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Red Bull Salzburg - AC Milan

Europa League October 15, 2026 18:45
Red Bull Salzburg
#30 · 0 pts
vs
AC Milan
#23 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.11%
Win
Red Bull Salzburg
26.44%
Draw
26.45%
Win
AC Milan
2.61
Expected xG
1.16

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.93%)
1X2 Result
1 47%
X 26%
2 26%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 74%
X2 53%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Red Bull Salzburg a 47% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 26% for AC Milan. Expected goals are 2.6 for Red Bull Salzburg and 1.2 for AC Milan (total 3.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.93% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Red Bull Salzburg AC Milan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% —
1 6.0% 7.0% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.9% 9.1% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.9% 7.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.5% 5.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% —

Recent form

Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
W Mjallby AIF 3–0
W Mjallby AIF 0–1
D Pafos 3–3
W Pafos 1–0
L Aston Villa 3–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
AC Milan AC Milan
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
Attack
70
Defence
74
Form
52
AC Milan AC Milan
Attack
41
Defence
59
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
The model gives Red Bull Salzburg a 47% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 26% for an AC Milan win.
How many goals are expected in Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
Expected goals: Red Bull Salzburg 2.6, AC Milan 1.2 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.93%.