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Red Bull Salzburg - Ararat-Armenia

Europa League November 26, 2026 18:45
Red Bull Salzburg
#14 · 3 pts
vs
Ararat-Armenia
#33 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
71.68%
Win
Red Bull Salzburg
16.02%
Draw
12.3%
Win
Ararat-Armenia
2.36
Expected xG
0.78
Most likely outcome
Red Bull Salzburg
71.68%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (12.09%)
1X2 Result
1 72%
X 16%
2 12%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 88%
X2 28%
12 84%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Red Bull Salzburg a 71% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Ararat-Armenia. Expected goals are 2.4 for Red Bull Salzburg and 0.8 for Ararat-Armenia (total 3.1), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 12.09% probability.

Season Stats

Red Bull Salzburg
6W 1D 6L
Ararat-Armenia
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.0
1.4
Conceded
1.7
5.7
Shots OT
1.3
4.5
Corners
1.7
51%
Poss.
29%
Percentages
62%
O 1.5
67%
46%
O 2.5
33%
38%
BTTS
67%
38%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
Red Bull Salzburg
4W 0D 2L · at home
Ararat-Armenia
0W 1D 0L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.0
0.8
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
0%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
17%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Red Bull Salzburg Ararat-Armenia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 10.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% —
2 12.1% 9.4% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 9.5% 7.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 5.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
W Levski Sofia 0–1
W Mjallby AIF 3–0
W Mjallby AIF 0–1
D Pafos 3–3
W Pafos 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
L Sparta Praha 1–4
W Universitatea Craiova 1–0
D Universitatea Craiova 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
Attack
65
Defence
87
Form
68
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
Attack
38
Defence
72
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia?
The model gives Red Bull Salzburg a 71% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 12% for an Ararat-Armenia win.
How many goals are expected in Red Bull Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia?
Expected goals: Red Bull Salzburg 2.4, Ararat-Armenia 0.8 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Red Bull Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.09%.