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MLS · Regular Season - 31 October 25, 2026 03:30 Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy
Real Salt Lake
#10 · 39 pts
3 – 0
Final score
St. Louis City
#3 · 51 pts
Sergi Solans (ast. Morgan Guilavogui) 41'
Dominik Marczuk (ast. Luc De Fougerolles) 52'
Sergi Solans (ast. Saba Lobjanidze) 59'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Salt Lake a 52% win probability (draw 20%, St. Louis City 26%). The final result was Real Salt Lake 3–0 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, Real Salt Lake have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
2
3.64
Actual xG
0.17
2
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
0
14
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
3'
Rafael Santos
29'
Tomas Ostrak
Philip Quinton
40'
⚽Sergi Solans · ast. Morgan Guilavogui
41'
43'
Tomas Ostrak
45'
Dante Polvara / Christopher Durkin ↕
45'
Mykhi Joyner / Conrad Wallem ↕
⚽Dominik Marczuk · ast. Luc De Fougerolles
52'
⚽Sergi Solans · ast. Saba Lobjanidze
59'
↕ Philip Quinton / Justen Glad
60'
Juan Sanabria
64'
↕ Morgan Guilavogui / Chadwick Zachary Booth
67'
↕ Noel Caliskan / Colin Guske
67'
↕ Sergi Solans / Ariath Piol
68'
71'
Daniel Edelman / Charles-Emile Brunet ↕
71'
Damion Downs / Simon Becher ↕
↕ Saba Lobjanidze / Aiden Hezarkhani
80'
84'
Mamadou Mbacke / Rafael Navarro Leal ↕
Pre-match prediction
52.85%
Real ←
20.3%
X
26.85%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Real Salt Lake) 52.85% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Real
2.46
3.64
+1.18
St.
1.59
0.17
-1.42
Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (3.64 vs 0.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 31 55
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 31 54
3 St. Louis City St. Louis City 31 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 31 48
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 31 48
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 32 47
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 31 43
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 31 42
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 32 41
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 31 39
11 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 31 37
12 San Diego San Diego 31 35
13 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 31 35
14 Austin Austin 31 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 31 22
Lineups
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 5-4-1
1 Rafael Cabral Rafael Cabral G 6.95
8 J. Sanabria J. Sanabria D 6.74
3 K. Henry K. Henry D 7.30
26 P. Quinton P. Quinton 60' D 6.58
44 L. De Fougerolles L. De Fougerolles 1 👟 D 6.85
11 D. Marczuk D. Marczuk 1 ⚽ D 8.10
9 M. Guilavogui M. Guilavogui 1 👟 67' M 7.70
92 N. Caliskan N. Caliskan 67' M 6.70
6 S. Spierings S. Spierings M 7.08
12 S. Lobzhanidze S. Lobzhanidze 1 👟 80' M 7.70
22 S. Solans S. Solans 2 ⚽ 68' F 8.90
Bench
39 A. Hezarkhani A. Hezarkhani 10' F 6.44
98 A. Katránis A. Katránis D 0.00
19 A. Piol A. Piol 22' F 6.47
23 Chadwick Zachary Booth Chadwick Zachary Booth 23' M 6.59
25 Colin Guske Colin Guske 23' M 7.03
2 D. Yedlin D. Yedlin D 0.00
15 J. Glad J. Glad 30' D 7.09
31 M. Stajduhar M. Stajduhar G 0.00
29 S. Junqua S. Junqua D 0.00
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G 5.74
27 F. Fall F. Fall D 6.29
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 6.42
99 J. Orozco J. Orozco D 6.20
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos M 5.03
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin 45' M 6.72
18 C. Brunet C. Brunet 71' M 6.12
6 C. Wallem C. Wallem 45' M 6.33
11 S. Becher S. Becher 71' F 6.06
9 Rafael Navarro Rafael Navarro 84' F 6.24
7 T. Ostrák T. Ostrák 43' F 5.22
Bench
19 C. Holse C. Holse F 0.00
31 C. Olivares C. Olivares G 0.00
42 D. Downs D. Downs 19' F 6.41
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman 19' M 5.87
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara 45' M 5.99
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin F 0.00
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton D 0.00
4 M. Fall M. Fall 6' D 5.89
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner 45' M 5.83
Best on the pitch
S. Solans
S. Solans
F · Real
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
D. Marczuk
D. Marczuk
D · Real
8.10
1 ⚽
4 shots · 47 pass
M. Guilavogui
M. Guilavogui
M · Real
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 47 pass
S. Lobzhanidze
S. Lobzhanidze
M · Real
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 37 pass
K. Henry
K. Henry
D · Real
7.30
1 shots · 84 pass
J. Glad
J. Glad
D · Real
7.09
1 shots · 39 pass
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael Cabral G 90 6.95 — — 0 24 20% 0 — —
J. Sanabria D 90 6.74 — — 2 54 48% 1 1 —
K. Henry D 90 7.30 — — 1 84 73% 2 — —
P. Quinton D 60 6.58 — — 0 35 28% 2 1 —
L. De Fougerolles D 90 6.85 — 1 0 67 61% 1 — —
D. Marczuk D 90 8.10 1 — 4 47 41% 2 — —
M. Guilavogui M 67 7.70 — 1 1 47 41% 2 — —
N. Caliskan M 67 6.70 — — 1 50 48% 0 — —
S. Spierings M 90 7.08 — — 2 82 79% 3 — —
S. Lobzhanidze M 80 7.70 — 1 3 37 32% 0 — —
S. Solans F 68 8.90 2 — 3 18 14% 0 — —
A. Hezarkhani F 10 6.44 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
A. Piol F 22 6.47 — — 1 7 7% 0 — —
Chadwick Zachary Booth M 23 6.59 — — 1 13 13% 0 — —
Colin Guske M 23 7.03 — — 0 25 23% 0 — —
J. Glad D 30 7.09 — — 1 39 37% 1 — —
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Lundt G 90 5.74 — — 0 33 15% 0 — —
F. Fall D 90 6.29 — — 0 57 52% 0 — —
T. Baumgartl D 90 6.42 — — 0 66 63% 2 — —
J. Orozco D 90 6.20 — — 0 47 42% 5 — —
Rafael Santos M 90 5.03 — — 0 31 19% 3 1 —
C. Durkin M 45 6.72 — — 0 32 29% 2 — —
C. Brunet M 71 6.12 — — 0 43 39% 0 — —
C. Wallem M 45 6.33 — — 0 20 19% 0 — —
S. Becher F 71 6.06 — — 1 10 6% 1 — —
Rafael Navarro F 84 6.24 — — 1 33 25% 0 — —
T. Ostrák F 43 5.22 — — 0 18 13% 0 — 1
D. Downs F 19 6.41 — — 1 3 2% 0 — —
D. Edelman M 19 5.87 — — 0 6 4% 1 — —
D. Polvara M 45 5.99 — — 0 19 14% 1 — —
M. Fall D 6 5.89 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
M. Joyner M 45 5.83 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
The final score was Real Salt Lake 3–0 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Real Salt Lake win, 20% to a draw, and 26% to an St. Louis City win.