Primera RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 6
October 03, 2026 16:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Unión a 54% win probability (draw 23%, UD Ourense 21%). The final result was Real Unión 1–1 UD Ourense.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
54.43%
Real
23.89%
X ←
21.68%
UD
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.22
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—
0.30
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Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
The final score was Real Unión 1–1 UD Ourense.
What did the model predict before Real Unión vs UD Ourense?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Real Unión win, 23% to a draw, and 21% to an UD Ourense win.