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Bundesliga · Championship Group - 32 May 17, 2026 14:30
Red Bull Salzburg
#2 · 14 pts
1 – 3
Final score
TSV Hartberg
#6 · 6 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Red Bull Salzburg, result TSV Hartberg wins
K. Alajbegovic (ast. S. Lainer) 83'
22' (ast. F. Wilfinger) M. Hoffmann
42' F. Wilfinger
90' (ast. E. Ojukwu) D. Kovacevic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 73% win probability (draw 14%, TSV Hartberg 11%). The final result was Red Bull Salzburg 1–3 TSV Hartberg. In 4 previous meetings, Red Bull Salzburg have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for TSV Hartberg.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
6
1.90
Actual xG
1.16
3
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
13
Corners
2
16
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
ast. F. Wilfinger · M. Hoffmann⚽
Y. Vertessen
36'
42'
F. Wilfinger⚽
↕ K. Onisiwo / K. Konate
46'
↕ Y. Vertessen / E. Baidoo
46'
↕ D. Redzic / E. Aguilar
61'
↕ F. Kratzig / A. Terzic
70'
72'
M. Fillafer / M. Hoffmann ↕
73'
K. Schopp / P. Komposch ↕
73'
D. Kovacevic / L. Pazourek ↕
76'
J. Golles / H. Coulibaly ↕
78'
L. Spendlhofer
⚽K. Alajbegovic · ast. S. Lainer
83'
87'
E. Ojukwu / L. Fridrikas ↕
90'
ast. E. Ojukwu · D. Kovacevic⚽
Pre-match prediction
73.65%
Red
14.64%
X
11.7%
TSV ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (TSV Hartberg) 11.7% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Red
2.68
1.90
-0.78
TSV
0.91
1.16
+0.25
Red Bull Salzburg dominated by xG (1.90 vs 1.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 5 15
2 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 6 14
3 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 5 12
4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 5 8
5 WSG Wattens WSG Wattens 5 7
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 5 6
7 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 5 5
8 Ried Ried 6 5
9 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 5 5
10 Grazer AK Grazer AK 5 4
11 SCR Altach SCR Altach 5 3
12 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 5 3
Lineups
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 4-1-4-1
1 A. Schlager A. Schlager G 6.60
13 F. Krätzig F. Krätzig 71' D 6.70
21 T. Drexler T. Drexler D 6.60
91 Anrie Chase Anrie Chase D 6.90
22 Stefan Lainer Stefan Lainer 1 👟 D 7.30
5
Soumaïla Diabaté M 7.90
24 D. Redzic D. Redzic 61' M 6.20
27 Kerim-Sam Alajbegović Kerim-Sam Alajbegović 1 ⚽ M 7.90
8 S. Kitano S. Kitano M 5.20
11 Y. Vertessen Y. Vertessen 45' M 6.00
9 Karim Onisiwo Karim Onisiwo 45' F 6.90
Bench
3 Aleksa Terzić Aleksa Terzić 19' D 6.30
52 Christian Zawieschitzky Christian Zawieschitzky G
43 E. Aguilar E. Aguilar 29' F 6.30
20 E. Baidoo E. Baidoo 45' F 7.20
19 K. Konaté K. Konaté 45' F 6.50
15 M. Diambou M. Diambou M
49 M. Yeo M. Yeo M
37 Tim Trummer Tim Trummer M
47 Valentin Zabransky Valentin Zabransky D
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 5-3-2
40 T. Hülsmann T. Hülsmann G 7.70
2 Luca Pazourek Luca Pazourek 73' D 7.50
6 Habib Anas Coulibaly Habib Anas Coulibaly 76' D 7.20
19 Lukas Spendlhofer Lukas Spendlhofer D 6.20
14 Paul Komposch Paul Komposch 73' D 7.30
28 Jurgen Heil Jurgen Heil D 7.00
23 Tobias Kainz Tobias Kainz M 6.70
4 Benjamin Markuš Benjamin Markuš M 6.60
18 Fabian Wilfinger Fabian Wilfinger 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.70
22 C. Hoffmann C. Hoffmann 72' F 7.30
30 Lukas Fridrikas Lukas Fridrikas 87' F 6.30
Bench
77 David Korherr David Korherr F
95 D. Kovacevic D. Kovacevic 1 ⚽ 17' D 7.30
25 Emmanuel Ojukwu Emmanuel Ojukwu 1 👟 3' D
17 Jonas Karner Jonas Karner M
16 Julian Gölles Julian Gölles 14' D 6.20
27 K. Schopp K. Schopp 17' D 6.30
21 Luka Marić Luka Marić G
11 Maximilian Fillafer Maximilian Fillafer 18' F 6.60
20 Paul Bratschko Paul Bratschko M
Best on the pitch
Fabian Wilfinger
Fabian Wilfinger
M · TSV
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
Soumaïla Diabaté
M · Red
7.90
· 72 pass
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
M · Red
7.90
1 ⚽
7 shots · 45 pass
T. Hülsmann
T. Hülsmann
G · TSV
7.70
· 41 pass
Luca Pazourek
Luca Pazourek
D · TSV
7.50
1 shots · 18 pass
D. Kovacevic
D. Kovacevic
D · TSV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Schlager G 90 6.60 — — — 13 13% — — —
F. Krätzig D 71 6.70 — — 1 46 37% 2 — —
T. Drexler D 90 6.60 — — — 47 44% 3 — —
Anrie Chase D 90 6.90 — — — 51 48% 1 — —
Stefan Lainer D 90 7.30 — 1 1 63 56% 1 — —
Soumaïla Diabaté M 90 7.90 — — — 72 69% 4 — —
D. Redzic M 61 6.20 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović M 90 7.90 1 — 7 45 39% 1 — —
S. Kitano M 90 5.20 — — 2 57 47% 2 — —
Y. Vertessen M 45 6.00 — — 3 23 17% — 1 —
Karim Onisiwo F 45 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Aleksa Terzić D 19 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
E. Aguilar F 29 6.30 — — 1 16 14% — — —
E. Baidoo F 45 7.20 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
K. Konaté F 45 6.50 — — 3 5 5% — — —
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Hülsmann G 90 7.70 — — — 41 26% — — —
Luca Pazourek D 73 7.50 — — 1 18 16% 4 — —
Habib Anas Coulibaly D 76 7.20 — — — 20 17% 2 — —
Lukas Spendlhofer D 90 6.20 — — — 31 24% — 1 —
Paul Komposch D 73 7.30 — — — 29 26% — — —
Jurgen Heil D 90 7.00 — — 1 18 14% 4 — —
Tobias Kainz M 90 6.70 — — 1 31 23% — — —
Benjamin Markuš M 90 6.60 — — — 29 20% 2 — —
Fabian Wilfinger M 90 8.70 1 1 1 18 13% 2 — —
C. Hoffmann F 72 7.30 — — 1 16 12% — — —
Lukas Fridrikas F 87 6.30 — — 1 16 12% 1 — —
D. Kovacevic D 17 7.30 1 — 1 3 1% 1 — —
Emmanuel Ojukwu D 3 — — 1 1 2 2% — — —
Julian Gölles D 14 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
K. Schopp D 17 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Maximilian Fillafer F 18 6.60 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg?
The final score was Red Bull Salzburg 1–3 TSV Hartberg.
What did the model predict before Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Red Bull Salzburg win, 14% to a draw, and 11% to an TSV Hartberg win.