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← Primera B

Recoleta - Santiago Wanderers

Primera B October 03, 2026 20:00
Recoleta
#6 · 38 pts
vs
Santiago Wanderers
#1 · 44 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.56%
Win
Recoleta
27.0%
Draw
47.44%
Win
Santiago Wanderers
1.03
Expected xG
1.76

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.82%)
1X2 Result
1 26%
X 27%
2 47%
Double Chance ✓ 92.9% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 53%
X2 74%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 49%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Santiago Wanderers a 47% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Recoleta. Expected goals are 1.0 for Recoleta and 1.8 for Santiago Wanderers (total 2.8), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.82% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Recoleta have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Santiago Wanderers.

Season Stats

Recoleta
5W 7D 3L
Santiago Wanderers
8W 5D 2L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.7
1.0
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
73%
47%
O 2.5
47%
60%
BTTS
47%
33%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Recoleta
4W 3D 3L · at home
Santiago Wanderers
6W 1D 3L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.5
1.6
Conceded
0.9
40%
Win %
60%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
70%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
30%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Recoleta Santiago Wanderers →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1% 10.8% 9.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.9%
1 6.3% 11.1% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.3% 5.8% 5.1% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Recoleta Recoleta
D Deportes Santa Cruz 0–0
W San Marcos de Arica 2–1
W Antofagasta 1–2
D Curico Unido 0–0
W Deportes Copiapo 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers
L Deportes Temuco 3–0
W Deportes Iquique 1–0
W Magallanes 2–1
W San Luis 0–1
D D. Puerto Montt 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Recoleta Recoleta
Attack
35
Defence
78
Form
55
Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers
Attack
27
Defence
78
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Recoleta
0
Draw
0
Santiago Wanderers
21 Feb 2026 Primera B 2–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 24 44
2 Cobreloa Cobreloa 24 42
3 San Luis San Luis 24 41
4 Magallanes Magallanes 25 40
5 Antofagasta Antofagasta 25 38
6 Recoleta Recoleta 25 38
7 San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 25 36
8 Union Espanola Union Espanola 25 36
9 D. Puerto Montt D. Puerto Montt 25 34
10 Deportes Temuco Deportes Temuco 25 32
11 Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo 24 31
12 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 25 28
13 Curico Unido Curico Unido 25 27
14 Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 25 22
15 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 23 22
16 Rangers de Talca Rangers de Talca 25 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model gives Recoleta a 25% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 47% for an Santiago Wanderers win.
How many goals are expected in Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers?
Expected goals: Recoleta 1.0, Santiago Wanderers 1.8 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.82%.