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M. Portanova (ast. M. Bertagnoli) 14'
M. Bertagnoli (ast. M. Lambourde) 28'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carrarese a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Reggiana 22%). The final result was Reggiana 2–0 Carrarese. In 1 previous meetings, Reggiana have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Carrarese.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
1
0.80
Actual xG
1.22
1
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
4
Corners
8
16
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
M. Portanova · ast. M. Bertagnoli
14'
23'
Nicolò Calabrese
M. Bertagnoli · ast. M. Lambourde
28'
45'+2
46'
F. Di Stefano / M. Finotto
46'
T. Rubino / G. Parlanti
Tobías Reinhart
51'
M. Bertagnoli / M. Rover
64'
K. Bozhanaj / Charlys
64'
64'
J. Illanes / F. Oliana
M. Lambourde / A. Novakovich
73'
73'
F. Melegoni / J. Rouhi
80'
N. Sekulov / N. Calabrese
85'
Luis Hasa
M. Portanova / F. Vallarelli
85'
C. Gondo / T. Fumagalli
86'
90'
Simone Zanon
Pre-match prediction
22.37%
Reggiana ←
25.11%
X
52.51%
Carrarese
we assigned to the actual result (Reggiana) 22.37% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Reggiana
0.53
0.80
+0.27
Carrarese
1.72
1.22
-0.5
Carrarese dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Reggiana Reggiana 4-3-2-1
1
A. Micai G 6.90
43
S. Bonetti D 6.70
47
Mateus Lusuardi D 6.90
34
F. Vicari D 7.90
17
L. Libutti D 6.90
90
M. Portanova 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20
16 T. Reinhart T. Reinhart M 6.90
26
M. Bertagnoli 1 ⚽ 1 👟 64' M 7.70
10 K. Bozhanaj K. Bozhanaj 64' M 7.30
93 M. Lambourde M. Lambourde 1 👟 73' M 7.70
11
C. Gondo 86' F 7.50
Bench
9 A. Novaković A. Novaković 17' F 6.30
2 A. Papetti A. Papetti D
8 Charlys Charlys 26' M 6.90
57 L. Belardinelli L. Belardinelli M
23
M. Rover 26' F 6.30
77
T. Fumagalli 10' F 6.60
Carrarese Carrarese 3-5-2
1
G 6.30
26 F. Ruggeri F. Ruggeri D 6.60
6 F. Oliana F. Oliana 64' D 7.00
37 N. Calabrese N. Calabrese 80' D 6.90
73 J. Rouhi J. Rouhi 73' M 6.30
70 Luis Hasa Luis Hasa M 7.30
17 E. Zuelli E. Zuelli M 7.70
77 G. Parlanti G. Parlanti 45' M 6.30
72 S. Zanon S. Zanon M 7.70
9 F. Abiuso F. Abiuso F 6.00
32 M. Finotto M. Finotto 45' F 6.20
Bench
28 F. Distefano F. Distefano 45' F 6.90
8 F. Melegoni F. Melegoni 17' M 7.00
4 J. Illanes J. Illanes 26' D 6.60
21 T. Rubino T. Rubino 45' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
M. Portanova
M · Reggiana
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
F. Vicari
D · Reggiana
7.90
· 19 pass
S. Zanon
S. Zanon
M · Carrarese
7.70
2 shots · 37 pass
E. Zuelli
E. Zuelli
M · Carrarese
7.70
· 76 pass
M. Bertagnoli
M · Reggiana
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
M. Lambourde
M. Lambourde
M · Reggiana
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 26 pass
Reggiana Reggiana — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Micai G 90 6.90 25 9%
S. Bonetti D 90 6.70 17 13% 1
Mateus Lusuardi D 90 6.90 16 11% 2
F. Vicari D 90 7.90 19 16% 2
L. Libutti D 90 6.90 27 23% 1
M. Portanova M 85 8.20 1 1 19 13% 3
T. Reinhart M 90 6.90 32 27% 1 1
M. Bertagnoli M 64 7.70 1 1 1 18 15% 2
K. Bozhanaj M 64 7.30 12 12%
M. Lambourde M 73 7.70 1 2 26 19% 2
C. Gondo F 86 7.50 16 9% 2
A. Novaković F 17 6.30 2 4 4%
Charlys M 26 6.90 1 8 7%
M. Rover F 26 6.30 5 4%
T. Fumagalli F 10 6.60 4 3%
Carrarese Carrarese — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 26 23%
F. Ruggeri D 90 6.60 1 81 74% 3
F. Oliana D 64 7.00 51 45% 4
N. Calabrese D 80 6.90 1 58 50% 1 1
J. Rouhi M 73 6.30 2 17 14% 2
Luis Hasa M 90 7.30 2 54 49% 1
E. Zuelli M 90 7.70 76 70% 1
G. Parlanti M 45 6.30 11 7% 1
S. Zanon M 90 7.70 2 37 32% 3 1
F. Abiuso F 90 6.00 2 10 6% 1
M. Finotto F 45 6.20 1 4 3%
F. Distefano F 45 6.90 21 20% 2
F. Melegoni M 17 7.00 11 11%
J. Illanes D 26 6.60 1 14 11%
T. Rubino F 45 6.60 23 21% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reggiana vs Carrarese?
The final score was Reggiana 2–0 Carrarese.
What did the model predict before Reggiana vs Carrarese?
The model assigned 22% probability to a Reggiana win, 25% to a draw, and 52% to an Carrarese win.