Bundesliga · Championship Group - 30 May 03, 2026 17:00

Red Bull Salzburg

#3 · 14 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Sturm Graz

#4 · 11 pts

Y. Vertessen 22'

90'+3 (ast. O. Kiteishvili) A. Kayombo

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 40% win probability (draw 23%, Sturm Graz 36%). The final result was Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 Sturm Graz. In 3 previous meetings, Red Bull Salzburg have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Sturm Graz.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

11

8

Shots on target

3

1.75

Actual xG

1.31

2

Saves

7

45%

Possession

55%

4

Corners

9

14

Tackles

19

0

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

5'

G. Mamageishvili

⚽Y. Vertessen

22'

59'

P. Koller / J. Mitchell ↕

73'

L. Weinhandl / R. Fosso ↕

73'

O. Kiteishvili / G. Mamageishvili ↕

73'

N. Geyrhofer / E. Karic ↕

↕ Y. Vertessen / E. Baidoo

74'

↕ K. Alajbegovic / M. K. Yeo

80'

↕ K. Onisiwo / K. Konate

80'

↕ S. Kitano / A. Terzic

87'

88'

A. Kayombo / M. Malone ↕

90'+3

ast. O. Kiteishvili · A. Kayombo⚽

90'+7

90'+9

J. Gazibegovic

Pre-match prediction

40.56%

Red

23.08%

X ←

36.37%

Sturm

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.08% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Red

1.83

1.75

-0.08

Sturm

1.86

1.31

-0.55

Red Bull Salzburg dominated by xG (1.75 vs 1.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lask Linz	6	15
2	Rapid Vienna	6	15
3	Red Bull Salzburg	6	14
4	Sturm Graz	6	11
5	WSG Wattens	6	8
6	TSV Hartberg	6	7
7	Grazer AK	6	7
8	Austria Vienna	6	6
9	Wolfsberger AC	6	5
10	Ried	6	5
11	Austria Lustenau	6	5
12	SCR Altach	6	3

Lineups

Red Bull Salzburg 4-1-4-1

1

G 7.20

13 F. Krätzig D 7.20

21 T. Drexler D 6.30

44 Jannik Schuster D 7.30

22 Stefan Lainer D 6.60

5

Soumaïla Diabaté M 7.30

27 Kerim Alajbegović 80' M 7.20

14 M. Kjærgaard M 7.30

8 S. Kitano 87' M 6.50

11 Y. Vertessen 1 ⚽ 74' M 7.30

9 Karim Onisiwo 80' F 6.50

Bench

3 Aleksa Terzić 8' D 6.20

24 D. Redzic F

20 E. Baidoo 21' F 6.60

19 K. Konaté 15' F 6.30

49 M. Yeo 15' M 6.20

Sturm Graz 4-1-3-2

53 D. Khudyakov G 8.90

17 E. Karić 73' D 6.60

5 A. Vallci D 6.60

2 J. Mitchell 59' D 7.20

22 Jusuf Gazibegović D 6.90

4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M 7.20

80 R. Fosso 73' M 6.30

15 G. Mamageishvili 73' M 6.00

43 Jacob Peter Hödl M 6.60

77 M. Malone 88' F 6.60

20 S. Jatta F 6.70

Bench

11 Axel Kayombo 1 ⚽ 7' F 7.30

39 Luca Weinhandl 22' M 6.30

10 O. Kiteishvili 1 👟 22' M 6.90

30 P. Koller 36' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

D. Khudyakov

G · Sturm

8.90

· 25 pass

Jannik Schuster

D · Red

7.30

· 38 pass

Soumaïla Diabaté

M · Red

7.30

1 shots · 30 pass

M. Kjærgaard

M · Red

7.30

1 shots · 24 pass

Axel Kayombo

F · Sturm

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots

Y. Vertessen

M · Red

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 21 pass

Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	95	7.20	—	—	—	26	12%	—	—	—
F. Krätzig	D	95	7.20	—	—	1	37	28%	3	—	—
T. Drexler	D	95	6.30	—	—	—	21	15%	—	—	—
Jannik Schuster	D	95	7.30	—	—	—	38	30%	1	—	—
Stefan Lainer	D	95	6.60	—	—	—	31	22%	1	—	—
Soumaïla Diabaté	M	95	7.30	—	—	1	30	25%	3	—	—
Kerim Alajbegović	M	80	7.20	—	—	2	16	12%	2	—	—
M. Kjærgaard	M	95	7.30	—	—	1	24	18%	2	—	—
S. Kitano	M	87	6.50	—	—	5	22	14%	1	—	—
Y. Vertessen	M	74	7.30	1	—	2	21	14%	1	—	—
Karim Onisiwo	F	80	6.50	—	—	1	10	6%	—	—	—
Aleksa Terzić	D	8	6.20	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
E. Baidoo	F	21	6.60	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
K. Konaté	F	15	6.30	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
M. Yeo	M	15	6.20	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—

Sturm Graz — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Khudyakov	G	95	8.90	—	—	—	25	18%	—	—	—
E. Karić	D	73	6.60	—	—	1	36	20%	4	—	—
A. Vallci	D	95	6.60	—	—	2	49	38%	1	—	—
J. Mitchell	D	59	7.20	—	—	1	22	19%	2	—	—
Jusuf Gazibegović	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	25	19%	3	—	—
J. Gorenc Stankovič	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	46	35%	2	—	—
R. Fosso	M	73	6.30	—	—	1	32	23%	2	—	—
G. Mamageishvili	M	73	6.00	—	—	1	12	6%	—	1	—
Jacob Peter Hödl	M	95	6.60	—	—	—	17	10%	3	—	—
M. Malone	F	88	6.60	—	—	2	14	7%	—	—	—
S. Jatta	F	95	6.70	—	—	1	20	12%	1	—	—
Axel Kayombo	F	7	7.30	1	—	1	—	—	—	—	—
Luca Weinhandl	M	22	6.30	—	—	—	9	6%	1	—	—
O. Kiteishvili	M	22	6.90	—	1	—	12	12%	—	—	—
P. Koller	D	36	6.90	—	—	1	23	18%	—	—	—