Red Bull Salzburg - Sparta Praha
Europa League
December 10, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
66.08%
Win
Red Bull Salzburg
17.6%
Draw
16.33%
Win
Sparta Praha
2.84
0.99
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Red Bull Salzburg
66.08%
Probability
64.3%
1X2 accuracy · 14 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.35%)
1X2 Result
1
66%
X
18%
2
16%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
84%
X2
34%
12
82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
73%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Red Bull Salzburg a 66% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Sparta Praha. Expected goals are 2.8 for Red Bull Salzburg and 1.0 for Sparta Praha (total 3.8), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.35% probability.
Season Stats
6W
1D
6L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
4.0
1.4
Conceded
1.0
5.7
Shots OT
8.0
4.5
Corners
13.0
51%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
62%
O 1.5
100%
46%
O 2.5
100%
38%
BTTS
100%
38%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
4W
0D
2L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
1.8
gls/g
4.0
0.8
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
100%
33%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
17%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Red Bull Salzburg
Sparta Praha →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Red Bull Salzburg
Attack
65
Defence
87
Form
68
Sparta Praha
Attack
53
Defence
64
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Sparta Praha?
The model gives Red Bull Salzburg a 66% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 16% for an Sparta Praha win.
How many goals are expected in Red Bull Salzburg vs Sparta Praha?
Expected goals: Red Bull Salzburg 2.8, Sparta Praha 1.0 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Red Bull Salzburg vs Sparta Praha?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.35%.