Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 1
August 01, 2026 19:30
K. Konate
(ast. D. Schmid)
89'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Red Bull Salzburg a 41% win probability (draw 30%, TSV Hartberg 28%). The final result was Red Bull Salzburg 1–0 TSV Hartberg. In 4 previous meetings, Red Bull Salzburg have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for TSV Hartberg.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
1
3.91
Actual xG
0.66
1
Saves
6
73%
Possession
27%
19
Corners
2
14
Tackles
25
Match Events
46'
L. Pazourek
/
F. Gerstl
46'
A. Gattermayer
/
M. Postl
Y. Vertessen
/ H. Tabakovic
60'
A. Barry
/ K. Konate
69'
E. Aguilar
/ B. Mazurek
70'
71'
A. Urrutia
/
M. Hoffmann
G. Diakite
/ F. Kratzig
80'
⚽K. Konate
· ast. D. Schmid
89'
90'
N. Feldhofer
/
Y. Diarra
90'
J. Drew
/
F. Wilfinger
Pre-match prediction
41.2%
Red ←
30.26%
X
28.54%
TSV
we assigned to the actual result (Red Bull Salzburg)
41.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.61
3.91
+1.3
0.96
0.66
-0.3
Red Bull Salzburg dominated by xG (3.91 vs 0.66).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
52
Christian Zawieschitzky
G
Christian Zawieschitzky
G
31
D. Schmid
1 👟
D
D. Schmid
1 👟
D
47
Valentin Zabransky
D
Valentin Zabransky
D
44
K. Boma
D
K. Boma
D
18
N. Veratschnig
D
N. Veratschnig
D
32
A. Barry
69'
M
A. Barry
69'
M
5
Soumaïla Diabaté
M
43
E. Aguilar
70'
M
E. Aguilar
70'
M
30
Gaoussou Diakite
80'
M
23
D. Redzic
M
D. Redzic
M
11
Y. Vertessen
60'
F
Y. Vertessen
60'
F
Bench
33
A. Camara
M
A. Camara
M
15
B. Mazurek
20'
M
B. Mazurek
20'
M
13
F. Krätzig
10'
D
F. Krätzig
10'
D
9
H. Tabaković
30'
F
H. Tabaković
30'
F
19
K. Konaté
1 ⚽
21'
F
K. Konaté
1 ⚽
21'
F
39
L. Morgalla
D
L. Morgalla
D
14
M. Kjærgaard
M
M. Kjærgaard
M
41
Nikola Sarcevic
G
21
T. Drexler
D
T. Drexler
D
91
Ármin Pécsi
G
Ármin Pécsi
G
28
Florian Gerstl
45'
D
Florian Gerstl
45'
D
6
Habib Anas Coulibaly
D
Habib Anas Coulibaly
D
27
K. Schopp
D
K. Schopp
D
14
Paul Komposch
D
Paul Komposch
D
18
Fabian Wilfinger
89'
D
Fabian Wilfinger
89'
D
5
Youba Diarra
89'
M
Youba Diarra
89'
M
4
Benjamin Markuš
M
Benjamin Markuš
M
23
Tobias Kainz
M
Tobias Kainz
M
8
Matthias Postl
45'
F
Matthias Postl
45'
F
22
C. Hoffmann
71'
F
C. Hoffmann
71'
F
Bench
7
A. Gattermayer
45'
F
A. Gattermayer
45'
F
9
Agustín Urrutia
19'
F
Agustín Urrutia
19'
F
11
Jed Drew
1'
F
Jed Drew
1'
F
17
Jonas Karner
M
Jonas Karner
M
2
Luca Pazourek
45'
M
Luca Pazourek
45'
M
21
Luka Marić
G
Luka Marić
G
19
Lukas Spendlhofer
D
Lukas Spendlhofer
D
16
Magnus Dalpiaz
D
Magnus Dalpiaz
D
95
Nikolaus Feldhofer
1'
M
Nikolaus Feldhofer
1'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Schmid
D · Red
8.00
1 👟
· 70 pass
K. Konaté
F · Red
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
K. Boma
D · Red
7.90
3 shots
· 82 pass
N. Veratschnig
D · Red
7.90
3 shots
· 59 pass
Ármin Pécsi
G · TSV
7.90
· 44 pass
Valentin Zabransky
D · Red
7.70
1 shots
· 77 pass
Red Bull Salzburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Zawieschitzky | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Schmid | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 70 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Valentin Zabransky | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 75% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Boma | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 82 | 76% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Veratschnig | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 59 | 53% | — | — | — |
| A. Barry | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Soumaïla Diabaté | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 96 | 84% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Aguilar | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Gaoussou Diakite | M | 80 | 7.50 | — | — | 4 | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Redzic | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Vertessen | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Mazurek | M | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| F. Krätzig | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Tabaković | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| K. Konaté | F | 21 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
TSV Hartberg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ármin Pécsi | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Florian Gerstl | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 3 | — | — |
| Habib Anas Coulibaly | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Schopp | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Paul Komposch | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabian Wilfinger | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Youba Diarra | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Benjamin Markuš | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Tobias Kainz | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Matthias Postl | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Hoffmann | F | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Gattermayer | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Agustín Urrutia | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jed Drew | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Pazourek | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Nikolaus Feldhofer | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg?
The final score was Red Bull Salzburg 1–0 TSV Hartberg.
What did the model predict before Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Red Bull Salzburg win, 30% to a draw, and 28% to an TSV Hartberg win.