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Serie B · Regular Season - 36 April 25, 2026 15:00 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Reggiana
1 – 1
Final score
Palermo
#1 · 9 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Palermo, result Draw
M. Lambourde 21'
30' (ast. N. Pierozzi) A. Palumbo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 60% win probability (draw 24%, Reggiana 14%). The final result was Reggiana 1–1 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Reggiana have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
14
1
Shots on target
7
0.85
Actual xG
1.33
5
Saves
0
31%
Possession
69%
2
Corners
6
17
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
11'
A. Palumbo
⚽M. Lambourde
21'
30'
ast. N. Pierozzi · A. Palumbo⚽
A. Micai
31'
↕ K. Bozhanaj / A. Tripaldelli
46'
↕ T. Reinhart / M. Bertagnoli
46'
66'
D. Johnsen / J. Segre ↕
↕ C. Gondo / N. Girma
74'
75'
G. Corona / J. Le Douaron ↕
75'
A. Vasic / R. Modesto ↕
A. Papetti
83'
84'
E. Gyasi / P. Ceccaroni ↕
↕ M. Lambourde / M. Rover
88'
Mateus Lusuardi
89'
M. Rover
90'+1
↕ L. Belardinelli / Charlys
90'+4
90'
Pre-match prediction
14.81%
Reggiana
24.99%
X ←
60.2%
Palermo
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.99% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Reggiana
0.63
0.85
+0.22
Palermo
1.77
1.33
-0.44
Palermo dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.85). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Reggiana Reggiana 4-3-2-1
1
A. Micai G 7.00
43
S. Bonetti D 7.00
47
Mateus Lusuardi D 6.20
34
F. Vicari D 7.20
2 A. Papetti A. Papetti 83' D 6.20
10 K. Bozhanaj K. Bozhanaj 45' M 6.50
57 L. Belardinelli L. Belardinelli M 7.30
16 T. Reinhart T. Reinhart 45' M 6.20
90
M. Portanova M 6.70
93 M. Lambourde M. Lambourde 1 ⚽ 88' M 7.60
11
C. Gondo 74' F 6.60
Bench
9 A. Novaković A. Novaković F
33
A. Tripaldelli 48' D 6.70
8 Charlys Charlys M
26
M. Bertagnoli 48' M 6.50
23
M. Rover 5' F
80
N. Girma 19' F 6.50
77
T. Fumagalli F
Palermo Palermo 3-4-2-1
66 Jesse Joronen Jesse Joronen G 6.50
32 P. Ceccaroni P. Ceccaroni 84' D 6.90
29 P. Peda P. Peda D 7.30
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi 1 👟 D 6.90
3
M 7.00
10 F. Ranocchia F. Ranocchia M 7.20
8 J. Segre J. Segre 66' M 6.20
18 Rui Modesto Rui Modesto 74' M 6.60
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 1 ⚽ F 7.60
21 J. Le Douaron J. Le Douaron 74' F 6.50
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo F 6.30
Bench
14 A. Vasic A. Vasic 19' M 6.20
19 B. Bereszyński B. Bereszyński D
7 D. Johnsen D. Johnsen 27' F 6.70
11 E. Gyasi E. Gyasi 9' D 6.70
96 G. Magnani G. Magnani D
13 M. Bani M. Bani D
17 S. Giovane S. Giovane M
Best on the pitch
A. Palumbo
A. Palumbo
F · Palermo
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 52 pass
M. Lambourde
M. Lambourde
M · Reggiana
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
L. Belardinelli
L. Belardinelli
M · Reggiana
7.30
· 25 pass
P. Peda
P. Peda
D · Palermo
7.30
3 shots · 57 pass
F. Vicari
D · Reggiana
7.20
· 19 pass
F. Ranocchia
F. Ranocchia
M · Palermo
7.20
2 shots · 96 pass
Reggiana Reggiana — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Micai G 93 7.00 — — — 21 11% — 1 —
S. Bonetti D 93 7.00 — — — 18 16% 2 — —
Mateus Lusuardi D 93 6.20 — — — 14 12% 1 1 —
F. Vicari D 93 7.20 — — — 19 12% 1 — —
A. Papetti D 83 6.20 — — — 15 10% — — 1
K. Bozhanaj M 45 6.50 — — — 9 6% 2 — —
L. Belardinelli M 93 7.30 — — — 25 15% 2 — —
T. Reinhart M 45 6.20 — — — 7 4% — — —
M. Portanova M 93 6.70 — — — 16 8% 3 — —
M. Lambourde M 88 7.60 1 — 1 14 12% 4 — —
C. Gondo F 74 6.60 — — 2 10 3% — — —
A. Tripaldelli D 48 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
M. Bertagnoli M 48 6.50 — — — 14 13% 1 — —
M. Rover F 5 — — — — 1 — — 1 —
N. Girma F 19 6.50 — — — 2 — 1 — —
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jesse Joronen G 93 6.50 — — — 17 14% — — —
P. Ceccaroni D 84 6.90 — — — 57 53% 1 — —
P. Peda D 93 7.30 — — 3 57 53% 3 — —
N. Pierozzi D 93 6.90 — 1 — 39 38% 1 — —
M 93 7.00 — — — 38 30% 3 — —
F. Ranocchia M 93 7.20 — — 2 96 86% 3 — —
J. Segre M 66 6.20 — — — 20 17% 2 — —
Rui Modesto M 74 6.60 — — 1 23 19% 2 — —
A. Palumbo F 93 7.60 1 — 4 52 46% — 1 —
J. Le Douaron F 74 6.50 — — 1 8 5% — — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 93 6.30 — — 2 8 6% 1 — —
A. Vasic M 19 6.20 — — 1 4 3% — — —
D. Johnsen F 27 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
E. Gyasi D 9 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reggiana vs Palermo?
The final score was Reggiana 1–1 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Reggiana vs Palermo?
The model assigned 14% probability to a Reggiana win, 24% to a draw, and 60% to an Palermo win.