La Liga
· Regular Season - 30
April 04, 2026 14:00
✓Model correct — prediction Real Sociedad
J. Martin
(ast. C. Soler)
30'
B. Mendez
(ast. P. Marin)
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Sociedad a 61% win probability (draw 20%, Levante 17%). The final result was Real Sociedad 2–0 Levante. In 1 previous meetings, Real Sociedad have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Levante.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
5
Shots on target
4
2.72
Actual xG
0.28
4
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
11
Corners
5
9
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Ander Barrenetxea
15'
15'
Manuel Sánchez
17'
Matias Moreno
⚽J. Martin
· ast. C. Soler
30'
46'
P. Martinez
/
I. Losada
46'
A. Matturro
/
M. Moreno
54'
Carlos Espí
59'
U. Raghouber
/
O. Rey
59'
I. Romero
/
K. Tunde
A. Barrenetxea
/ P. Marin
63'
L. Sucic
/ B. Mendez
64'
D. Caleta-Car
/ A. Elustondo
69'
81'
T. Abed
/
V. Garcia
⚽B. Mendez
· ast. P. Marin
83'
G. Guedes
/ O. Oskarsson
85'
B. Turrientes
/ I. Aguirre
85'
Jon Martin
87'
Pre-match prediction
61.86%
Real ←
20.91%
X
17.22%
Levante
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Real Sociedad)
61.86%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.08
2.72
+0.64
1.10
0.28
-0.82
Real Sociedad dominated by xG (2.72 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
17
Sergio Gómez
D
Sergio Gómez
D
16
D. Ćaleta-Car
69'
D
D. Ćaleta-Car
69'
D
31
Jon Martin
1 ⚽
D
Jon Martin
1 ⚽
D
2
J. Aramburu
D
J. Aramburu
D
18
Carlos Soler
1 👟
M
Carlos Soler
1 👟
M
8
Beñat Turrientes
85'
M
Beñat Turrientes
85'
M
11
Gonçalo Guedes
85'
M
Gonçalo Guedes
85'
M
24
L. Sučić
64'
M
L. Sučić
64'
M
7
Ander Barrenetxea
63'
M
Ander Barrenetxea
63'
M
10
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
Mikel Oyarzabal
F
Bench
3
Aihen Muñoz
D
Aihen Muñoz
D
6
Aritz Elustondo
21'
D
Aritz Elustondo
21'
D
23
Brais Méndez
1 ⚽
26'
M
Brais Méndez
1 ⚽
26'
M
9
Orri Óskarsson
10'
F
Orri Óskarsson
10'
F
15
Pablo Marín
1 👟
27'
M
Pablo Marín
1 👟
27'
M
14
T. Kubo
F
T. Kubo
F
13
G
23
Manuel Sánchez
D
Manuel Sánchez
D
2
Matias Moreno
45'
D
Matias Moreno
45'
D
4
Adrián de la Fuente
D
Adrián de la Fuente
D
22
Jeremy Toljan
D
Jeremy Toljan
D
20
Oriol Rey
59'
M
Oriol Rey
59'
M
8
Jon Ander Olasagasti
M
Jon Ander Olasagasti
M
26
Kareem Tunde
59'
M
Kareem Tunde
59'
M
18
Iker Losada
45'
M
Iker Losada
45'
M
17
Víctor García
81'
M
Víctor García
81'
M
19
Carlos Espí
F
Carlos Espí
F
Bench
24
C. Alvarez
M
21
Etta Eyong
F
Etta Eyong
F
9
Iván Romero
31'
F
Iván Romero
31'
F
16
Kervin Arriaga
M
Kervin Arriaga
M
10
Pablo Martínez
45'
M
Pablo Martínez
45'
M
14
Ugo Raghouber
31'
M
Ugo Raghouber
31'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Real
8.30
· 43 pass
Carlos Soler
M · Real
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 57 pass
Pablo Marín
M · Real
7.70
1 👟
· 3 pass
Sergio Gómez
D · Real
7.50
· 51 pass
Gonçalo Guedes
M · Real
7.50
4 shots
· 25 pass
D. Ćaleta-Car
D · Real
7.20
· 39 pass
Real Sociedad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Sergio Gómez | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | — | — | — |
| D. Ćaleta-Car | D | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Jon Martin | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 51 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Aramburu | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Carlos Soler | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Beñat Turrientes | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Guedes | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Sučić | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Ander Barrenetxea | M | 63 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Aritz Elustondo | D | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Brais Méndez | M | 26 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Orri Óskarsson | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Marín | M | 27 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Levante — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Manuel Sánchez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matias Moreno | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adrián de la Fuente | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Toljan | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Oriol Rey | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Jon Ander Olasagasti | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Kareem Tunde | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Iker Losada | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor García | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Espí | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Iván Romero | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Martínez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ugo Raghouber | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Levante?
The final score was Real Sociedad 2–0 Levante.
What did the model predict before Real Sociedad vs Levante?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Real Sociedad win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Levante win.