Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia — pre-match prediction — La Liga — May 17, 2026

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La Liga · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 19:00

Real Sociedad

#10 · 7 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Valencia

#20 · 1 pts

A. Munoz (ast. A. Elustondo) 3'

C. Tarrega 60' (og)

O. Oskarsson (ast. M. Oyarzabal) 63'

8' (ast. D. Lopez) J. Guerra

22' (ast. E. Comert) H. Duro

89' (ast. A. Almeida) G. Rodriguez

90'+3 (ast. T. Rendall) J. Guerra

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Sociedad a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Valencia 27%). The final result was Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia. In 1 previous meetings, Real Sociedad have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Valencia.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.01

Actual xG

1.58

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽A. Munoz · ast. A. Elustondo

ast. D. Lopez · J. Guerra⚽

22'

ast. E. Comert · H. Duro⚽

A. Zakharyan

25'

↕ A. Munoz / S. Gomez

58'

↕ A. Zakharyan / M. Oyarzabal

58'

↕ B. Mendez / L. Sucic

58'

⚽C. Tarrega (og)

60'

⚽O. Oskarsson · ast. M. Oyarzabal

63'

70'

E. Comert

74'

U. Sadiq / H. Duro ↕

74'

T. Rendall / F. Ugrinic ↕

74'

L. Ramazani / L. Rioja ↕

74'

Pepelu / D. Lopez ↕

↕ O. Oskarsson / G. Guedes

79'

83'

A. Almeida / U. Nunez ↕

↕ A. Elustondo / J. Aramburu

84'

B. Turrientes

86'

I. Zubeldia

88'

J. Martin

88'

89'

ast. A. Almeida · G. Rodriguez⚽

90'+3

ast. T. Rendall · J. Guerra⚽

Pre-match prediction

46.26%

Real

25.76%

27.97%

Valencia ←

we assigned to the actual result (Valencia) 27.97% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Real

1.45

1.01

-0.44

Valencia

1.07

1.58

+0.51

Valencia dominated by xG (1.58 vs 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Barcelona	4	12
2	Alaves	5	10
3	Sevilla	5	10
4	Real Madrid	4	9
5	Real Betis	4	9
6	Deportivo La Coruna	4	8
7	Espanyol	5	7
8	Atletico Madrid	4	7
9	Racing Santander	5	7
10	Real Sociedad	5	7
11	Osasuna	5	7
12	Athletic Club	4	6
13	Levante	4	5
14	Rayo Vallecano	4	4
15	Getafe	4	4
16	Celta Vigo	5	3
17	Villarreal	4	2
18	Malaga	4	2
19	Elche	4	1
20	Valencia	5	1

Lineups

Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1

Álex Remiro G 5.60

Aihen Muñoz 1 ⚽ 57' D 6.90

Zubeldia D 6.90

Jon Martín D 6.00

Elustondo 1 👟 84' D 5.90

Carlos Soler M 6.50

Beñat Turrientes M 6.20

A. Zakharyan 57' M 6.70

Brais Méndez 57' M 7.20

Pablo Marín M 6.50

O. Óskarsson 1 ⚽ 79' F 8.00

Bench

Gonçalo Guedes 18' F 6.30

Gorka Carrera F

Ibai Aguirre M

J. Aramburu 13' D 6.50

L. Sučić 40' M 6.30

Luken Beitia D

Mikel Oyarzabal 1 👟 40' F 7.30

Sergio Gómez 40' F 7.00

T. Kubo F

Unai Marrero G

Wesley Gassova F

Y. Herrera M

Valencia 4-4-2

S. Dimitrievski G 6.20

Jesús Vázquez D 6.90

E. Cömert 1 👟 70' D 5.70

César Tárrega 1 ⚽ D 5.30

Unai Núñez 83' D 6.20

Diego López 1 👟 74' M 6.60

Guido Rodríguez 1 ⚽ M 8.50

F. Ugrinic 73' M 6.30

Luis Rioja 74' M 6.20

Hugo Duro 1 ⚽ 73' F 6.60

Javi Guerra 2 ⚽ F 9.20

Bench

A. Danjuma F

André Almeida 1 👟 14' M 6.90

B. Santamaría M

Dani Raba F

David Otorbi F

Julen Agirrezabala G

L. Ramazani 23' F 6.70

Marcos Navarro D

Pepelu 23' M 6.70

Rubén Iranzo D

Thierry Correia 1 👟 24' D 6.90

Umar Sadiq 24' F 6.50

Best on the pitch

Javi Guerra

F · Valencia

9.20

2 ⚽

4 shots · 29 pass

Guido Rodríguez

M · Valencia

8.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 53 pass

O. Óskarsson

F · Real

8.00

1 ⚽

3 shots · 12 pass

Mikel Oyarzabal

F · Real

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 9 pass

Brais Méndez

M · Real

7.20

· 38 pass

Sergio Gómez

F · Real

7.00

· 13 pass

Real Sociedad — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Álex Remiro	G	97	5.60	—	—	—	32	22%	—	—	—
Aihen Muñoz	D	57	6.90	1	—	1	35	32%	—	—	—
Zubeldia	D	97	6.90	—	—	—	75	70%	3	1	—
Jon Martín	D	97	6.00	—	—	—	57	45%	2	1	—
Elustondo	D	84	5.90	—	1	1	38	29%	1	—	—
Carlos Soler	M	97	6.50	—	—	1	52	42%	2	—	—
Beñat Turrientes	M	97	6.20	—	—	—	45	43%	1	1	—
A. Zakharyan	M	57	6.70	—	—	—	34	27%	1	1	—
Brais Méndez	M	57	7.20	—	—	—	38	37%	3	—	—
Pablo Marín	M	97	6.50	—	—	—	16	14%	—	—	—
O. Óskarsson	F	79	8.00	1	—	3	12	4%	—	—	—
Gonçalo Guedes	F	18	6.30	—	—	—	6	3%	1	—	—
J. Aramburu	D	13	6.50	—	—	—	4	2%	2	—	—
L. Sučić	M	40	6.30	—	—	—	12	9%	—	—	—
Mikel Oyarzabal	F	40	7.30	—	1	1	9	8%	2	—	—
Sergio Gómez	F	40	7.00	—	—	—	13	13%	—	—	—

Valencia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Dimitrievski	G	97	6.20	—	—	—	48	18%	—	—	—
Jesús Vázquez	D	97	6.90	—	—	—	25	23%	2	—	—
E. Cömert	D	70	5.70	—	1	—	34	29%	—	—	1
César Tárrega	D	97	5.30	1	—	—	52	47%	4	—	—
Unai Núñez	D	83	6.20	—	—	—	40	32%	2	—	—
Diego López	M	74	6.60	—	1	1	23	21%	2	—	—
Guido Rodríguez	M	97	8.50	1	—	2	53	45%	4	—	—
F. Ugrinic	M	73	6.30	—	—	1	31	27%	—	—	—
Luis Rioja	M	74	6.20	—	—	—	28	17%	1	—	—
Hugo Duro	F	73	6.60	1	—	1	15	11%	—	—	—
Javi Guerra	F	97	9.20	2	—	4	29	26%	—	—	—
André Almeida	M	14	6.90	—	1	—	5	4%	1	—	—
L. Ramazani	F	23	6.70	—	—	1	5	3%	—	—	—
Pepelu	M	23	6.70	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
Thierry Correia	D	24	6.90	—	1	—	6	5%	1	—	—
Umar Sadiq	F	24	6.50	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

The final score was Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia.

What did the model predict before Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

The model assigned 46% probability to a Real Sociedad win, 25% to a draw, and 27% to an Valencia win.