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Red Bull Salzburg - Crystal Palace

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Red Bull Salzburg
#21 · 4 pts
vs
Crystal Palace
#15 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.8%
Win
Red Bull Salzburg
23.63%
Draw
22.57%
Win
Crystal Palace
3.38
Expected xG
0.77

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.82%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 54%
X 24%
2 23%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 77%
X2 46%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
Over 2.5 63%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Red Bull Salzburg a 53% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Crystal Palace. Expected goals are 3.4 for Red Bull Salzburg and 0.8 for Crystal Palace (total 4.1), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.82% probability.

Season Stats

Red Bull Salzburg
6W 2D 7L
Crystal Palace
1W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
2.7
1.6
Conceded
1.7
5.3
Shots OT
4.3
4.3
Corners
4.0
51%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
53%
O 2.5
100%
40%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
72%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Red Bull Salzburg
4W 0D 3L · at home
Crystal Palace
0W 1D 1L · away
1.6
gls/g
2.0
1.3
Conceded
2.5
57%
Win %
0%
57%
Win or Draw
50%
71%
O 1.5
100%
57%
O 2.5
100%
43%
O 3.5
100%
29%
BTTS
100%
43%
Clean Sht
0%
29%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Red Bull Salzburg Crystal Palace →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% — —
1 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 9.0% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% —
3 10.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% —
4 8.6% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% —
5 5.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
D Celje 2–2
L AC Milan 0–4
W Levski Sofia 0–1
W Mjallby AIF 3–0
W Mjallby AIF 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
D Beşiktaş 2–2
L Lyon 3–2
W Lech Poznan 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
Attack
48
Defence
64
Form
42
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Attack
36
Defence
56
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives Red Bull Salzburg a 53% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 22% for an Crystal Palace win.
How many goals are expected in Red Bull Salzburg vs Crystal Palace?
Expected goals: Red Bull Salzburg 3.4, Crystal Palace 0.8 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Red Bull Salzburg vs Crystal Palace?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.82%.