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ian Fray | D | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luis Suárez | F | 21 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Inter Miami?
The final score was Real Salt Lake 0–2 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Inter Miami win.