The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave The Strongest a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Real Tomayapo 29%). The final result was Real Tomayapo 0–0 The Strongest.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
1
0.27
Actual xG
0.91
35%
Possession
65%
5
Corners
2
Match Events
M. Arteaga
4'
46'
A. Estacio
/
C. Ventura
46'
D. Lom
/
C. Algaranaz
46'
J. Welch
/
S. Arce
S. Cuiza
57'
61'
D. Lom
S. Cuiza
/ M. Chajtur
61'
M. Arteaga
/ V. Galvez
61'
L. Corulo
67'
72'
J. Arrascaita
/
R. Castro
J. Arguello
75'
M. Bejarano
/ J. Ribera
78'
85'
G. Sotomayor
/
V. Abrego
90'+1
J. Welch
G. Rehak
90'+4
C. Arabe
/ M. G. Barbery Gil
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
29.73%
Real
31.78%
X ←
38.5%
The
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.36
0.27
-0.09
1.44
0.91
-0.53
The Strongest dominated by xG (0.91 vs 0.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest?
The final score was Real Tomayapo 0–0 The Strongest.
What did the model predict before Real Tomayapo vs The Strongest?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Real Tomayapo win, 31% to a draw, and 38% to an The Strongest win.