Serie B
· Regular Season - 34
April 12, 2026 19:30
M. Portanova
(ast. M. Bertagnoli)
14'
M. Bertagnoli
(ast. M. Lambourde)
28'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrarese a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Reggiana 22%). The final result was Reggiana 2–0 Carrarese. In 1 previous meetings, Reggiana have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Carrarese.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
1
0.80
Actual xG
1.22
1
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
4
Corners
8
16
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽M. Portanova
· ast. M. Bertagnoli
14'
23'
Nicolò Calabrese
⚽M. Bertagnoli
· ast. M. Lambourde
28'
45'+2
46'
F. Di Stefano
/
M. Finotto
46'
T. Rubino
/
G. Parlanti
Tobías Reinhart
51'
M. Bertagnoli
/ M. Rover
64'
K. Bozhanaj
/ Charlys
64'
64'
J. Illanes
/
F. Oliana
M. Lambourde
/ A. Novakovich
73'
73'
F. Melegoni
/
J. Rouhi
80'
N. Sekulov
/
N. Calabrese
85'
Luis Hasa
M. Portanova
/ F. Vallarelli
85'
C. Gondo
/ T. Fumagalli
86'
90'
Simone Zanon
Pre-match prediction
22.37%
Reggiana ←
25.11%
X
52.51%
Carrarese
we assigned to the actual result (Reggiana)
22.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.53
0.80
+0.27
1.72
1.22
-0.5
Carrarese dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
A. Micai
G
43
S. Bonetti
D
47
Mateus Lusuardi
D
34
F. Vicari
D
17
L. Libutti
D
90
M. Portanova
1 ⚽
85'
M
16
T. Reinhart
M
T. Reinhart
M
26
M. Bertagnoli
1 ⚽
1 👟
64'
M
10
K. Bozhanaj
64'
M
93
M. Lambourde
1 👟
73'
M
11
C. Gondo
86'
F
Bench
9
A. Novakovich
17'
F
2
A. Papetti
D
A. Papetti
D
8
Charlys
26'
M
57
L. Belardinelli
M
23
M. Rover
26'
F
77
T. Fumagalli
10'
F
1
G
26
F. Ruggeri
D
6
F. Oliana
64'
D
37
N. Calabrese
80'
D
73
J. Rouhi
73'
M
70
L. Hasa
M
17
E. Zuelli
M
77
G. Parlanti
45'
M
72
S. Zanon
M
S. Zanon
M
9
F. Abiuso
F
F. Abiuso
F
32
M. Finotto
45'
F
Bench
28
F. Di Stefano
45'
F
8
F. Melegoni
17'
M
4
J. Illanes
26'
D
J. Illanes
26'
D
21
T. Rubino
45'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Portanova
M · Reggiana
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
F. Vicari
D · Reggiana
7.90
· 19 pass
S. Zanon
M · Carrarese
7.70
2 shots
· 37 pass
E. Zuelli
M · Carrarese
7.70
· 76 pass
M. Bertagnoli
M · Reggiana
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
M. Lambourde
M · Reggiana
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 26 pass
Reggiana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Micai | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Bonetti | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateus Lusuardi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Vicari | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Libutti | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Portanova | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Reinhart | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Bertagnoli | M | 64 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Bozhanaj | M | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Lambourde | M | 73 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Gondo | F | 86 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Novakovich | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Charlys | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Rover | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Fumagalli | F | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Carrarese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| F. Ruggeri | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 81 | 74% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Oliana | D | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Calabrese | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Rouhi | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Hasa | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 49% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Zuelli | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 76 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Parlanti | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Zanon | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| F. Abiuso | F | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Finotto | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Di Stefano | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Melegoni | M | 17 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Illanes | D | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| T. Rubino | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reggiana vs Carrarese?
The final score was Reggiana 2–0 Carrarese.
What did the model predict before Reggiana vs Carrarese?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Reggiana win, 25% to a draw, and 52% to an Carrarese win.