Real Sociedad - Lyon
Europa League
November 05, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.44%
Win
Real Sociedad
26.1%
Draw
33.46%
Win
Lyon
1.55
1.36
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.01%)
1X2 Result
1
40%
X
26%
2
33%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
67%
X2
60%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
64%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Sociedad a 40% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Lyon. Expected goals are 1.6 for Real Sociedad and 1.4 for Lyon (total 2.9), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.01% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
8W
1D
2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.9
2.0
Conceded
0.8
5.0
Shots OT
5.6
10.0
Corners
4.1
54%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
82%
100%
O 2.5
36%
100%
BTTS
36%
0%
Clean Sht
45%
ℹ
Based on the last 11 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
9%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
0W
0D
1L
· at home
4W
1D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.8
2.0
Conceded
0.7
0%
Win %
67%
0%
Win or Draw
83%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
17%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Real Sociedad
Lyon →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Real Sociedad
Attack
43
Defence
50
Form
37
Lyon
Attack
48
Defence
66
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
The model gives Real Sociedad a 40% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 33% for an Lyon win.
How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
Expected goals: Real Sociedad 1.6, Lyon 1.4 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.01%.