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Bundesliga · Championship Group - 32 May 17, 2026 14:30
Red Bull Salzburg
#2 · 24 pts
1 – 3
Final score
TSV Hartberg
#6 · 14 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Red Bull Salzburg, result TSV Hartberg wins
K. Alajbegovic (ast. S. Lainer) 83'
22' (ast. F. Wilfinger) M. Hoffmann
42' F. Wilfinger
90' (ast. E. Ojukwu) D. Kovacevic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 73% win probability (draw 14%, TSV Hartberg 11%). The final result was Red Bull Salzburg 1–3 TSV Hartberg. In 4 previous meetings, Red Bull Salzburg have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for TSV Hartberg.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
6
1.90
Actual xG
1.16
3
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
13
Corners
2
16
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
ast. F. Wilfinger · M. Hoffmann⚽
Y. Vertessen
36'
42'
F. Wilfinger⚽
↕ K. Onisiwo / K. Konate
46'
↕ Y. Vertessen / E. Baidoo
46'
↕ D. Redzic / E. Aguilar
61'
↕ F. Kratzig / A. Terzic
70'
72'
M. Fillafer / M. Hoffmann ↕
73'
K. Schopp / P. Komposch ↕
73'
D. Kovacevic / L. Pazourek ↕
76'
J. Golles / H. Coulibaly ↕
78'
L. Spendlhofer
⚽K. Alajbegovic · ast. S. Lainer
83'
87'
E. Ojukwu / L. Fridrikas ↕
90'
ast. E. Ojukwu · D. Kovacevic⚽
Pre-match prediction
73.65%
Red
14.64%
X
11.7%
TSV ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (TSV Hartberg) 11.7% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Red
2.68
1.90
-0.78
TSV
0.91
1.16
+0.25
Red Bull Salzburg dominated by xG (1.90 vs 1.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 10 27
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 10 24
3 Lask Linz Lask Linz 10 19
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 10 18
5 Ried Ried 10 15
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 10 14
7 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 10 12
8 Grazer AK Grazer AK 10 10
9 SCR Altach SCR Altach 10 9
10 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 10 8
11 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 10 7
12 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 10 5
Lineups
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 4-1-4-1
1 A. Schlager A. Schlager G 6.60
13 F. Krätzig F. Krätzig 71' D 6.70
21 T. Drexler T. Drexler D 6.60
91 Anrie Chase Anrie Chase D 6.90
22 S. Lainer S. Lainer 1 👟 D 7.30
5 S. Diabaté S. Diabaté M 7.90
24 D. Redzic D. Redzic 61' M 6.20
27 Kerim-Sam Alajbegović Kerim-Sam Alajbegović 1 ⚽ M 7.90
8 S. Kitano S. Kitano M 5.20
11 Y. Vertessen Y. Vertessen 45' M 6.00
9 Karim Onisiwo Karim Onisiwo 45' F 6.90
Bench
3 A. Terzić A. Terzić 19' D 6.30
52 Christian Zawieschitzky Christian Zawieschitzky G
43 E. Aguilar E. Aguilar 29' F 6.30
20 E. Baidoo E. Baidoo 45' F 7.20
19 K. Konaté K. Konaté 45' F 6.50
15 M. Diambou M. Diambou M
49 M. Yeo M. Yeo M
37 T. Trummer T. Trummer M
47 Valentin Zabransky Valentin Zabransky D
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 5-3-2
40 T. Hülsmann T. Hülsmann G 7.70
2 L. Pazourek L. Pazourek 73' D 7.50
6 Habib Coulibaly Habib Coulibaly 76' D 7.20
19 L. Spendlhofer L. Spendlhofer D 6.20
14 P. Komposch P. Komposch 73' D 7.30
28 J. Heil J. Heil D 7.00
23 T. Kainz T. Kainz M 6.70
4 B. Markuš B. Markuš M 6.60
18 F. Wilfinger F. Wilfinger 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.70
22 C. Hoffmann C. Hoffmann 72' F 7.30
30 Lukas Fridrikas Lukas Fridrikas 87' F 6.30
Bench
77 D. Korherr D. Korherr F
95 D. Kovacevic D. Kovacevic 1 ⚽ 17' D 7.30
25 Emmanuel Ojukwu Emmanuel Ojukwu 1 👟 3' D
17 J. Karner J. Karner M
16 Julian Gölles Julian Gölles 14' D 6.20
27 K. Schopp K. Schopp 17' D 6.30
21 L. Marić L. Marić G
11 Maximilian Fillafer Maximilian Fillafer 18' F 6.60
20 Paul Bratschko Paul Bratschko M
Best on the pitch
F. Wilfinger
F. Wilfinger
M · TSV
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
S. Diabaté
S. Diabaté
M · Red
7.90
· 72 pass
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
M · Red
7.90
1 ⚽
7 shots · 45 pass
T. Hülsmann
T. Hülsmann
G · TSV
7.70
· 41 pass
L. Pazourek
L. Pazourek
D · TSV
7.50
1 shots · 18 pass
D. Kovacevic
D. Kovacevic
D · TSV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Schlager G 90 6.60 — — — 13 13% — — —
F. Krätzig D 71 6.70 — — 1 46 37% 2 — —
T. Drexler D 90 6.60 — — — 47 44% 3 — —
Anrie Chase D 90 6.90 — — — 51 48% 1 — —
S. Lainer D 90 7.30 — 1 1 63 56% 1 — —
S. Diabaté M 90 7.90 — — — 72 69% 4 — —
D. Redzic M 61 6.20 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović M 90 7.90 1 — 7 45 39% 1 — —
S. Kitano M 90 5.20 — — 2 57 47% 2 — —
Y. Vertessen M 45 6.00 — — 3 23 17% — 1 —
Karim Onisiwo F 45 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
A. Terzić D 19 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
E. Aguilar F 29 6.30 — — 1 16 14% — — —
E. Baidoo F 45 7.20 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
K. Konaté F 45 6.50 — — 3 5 5% — — —
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Hülsmann G 90 7.70 — — — 41 26% — — —
L. Pazourek D 73 7.50 — — 1 18 16% 4 — —
Habib Coulibaly D 76 7.20 — — — 20 17% 2 — —
L. Spendlhofer D 90 6.20 — — — 31 24% — 1 —
P. Komposch D 73 7.30 — — — 29 26% — — —
J. Heil D 90 7.00 — — 1 18 14% 4 — —
T. Kainz M 90 6.70 — — 1 31 23% — — —
B. Markuš M 90 6.60 — — — 29 20% 2 — —
F. Wilfinger M 90 8.70 1 1 1 18 13% 2 — —
C. Hoffmann F 72 7.30 — — 1 16 12% — — —
Lukas Fridrikas F 87 6.30 — — 1 16 12% 1 — —
D. Kovacevic D 17 7.30 1 — 1 3 1% 1 — —
Emmanuel Ojukwu D 3 — — 1 1 2 2% — — —
Julian Gölles D 14 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
K. Schopp D 17 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Maximilian Fillafer F 18 6.60 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg?
The final score was Red Bull Salzburg 1–3 TSV Hartberg.
What did the model predict before Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Red Bull Salzburg win, 14% to a draw, and 11% to an TSV Hartberg win.