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MLS · Regular Season - 29 October 15, 2026 03:30 Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy
Real Salt Lake
#10 · 39 pts
1 – 1
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes
#4 · 48 pts
Luc De Fougerolles (ast. Juan Sanabria) 79'
90'+4 Jack Jasinski
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 38% win probability (draw 23%, San Jose Earthquakes 37%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
16
8
Shots on target
2
2.03
Actual xG
1.02
1
Saves
6
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
5
7
Tackles
7
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
45'
Eduard Löwen / Paul Marie ↕
↕ Dominik Marczuk / Chadwick Zachary Booth
57'
59'
Timo Werner / Nick Fernandez ↕
59'
Jack Jasinski / Beau Leroux ↕
68'
Vitor Costa / Jamar Ricketts ↕
↕ Sergi Solans / Ariath Piol
74'
↕ Saba Lobjanidze / Aiden Hezarkhani
74'
⚽Luc De Fougerolles · ast. Juan Sanabria
79'
↕ Luc De Fougerolles / DeAndre Yedlin
82'
83'
Luka Jovanovic / Max Floriani ↕
Ariath Piol
90'+1
90'+4
Jack Jasinski⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.82%
Real
23.89%
X ←
37.29%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Real
1.35
2.03
+0.68
San
1.48
1.02
-0.46
Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (2.03 vs 1.02). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 31 55
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 31 54
3 St. Louis City St. Louis City 31 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 31 48
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 31 48
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 32 47
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 31 43
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 31 42
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 32 41
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 31 39
11 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 31 37
12 San Diego San Diego 31 35
13 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 31 35
14 Austin Austin 31 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 31 22
Lineups
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1
1 Rafael Cabral Rafael Cabral G 6.69
3 K. Henry K. Henry D 6.56
26 P. Quinton P. Quinton D 7.16
44 L. De Fougerolles L. De Fougerolles 1 ⚽ 82' D 7.76
8 J. Sanabria J. Sanabria 1 👟 M 7.70
6 S. Spierings S. Spierings M 6.92
92 N. Caliskan N. Caliskan M 7.20
11 D. Marczuk D. Marczuk 57' M 6.41
12 S. Lobzhanidze S. Lobzhanidze 74' M 6.27
9 M. Guilavogui M. Guilavogui M 7.00
22 S. Solans S. Solans 74' F 6.41
Bench
39 A. Hezarkhani A. Hezarkhani 16' F 6.78
98 A. Katránis A. Katránis D 0.00
19 A. Piol A. Piol 16' F 6.22
23 Chadwick Zachary Booth Chadwick Zachary Booth 33' M 6.78
25 Colin Guske Colin Guske M 0.00
2 D. Yedlin D. Yedlin 8' D 6.73
34 L. Moisa L. Moisa M 0.00
31 M. Stajduhar M. Stajduhar G 0.00
29 S. Junqua S. Junqua D 0.00
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 5-3-2
1 A. Gunn A. Gunn G 7.49
2 J. Ricketts J. Ricketts 68' D 6.18
18 R. Roberts R. Roberts D 6.95
4 D. Romney D. Romney D 6.91
25 M. Floriani M. Floriani 83' D 7.18
3 P. Marie P. Marie 45' D 7.06
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux 59' M 6.59
20 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 59' M 5.72
6 I. Harkes I. Harkes M 6.84
7 O. Bouda O. Bouda F 6.44
19 P. Judd P. Judd F 6.27
Bench
5 D. Munie D. Munie D 0.00
36 E. Edwards E. Edwards G 0.00
23 E. Löwen E. Löwen 45' M 7.11
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski 1 ⚽ 31' D 8.08
9 L. Jovanović L. Jovanović 7' F 6.47
21 N. Buck N. Buck M 0.00
14 R. Vieira R. Vieira M 0.00
11 T. Werner T. Werner 31' F 7.17
87 Vítor Costa Vítor Costa 22' D 6.52
Best on the pitch
Jack Jasinski
Jack Jasinski
D · San
8.08
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
L. De Fougerolles
L. De Fougerolles
D · Real
7.76
1 ⚽
2 shots · 47 pass
J. Sanabria
J. Sanabria
M · Real
7.70
1 👟
· 51 pass
A. Gunn
A. Gunn
G · San
7.49
· 25 pass
N. Caliskan
N. Caliskan
M · Real
7.20
1 shots · 75 pass
M. Floriani
M. Floriani
D · San
7.18
1 shots · 45 pass
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael Cabral G 90 6.69 — — 0 24 20% 0 — —
K. Henry D 90 6.56 — — 2 43 35% 1 — —
P. Quinton D 90 7.16 — — 1 35 32% 0 — —
L. De Fougerolles D 82 7.76 1 — 2 47 36% 2 — —
J. Sanabria M 90 7.70 — 1 0 51 43% 0 — —
S. Spierings M 90 6.92 — — 3 75 67% 0 — —
N. Caliskan M 90 7.20 — — 1 75 71% 0 — —
D. Marczuk M 57 6.41 — — 1 17 12% 0 — —
S. Lobzhanidze M 74 6.27 — — 3 19 16% 0 — —
M. Guilavogui M 90 7.00 — — 3 55 48% 2 — —
S. Solans F 74 6.41 — — 1 15 9% 0 — —
A. Hezarkhani F 16 6.78 — — 2 8 7% 0 — —
A. Piol F 16 6.22 — — 1 6 4% 0 1 —
Chadwick Zachary Booth M 33 6.78 — — 2 10 8% 2 — —
D. Yedlin D 8 6.73 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Gunn G 90 7.49 — — 0 25 16% 0 — —
J. Ricketts D 68 6.18 — — 2 22 14% 0 — —
R. Roberts D 90 6.95 — — 1 51 47% 2 — —
D. Romney D 90 6.91 — — 0 59 50% 0 — —
M. Floriani D 83 7.18 — — 1 45 39% 1 — —
P. Marie D 45 7.06 — — 1 17 12% 0 — —
Beau Leroux M 59 6.59 — — 3 30 20% 1 — —
N. Fernandez M 59 5.72 — — 1 31 21% 0 — —
I. Harkes M 90 6.84 — — 0 61 54% 0 — —
O. Bouda F 90 6.44 — — 4 33 29% 2 — —
P. Judd F 90 6.27 — — 1 14 7% 0 — —
E. Löwen M 45 7.11 — — 0 38 36% 0 — —
Jack Jasinski D 31 8.08 1 — 1 10 6% 1 — —
L. Jovanović F 7 6.47 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
T. Werner F 31 7.17 — — 1 18 14% 0 — —
Vítor Costa D 22 6.52 — — 0 11 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 23% to a draw, and 37% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.