Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia — pre-match prediction — La Liga — May 17, 2026

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La Liga · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 19:00

Real Sociedad

#10 · 46 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Valencia

#9 · 49 pts

A. Munoz (ast. A. Elustondo) 3'

C. Tarrega 60' (og)

O. Oskarsson (ast. M. Oyarzabal) 63'

8' (ast. D. Lopez) J. Guerra

22' (ast. E. Comert) H. Duro

89' (ast. A. Almeida) G. Rodriguez

90'+3 (ast. T. Rendall) J. Guerra

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Sociedad a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Valencia 27%). The final result was Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia. In 1 previous meetings, Real Sociedad have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Valencia.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.01

Actual xG

1.58

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽A. Munoz · ast. A. Elustondo

ast. D. Lopez · J. Guerra⚽

22'

ast. E. Comert · H. Duro⚽

A. Zakharyan

25'

↕ A. Munoz / S. Gomez

58'

↕ A. Zakharyan / M. Oyarzabal

58'

↕ B. Mendez / L. Sucic

58'

⚽C. Tarrega (og)

60'

⚽O. Oskarsson · ast. M. Oyarzabal

63'

70'

E. Comert

74'

U. Sadiq / H. Duro ↕

74'

T. Rendall / F. Ugrinic ↕

74'

L. Ramazani / L. Rioja ↕

74'

Pepelu / D. Lopez ↕

↕ O. Oskarsson / G. Guedes

79'

83'

A. Almeida / U. Nunez ↕

↕ A. Elustondo / J. Aramburu

84'

B. Turrientes

86'

I. Zubeldia

88'

J. Martin

88'

89'

ast. A. Almeida · G. Rodriguez⚽

90'+3

ast. T. Rendall · J. Guerra⚽

Pre-match prediction

46.26%

Real

25.76%

27.97%

Valencia ←

we assigned to the actual result (Valencia) 27.97% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Real

1.45

1.01

-0.44

Valencia

1.07

1.58

+0.51

Valencia dominated by xG (1.58 vs 1.01). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	94
2	Real Madrid	38	86
3	Villarreal	38	72
4	Atletico Madrid	38	69
5	Real Betis	38	60
6	Celta Vigo	38	54
7	Getafe	38	51
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	50
9	Valencia	38	49
10	Real Sociedad	38	46
11	Espanyol	38	46
12	Athletic Club	38	45
13	Sevilla	38	43
14	Alaves	38	43
15	Elche	38	43
16	Levante	38	42
17	Osasuna	38	42
18	Mallorca	38	42
19	Girona	38	41
20	Oviedo	38	29

Lineups

Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1

Álex Remiro G 5.60

Aihen Muñoz 1 ⚽ 57' D 6.90

Igor Zubeldia D 6.90

Jon Martin D 6.00

Aritz Elustondo 1 👟 84' D 5.90

Carlos Soler M 6.50

Beñat Turrientes M 6.20

Arsen Zakharyan 57' M 6.70

Brais Méndez 57' M 7.20

Pablo Marín M 6.50

Orri Óskarsson 1 ⚽ 79' F 8.00

Bench

Gonçalo Guedes 18' F 6.30

Gorka Carrera F

Ibai Aguirre M

J. Aramburu 13' D 6.50

L. Sučić 40' M 6.30

Luken Beitia D

Mikel Oyarzabal 1 👟 40' F 7.30

Sergio Gómez 40' F 7.00

T. Kubo F

Unai Marrero G

Wesley F

Yangel Herrera M

Valencia 4-4-2

Stole Dimitrievski G 6.20

Jesús Vázquez D 6.90

Eray Cömert 1 👟 70' D 5.70

César Tárrega 1 ⚽ D 5.30

Unai Núñez 83' D 6.20

Diego López 1 👟 74' M 6.60

Guido Rodríguez 1 ⚽ M 8.50

Filip Ugrinić 73' M 6.30

Luis Rioja 74' M 6.20

Hugo Duro 1 ⚽ 73' F 6.60

Javi Guerra 2 ⚽ F 9.20

Bench

André Almeida 1 👟 14' M 6.90

Arnaut Danjuma F

B. Santamaría M

Dani Raba F

David Otorbi F

Julen Agirrezabala G

Largie Ramazani 23' F 6.70

Marcos Navarro D

Pepelu 23' M 6.70

Rubén Iranzo D

Thierry Correia 1 👟 24' D 6.90

Umar Sadiq 24' F 6.50

Best on the pitch

Javi Guerra

F · Valencia

9.20

2 ⚽

4 shots · 29 pass

Guido Rodríguez

M · Valencia

8.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 53 pass

Orri Óskarsson

F · Real

8.00

1 ⚽

3 shots · 12 pass

Mikel Oyarzabal

F · Real

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 9 pass

Brais Méndez

M · Real

7.20

· 38 pass

Sergio Gómez

F · Real

7.00

· 13 pass

Real Sociedad — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Álex Remiro	G	97	5.60	—	—	—	32	22%	—	—	—
Aihen Muñoz	D	57	6.90	1	—	1	35	32%	—	—	—
Igor Zubeldia	D	97	6.90	—	—	—	75	70%	3	1	—
Jon Martin	D	97	6.00	—	—	—	57	45%	2	1	—
Aritz Elustondo	D	84	5.90	—	1	1	38	29%	1	—	—
Carlos Soler	M	97	6.50	—	—	1	52	42%	2	—	—
Beñat Turrientes	M	97	6.20	—	—	—	45	43%	1	1	—
Arsen Zakharyan	M	57	6.70	—	—	—	34	27%	1	1	—
Brais Méndez	M	57	7.20	—	—	—	38	37%	3	—	—
Pablo Marín	M	97	6.50	—	—	—	16	14%	—	—	—
Orri Óskarsson	F	79	8.00	1	—	3	12	4%	—	—	—
Gonçalo Guedes	F	18	6.30	—	—	—	6	3%	1	—	—
J. Aramburu	D	13	6.50	—	—	—	4	2%	2	—	—
L. Sučić	M	40	6.30	—	—	—	12	9%	—	—	—
Mikel Oyarzabal	F	40	7.30	—	1	1	9	8%	2	—	—
Sergio Gómez	F	40	7.00	—	—	—	13	13%	—	—	—

Valencia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Stole Dimitrievski	G	97	6.20	—	—	—	48	18%	—	—	—
Jesús Vázquez	D	97	6.90	—	—	—	25	23%	2	—	—
Eray Cömert	D	70	5.70	—	1	—	34	29%	—	—	1
César Tárrega	D	97	5.30	1	—	—	52	47%	4	—	—
Unai Núñez	D	83	6.20	—	—	—	40	32%	2	—	—
Diego López	M	74	6.60	—	1	1	23	21%	2	—	—
Guido Rodríguez	M	97	8.50	1	—	2	53	45%	4	—	—
Filip Ugrinić	M	73	6.30	—	—	1	31	27%	—	—	—
Luis Rioja	M	74	6.20	—	—	—	28	17%	1	—	—
Hugo Duro	F	73	6.60	1	—	1	15	11%	—	—	—
Javi Guerra	F	97	9.20	2	—	4	29	26%	—	—	—
André Almeida	M	14	6.90	—	1	—	5	4%	1	—	—
Largie Ramazani	F	23	6.70	—	—	1	5	3%	—	—	—
Pepelu	M	23	6.70	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
Thierry Correia	D	24	6.90	—	1	—	6	5%	1	—	—
Umar Sadiq	F	24	6.50	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

The final score was Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia.

What did the model predict before Real Sociedad vs Valencia?

The model assigned 46% probability to a Real Sociedad win, 25% to a draw, and 27% to an Valencia win.