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Real Sociedad - Bournemouth

Europa League September 17, 2026 21:00
Real Sociedad
#28 · 0 pts
vs
Bournemouth
#6 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.95%
Win
Real Sociedad
23.15%
Draw
47.9%
Win
Bournemouth
1.91
Expected xG
3.01

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.05%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 23%
2 48%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 52%
X2 71%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bournemouth a 47% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Real Sociedad. Expected goals are 1.9 for Real Sociedad and 3.0 for Bournemouth (total 4.9), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.05% probability.

Season Stats

Real Sociedad
3W 7D 5L
Bournemouth
5W 9D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.6
1.7
Conceded
1.0
4.6
Shots OT
4.7
5.9
Corners
5.4
51%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
80%
53%
O 2.5
60%
67%
BTTS
67%
13%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Real Sociedad
4W 4D 2L · at home
Bournemouth
5W 4D 1L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.3
1.5
Conceded
0.8
40%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
90%
70%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Real Sociedad Bournemouth →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.5%
1 1.4% 4.2% 6.3% 6.3% 4.8% 2.9%
2 1.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.1% 4.5% 2.7%
3 0.8% 2.6% 3.8% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7%
4 0.4% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%

Recent form

Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Bournemouth Bournemouth
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Attack
38
Defence
47
Form
34
Bournemouth Bournemouth
Attack
59
Defence
60
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth?
The model gives Real Sociedad a 28% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 47% for an Bournemouth win.
How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth?
Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.9, Bournemouth 3.0 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.05%.