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Bundesliga · Championship Group - 32 May 17, 2026 14:30
Red Bull Salzburg
#3 · 29 pts
1 – 3
Final score
TSV Hartberg
#6 · 25 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Red Bull Salzburg, result TSV Hartberg wins
K. Alajbegovic (ast. S. Lainer) 83'
22' (ast. F. Wilfinger) M. Hoffmann
42' F. Wilfinger
90' (ast. E. Ojukwu) D. Kovacevic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 73% win probability (draw 14%, TSV Hartberg 11%). The final result was Red Bull Salzburg 1–3 TSV Hartberg. In 3 previous meetings, Red Bull Salzburg have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for TSV Hartberg.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
6
1.90
Actual xG
1.16
3
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
13
Corners
2
16
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
ast. F. Wilfinger · M. Hoffmann⚽
Y. Vertessen
36'
42'
F. Wilfinger⚽
↕ K. Onisiwo / K. Konate
46'
↕ Y. Vertessen / E. Baidoo
46'
↕ D. Redzic / E. Aguilar
61'
↕ F. Kratzig / A. Terzic
70'
72'
M. Fillafer / M. Hoffmann ↕
73'
K. Schopp / P. Komposch ↕
73'
D. Kovacevic / L. Pazourek ↕
76'
J. Golles / H. Coulibaly ↕
78'
L. Spendlhofer
⚽K. Alajbegovic · ast. S. Lainer
83'
87'
E. Ojukwu / L. Fridrikas ↕
90'
ast. E. Ojukwu · D. Kovacevic⚽
Pre-match prediction
73.65%
Red
14.64%
X
11.7%
TSV ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (TSV Hartberg) 11.7% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Red
2.68
1.90
-0.78
TSV
0.91
1.16
+0.25
Red Bull Salzburg dominated by xG (1.90 vs 1.16). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lask Linz Lask Linz 32 39
2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 32 37
3 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 32 29
4 Austria Vienna Austria Vienna 32 29
5 Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna 32 27
6 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 32 25
Lineups
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 4-1-4-1
1 Alexander Schlager Alexander Schlager G 6.60
13 F. Krätzig F. Krätzig 71' D 6.70
21 Tim Drexler Tim Drexler D 6.60
91 Anrie Chase Anrie Chase D 6.90
22 Stefan Lainer Stefan Lainer 1 👟 D 7.30
5 S. Diabaté S. Diabaté M 7.90
24 Damir Redzic Damir Redzic 61' M 6.20
27 Kerim Alajbegović Kerim Alajbegović 1 ⚽ M 7.90
8 Sota Kitano Sota Kitano M 5.20
11 Y. Vertessen Y. Vertessen 45' M 6.00
9 Karim Onisiwo Karim Onisiwo 45' F 6.90
Bench
3 Aleksa Terzić Aleksa Terzić 19' D 6.30
52 Christian Zawieschitzky Christian Zawieschitzky G
20 Edmund Baidoo Edmund Baidoo 45' F 7.20
43 Enrique Aguilar Enrique Aguilar 29' F 6.30
19 K. Konaté K. Konaté 45' F 6.50
15 Mamady Diambou Mamady Diambou M
49 Moussa Kounfolo Yeo Moussa Kounfolo Yeo M
37 Tim Trummer Tim Trummer M
47 Valentin Zabransky Valentin Zabransky D
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg 5-3-2
40 T. Hülsmann T. Hülsmann G 7.70
2 Luca Pazourek Luca Pazourek 73' D 7.50
6 Habib Anas Coulibaly Habib Anas Coulibaly 76' D 7.20
19 L. Spendlhofer L. Spendlhofer D 6.20
14 Paul Komposch Paul Komposch 73' D 7.30
28 Jurgen Heil Jurgen Heil D 7.00
23 T. Kainz T. Kainz M 6.70
4 Benjamin Markuš Benjamin Markuš M 6.60
18 Fabian Wilfinger Fabian Wilfinger 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.70
22 Marco Hoffmann Marco Hoffmann 72' F 7.30
30 Lukas Fridrikas Lukas Fridrikas 87' F 6.30
Bench
95 Damjan Kovačević Damjan Kovačević 1 ⚽ 17' D 7.30
77 David Korherr David Korherr F
25 Emmanuel Ojukwu Emmanuel Ojukwu 1 👟 3' D
17 Jonas Karner Jonas Karner M
16 Julian Gölles Julian Gölles 14' D 6.20
27 Konstantin Schopp Konstantin Schopp 17' D 6.30
21 Luka Marić Luka Marić G
11 Maximilian Fillafer Maximilian Fillafer 18' F 6.60
20 Paul Bratschko Paul Bratschko M
Best on the pitch
Fabian Wilfinger
Fabian Wilfinger
M · TSV
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
S. Diabaté
S. Diabaté
M · Red
7.90
· 72 pass
Kerim Alajbegović
Kerim Alajbegović
M · Red
7.90
1 ⚽
7 shots · 45 pass
T. Hülsmann
T. Hülsmann
G · TSV
7.70
· 41 pass
Luca Pazourek
Luca Pazourek
D · TSV
7.50
1 shots · 18 pass
Damjan Kovačević
Damjan Kovačević
D · TSV
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alexander Schlager G 90 6.60 — — — 13 13% — — —
F. Krätzig D 71 6.70 — — 1 46 37% 2 — —
Tim Drexler D 90 6.60 — — — 47 44% 3 — —
Anrie Chase D 90 6.90 — — — 51 48% 1 — —
Stefan Lainer D 90 7.30 — 1 1 63 56% 1 — —
S. Diabaté M 90 7.90 — — — 72 69% 4 — —
Damir Redzic M 61 6.20 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Kerim Alajbegović M 90 7.90 1 — 7 45 39% 1 — —
Sota Kitano M 90 5.20 — — 2 57 47% 2 — —
Y. Vertessen M 45 6.00 — — 3 23 17% — 1 —
Karim Onisiwo F 45 6.90 — — — 8 7% — — —
Aleksa Terzić D 19 6.30 — — — 18 16% — — —
Edmund Baidoo F 45 7.20 — — 1 25 22% 1 — —
Enrique Aguilar F 29 6.30 — — 1 16 14% — — —
K. Konaté F 45 6.50 — — 3 5 5% — — —
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Hülsmann G 90 7.70 — — — 41 26% — — —
Luca Pazourek D 73 7.50 — — 1 18 16% 4 — —
Habib Anas Coulibaly D 76 7.20 — — — 20 17% 2 — —
L. Spendlhofer D 90 6.20 — — — 31 24% — 1 —
Paul Komposch D 73 7.30 — — — 29 26% — — —
Jurgen Heil D 90 7.00 — — 1 18 14% 4 — —
T. Kainz M 90 6.70 — — 1 31 23% — — —
Benjamin Markuš M 90 6.60 — — — 29 20% 2 — —
Fabian Wilfinger M 90 8.70 1 1 1 18 13% 2 — —
Marco Hoffmann F 72 7.30 — — 1 16 12% — — —
Lukas Fridrikas F 87 6.30 — — 1 16 12% 1 — —
Damjan Kovačević D 17 7.30 1 — 1 3 1% 1 — —
Emmanuel Ojukwu D 3 — — 1 1 2 2% — — —
Julian Gölles D 14 6.20 — — — 4 3% — — —
Konstantin Schopp D 17 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Maximilian Fillafer F 18 6.60 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg?
The final score was Red Bull Salzburg 1–3 TSV Hartberg.
What did the model predict before Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg?
The model assigned 73% probability to a Red Bull Salzburg win, 14% to a draw, and 11% to an TSV Hartberg win.