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Europa League · League Stage - 2 October 15, 2026 18:45 Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
#21 · 4 pts
0 – 4
Final score
AC Milan
#24 · 3 pts
15' (ast. Omari Hutchinson) Alphadjo Cissè
32' (ast. Davide Bartesaghi) Alphadjo Cissè
49' (ast. Adrien Rabiot) Alphadjo Cissè
72' Gonçalo Ramos
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 48% win probability (draw 22%, AC Milan 29%). The final result was Red Bull Salzburg 0–4 AC Milan.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
15
2
Shots on target
10
0.87
Actual xG
4.05
5
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
2
18
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
15'
ast. Omari Hutchinson · Alphadjo Cissè⚽
21'
Omari Hutchinson
32'
ast. Davide Bartesaghi · Alphadjo Cissè⚽
Valentin Zabransky
40'
49'
ast. Adrien Rabiot · Alphadjo Cissè⚽
↕ Sota Kitano / Gaoussou Diakité
60'
60'
Christian Pulisic / Alphadjo Cissè ↕
60'
Gonçalo Ramos / Francesco Camarda ↕
↕ Edmund Baidoo / Yorbe Vertessen
60'
61'
Luka Modrić / Adrien Rabiot ↕
67'
Filippo Terracciano / Fikayo Tomori ↕
72'
Gonçalo Ramos⚽
↕ Jesper Lindstrom / Damir Redzic
73'
↕ Haris Tabaković / Aboubacar Sidiki Camara
73'
↕ Leandro Morgalla / Tim Drexler
81'
81'
Sankhoun Diawara / Strahinja Pavlovic ↕
83'
Filippo Terracciano
Pre-match prediction
48.34%
Red
22.26%
X
29.4%
AC ←
we assigned to the actual result (AC Milan) 29.4% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Red
2.68
0.87
-1.81
AC
1.60
4.05
+2.45
AC Milan dominated by xG (4.05 vs 0.87). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Lineups
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
52 Christian Zawieschitzky Christian Zawieschitzky G 6.85
31 D. Schmid D. Schmid D 6.07
47 Valentin Zabransky Valentin Zabransky D 5.80
44 K. Boma K. Boma D 6.50
39 L. Morgalla L. Morgalla 81' D 5.90
15 B. Mazurek B. Mazurek M 6.18
32 A. Barry A. Barry M 6.88
20 E. Baidoo E. Baidoo 60' M 5.98
8 S. Kitano S. Kitano 60' M 6.41
35 J. Lindstrøm J. Lindstrøm 73' M 6.06
9 H. Tabaković H. Tabaković 73' F 6.35
Bench
33 A. Camara A. Camara 17' M 5.77
1 C. Früchtl C. Früchtl G 0.00
23 D. Redzic D. Redzic 17' F 6.58
13 F. Krätzig F. Krätzig D 0.00
30 G. Diakité G. Diakité 30' F 6.54
4 J. Mellberg J. Mellberg D 0.00
41 Nikola Šarčević Nikola Šarčević G 0.00
22 S. Lainer S. Lainer D 0.00
21 T. Drexler T. Drexler 9' D 5.67
7 U. Tohumcu U. Tohumcu M 0.00
11 Y. Vertessen Y. Vertessen 30' F 6.51
AC Milan AC Milan 3-4-2-1
16 M. Maignan M. Maignan G 7.03
31 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović 81' D 7.16
5 K. De Winter K. De Winter D 6.94
23 F. Tomori F. Tomori 67' D 6.94
33 D. Bartesaghi D. Bartesaghi 1 👟 M 7.30
12 A. Rabiot A. Rabiot 1 👟 61' M 7.70
30 A. Jashari A. Jashari M 7.20
20 O. Hutchinson O. Hutchinson 1 👟 M 7.70
70 A. Cissè A. Cissè 3 ⚽ 60' M 9.65
8 R. Loftus-Cheek R. Loftus-Cheek M 6.41
73 F. Camarda F. Camarda 60' F 6.44
Bench
28 C. Comotto C. Comotto M 0.00
11 C. Pulišić C. Pulišić 30' M 6.83
22 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira F 0.00
42 F. Terracciano F. Terracciano 16' D 5.49
9 Gonçalo Ramos Gonçalo Ramos 1 ⚽ 30' F 7.42
14 L. Modrić L. Modrić 29' M 6.69
96 L. Torriani L. Torriani G 0.00
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila D 0.00
2 P. Estupiñán P. Estupiñán D 0.00
13 S. Bocoum S. Bocoum 9' D 6.49
21 S. Chukwueze S. Chukwueze F 0.00
80 Y. Musah Y. Musah M 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Cissè
A. Cissè
M · AC
9.65
3 ⚽
4 shots · 16 pass
O. Hutchinson
O. Hutchinson
M · AC
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 32 pass
A. Rabiot
A. Rabiot
M · AC
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 35 pass
Gonçalo Ramos
Gonçalo Ramos
F · AC
7.42
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
D. Bartesaghi
D. Bartesaghi
M · AC
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 38 pass
A. Jashari
A. Jashari
M · AC
7.20
1 shots · 63 pass
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Christian Zawieschitzky G 90 6.85 — — 0 40 34% 0 — —
D. Schmid D 90 6.07 — — 1 44 37% 0 — —
Valentin Zabransky D 90 5.80 — — 0 65 60% 0 1 —
K. Boma D 90 6.50 — — 0 46 43% 1 — —
L. Morgalla D 81 5.90 — — 0 33 29% 3 — —
B. Mazurek M 90 6.18 — — 2 57 51% 4 — —
A. Barry M 90 6.88 — — 1 95 87% 3 — —
E. Baidoo M 60 5.98 — — 1 9 8% 0 — —
S. Kitano M 60 6.41 — — 0 32 28% 1 — —
J. Lindstrøm M 73 6.06 — — 3 35 30% 4 — —
H. Tabaković F 73 6.35 — — 0 23 18% 0 — —
A. Camara M 17 5.77 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
D. Redzic F 17 6.58 — — 0 9 5% 0 — —
G. Diakité F 30 6.54 — — 3 19 16% 1 — —
T. Drexler D 9 5.67 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Y. Vertessen F 30 6.51 — — 3 4 4% 1 — —
AC Milan AC Milan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Maignan G 90 7.03 — — 0 37 31% 1 — —
S. Pavlović D 81 7.16 — — 0 55 50% 3 — —
K. De Winter D 90 6.94 — — 0 62 58% 2 — —
F. Tomori D 67 6.94 — — 0 46 43% 2 — —
D. Bartesaghi M 90 7.30 — 1 1 38 34% 4 — —
A. Rabiot M 61 7.70 — 1 2 35 32% 1 — —
A. Jashari M 90 7.20 — — 1 63 60% 1 — —
O. Hutchinson M 90 7.70 — 1 3 32 29% 0 1 —
A. Cissè M 60 9.65 3 — 4 16 15% 1 — —
R. Loftus-Cheek M 90 6.41 — — 1 28 23% 7 — —
F. Camarda F 60 6.44 — — 0 9 7% 1 — —
C. Pulišić M 30 6.83 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
F. Terracciano D 16 5.49 — — 0 9 7% 0 — 1
Gonçalo Ramos F 30 7.42 1 — 2 6 3% 0 — —
L. Modrić M 29 6.69 — — 0 20 19% 1 — —
S. Bocoum D 9 6.49 — — 0 11 11% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
The final score was Red Bull Salzburg 0–4 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Red Bull Salzburg win, 22% to a draw, and 29% to an AC Milan win.