MLS
· Regular Season - 9
April 23, 2026 03:30
82'
(ast. T. Segovia)
R. de Paul
83'
(ast. G. Berterame)
L. Suarez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Inter Miami 30%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 0–2 Inter Miami.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
7
0.87
Actual xG
1.56
5
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
4
15
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
5'
42'
N. Allen
D. Yedlin
43'
S. Spierings
45'+4
D. Luna
58'
58'
Micael
A. Katranis
/ J. Sanabria
61'
65'
T. Segovia
71'
I. Fray
/
N. Allen
75'
L. Suarez
/
T. Allende
S. Solans
/ V. Olatunji
80'
82'
ast. T. Segovia ·
R. de Paul⚽
83'
ast. G. Berterame ·
L. Suarez⚽
S. Spierings
/ A. Hezarkhani
85'
Pre-match prediction
43.05%
Real
26.41%
X
30.54%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
30.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.50
0.87
-1.63
1.74
1.56
-0.18
Inter Miami dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
29
D
15
Justen Glad
D
Justen Glad
D
2
D. Yedlin
D
D. Yedlin
D
98
Alexandros Katranis
61'
M
Alexandros Katranis
61'
M
92
N. Caliskan
M
N. Caliskan
M
6
S. Spierings
85'
M
S. Spierings
85'
M
72
Zavier Gozo
M
Zavier Gozo
M
9
M. Guilavogui
F
M. Guilavogui
F
22
S. Solans
81'
F
S. Solans
81'
F
10
D. Luna
F
D. Luna
F
Bench
8
Juan Sanabria
35'
M
Juan Sanabria
35'
M
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
37
M. Falcón
D
M. Falcón
D
2
G. Luján
D
G. Luján
D
32
N. Allen
71'
M
N. Allen
71'
M
8
T. Segovia
1 👟
M
T. Segovia
1 👟
M
7
R. De Paul
1 ⚽
M
R. De Paul
1 ⚽
M
4
F. Mura
M
F. Mura
M
19
Germán Berterame
1 👟
F
Germán Berterame
1 👟
F
10
L. Messi
F
L. Messi
F
21
T. Allende
75'
F
Bench
56
Daniel Pinter
F
Daniel Pinter
F
41
D. Ruíz
M
D. Ruíz
M
17
I. Fray
25'
D
I. Fray
25'
D
9
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
21'
F
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
21'
F
Best on the pitch
R. De Paul
M · Inter
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 76 pass
L. Suárez
F · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
L. Messi
F · Inter
8.00
5 shots
· 46 pass
Dayne St. Clair
G · Inter
7.60
· 35 pass
D. Luna
F · Real
7.30
1 shots
· 55 pass
G · Real
7.30
· 42 pass
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 3 | — | — | |
| Justen Glad | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Yedlin | D | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexandros Katranis | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| N. Caliskan | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Spierings | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Zavier Gozo | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Guilavogui | F | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Solans | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Luna | F | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Sanabria | M | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Micael | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Falcón | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Luján | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Allen | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Segovia | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 53% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 76 | 67% | — | — | — |
| F. Mura | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Germán Berterame | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Messi | F | 96 | 8.00 | — | — | 5 | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Allende | F | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| I. Fray | D | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 21 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Inter Miami?
The final score was Real Salt Lake 0–2 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Inter Miami win.