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La Liga · Regular Season - 8 October 11, 2026 16:15 Anoeta Stadium, San Sebastian
Real Sociedad
#5 · 16 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Deportivo La Coruna
#9 · 11 pts
Jon Martin (ast. Carlos Soler) 29'
Arsen Zakharyan 34'
Gonçalo Guedes (ast. Ander Barrenetxea) 54'
61' (ast. Riki Rodríguez) Mario Soriano
(pen.) 69' Yeremay Hernández
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Sociedad a 42% win probability (draw 26%, Deportivo La Coruna 31%). The final result was Real Sociedad 3–2 Deportivo La Coruna.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
21
4
Shots on target
7
1.53
Actual xG
2.00
6
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
7
Corners
10
18
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Jon Martin · ast. Carlos Soler
29'
⚽Arsen Zakharyan
34'
40'
David Mella
45'
Riki Rodríguez / David Mella ↕
⚽Gonçalo Guedes · ast. Ander Barrenetxea
54'
↕ Gonçalo Guedes / Job Ochieng
56'
↕ Arsen Zakharyan / Mikel Oyarzabal
56'
57'
Adama Traoré / Luismi Cruz ↕
57'
Adria Altimira / Ximo Navarro ↕
57'
Lorenzo Amatucci / Diego Villares ↕
61'
ast. Riki Rodríguez · Mario Soriano⚽
Pablo Marin
66'
69'
(pen.) Yeremay Hernández⚽
↕ Carlos Soler / Igor Zubeldia
69'
71'
José María Giménez
79'
Jonathan Asp Jensen / Giacomo Quagliata ↕
↕ Ander Barrenetxea / Hector Fort
88'
Yangel Herrera
90'+4
90'
Lorenzo Amatucci
Pre-match prediction
42.94%
Real ←
26.03%
X
31.03%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Real Sociedad) 42.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Real
2.41
1.53
-0.88
Deportivo
2.14
2.00
-0.14
Deportivo La Coruna dominated by xG (2.00 vs 1.53). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 9 27
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 9 22
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid 9 21
4 Real Betis Real Betis 9 19
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 9 16
6 Sevilla Sevilla 9 14
7 Alaves Alaves 9 11
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 9 11
9 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 9 11
10 Osasuna Osasuna 9 11
11 Levante Levante 9 10
12 Villarreal Villarreal 9 9
13 Athletic Club Athletic Club 8 9
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 8 9
15 Getafe Getafe 9 9
16 Espanyol Espanyol 9 8
17 Racing Santander Racing Santander 9 8
18 Elche Elche 9 7
19 Valencia Valencia 9 6
20 Malaga Malaga 9 4
Lineups
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-4-2
1 Álex Remiro Álex Remiro G 6.83
17 Sergio Gómez Sergio Gómez D 6.10
19 M. Sarr M. Sarr D 6.76
6 Jon Martín Jon Martín 1 ⚽ D 7.53
15 Pablo Marín Pablo Marín 66' D 5.78
11 Gonçalo Guedes Gonçalo Guedes 1 ⚽ 56' M 7.05
18 Carlos Soler Carlos Soler 1 👟 69' M 7.04
21 Y. Herrera Y. Herrera M 6.70
7 Barrenetxea Barrenetxea 1 👟 88' M 7.06
23 A. Zakharyan A. Zakharyan 1 ⚽ 56' F 7.73
24 L. Sučić L. Sučić F 6.44
Bench
3 Aihen Muñoz Aihen Muñoz D 0.00
8 Beñat Turrientes Beñat Turrientes M 0.00
27 Gorka Carrera Gorka Carrera F 0.00
22 Héctor Fort Héctor Fort 2' D 6.24
12 J. Ochieng J. Ochieng 34' F 6.50
4 Jon Gorrotxategi Jon Gorrotxategi M 0.00
16 Jon Pacheco Jon Pacheco D 0.00
34 Luken Beitia Luken Beitia D 0.00
10 Mikel Oyarzabal Mikel Oyarzabal 34' F 6.52
14 T. Kubo T. Kubo F 0.00
13 Unai Marrero Unai Marrero G 0.00
5 Zubeldia Zubeldia 21' D 6.27
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4-4-2
13 Leo Román Leo Román G 5.62
12 G. Quagliata G. Quagliata 79' D 5.94
22 B. Ede B. Ede D 6.60
20 J. Giménez J. Giménez D 6.22
23 Ximo Navarro Ximo Navarro 57' D 6.21
10 Peke Peke 1 ⚽ M 7.80
8 Diego Villares Diego Villares 57' M 6.07
21 Mario Soriano Mario Soriano 1 ⚽ M 8.20
11 David Mella David Mella 45' M 5.63
32 B. Nsongo B. Nsongo F 6.33
19 Luismi Cruz Luismi Cruz 57' F 6.45
Bench
24 Adama Traoré Adama Traoré 33' F 6.74
2 Adrià Alti Adrià Alti 33' D 6.43
25 Álvaro Fernández Álvaro Fernández G 0.00
17 Angeliño Angeliño D 0.00
18 Jonathan Asp Jensen Jonathan Asp Jensen 11' M 5.77
33 Kevin Sánchez Kevin Sánchez F 0.00
16 L. Amatucci L. Amatucci 33' M 5.43
4 L. Noubi L. Noubi D 0.00
31 Martín Ochoa Martín Ochoa F 0.00
15 Miguel Loureiro Miguel Loureiro D 0.00
37 Noé Noé M 0.00
14 Riki Rodríguez Riki Rodríguez 1 👟 45' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano
M · Deportivo
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 89 pass
Peke
Peke
M · Deportivo
7.80
1 ⚽
5 shots · 31 pass
A. Zakharyan
A. Zakharyan
F · Real
7.73
1 ⚽
1 shots · 21 pass
Jon Martín
Jon Martín
D · Real
7.53
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
Barrenetxea
Barrenetxea
M · Real
7.06
1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
Gonçalo Guedes
Gonçalo Guedes
M · Real
7.05
1 ⚽
1 shots · 18 pass
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Álex Remiro G 90 6.83 — — 0 29 12% 0 — —
Sergio Gómez D 90 6.10 — — 0 28 23% 4 — —
M. Sarr D 90 6.76 — — 0 44 41% 2 — —
Jon Martín D 90 7.53 1 — 2 45 41% 3 — —
Pablo Marín D 66 5.78 — — 0 27 23% 0 — 1
Gonçalo Guedes M 56 7.05 1 — 1 18 15% 0 — —
Carlos Soler M 69 7.04 — 1 1 36 31% 0 — —
Y. Herrera M 90 6.70 — — 2 33 30% 8 1 —
Barrenetxea M 88 7.06 — 1 1 26 20% 0 — —
A. Zakharyan F 56 7.73 1 — 1 21 16% 0 — —
L. Sučić F 90 6.44 — — 0 21 17% 0 — —
Héctor Fort D 2 6.24 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
J. Ochieng F 34 6.50 — — 0 9 5% 0 — —
Mikel Oyarzabal F 34 6.52 — — 3 6 6% 1 — —
Zubeldia D 21 6.27 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leo Román G 90 5.62 — — 0 33 17% 0 — —
G. Quagliata D 79 5.94 — — 0 30 25% 0 — —
B. Ede D 90 6.60 — — 1 59 55% 2 — —
J. Giménez D 90 6.22 — — 1 49 44% 2 1 —
Ximo Navarro D 57 6.21 — — 0 33 28% 3 — —
Peke M 90 7.80 1 — 5 31 30% 1 — —
Diego Villares M 57 6.07 — — 1 40 32% 2 — —
Mario Soriano M 90 8.20 1 — 2 89 85% 3 — —
David Mella M 45 5.63 — — 0 9 7% 0 1 —
B. Nsongo F 90 6.33 — — 7 22 18% 2 — —
Luismi Cruz F 57 6.45 — — 1 30 24% 1 — —
Adama Traoré F 33 6.74 — — 0 10 10% 1 — —
Adrià Alti D 33 6.43 — — 1 22 17% 2 — —
Jonathan Asp Jensen M 11 5.77 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
L. Amatucci M 33 5.43 — — 0 23 20% 2 — 1
Riki Rodríguez M 45 6.50 — 1 2 27 26% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The final score was Real Sociedad 3–2 Deportivo La Coruna.
What did the model predict before Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Real Sociedad win, 26% to a draw, and 31% to an Deportivo La Coruna win.