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Serie B · Regular Season - 36 April 25, 2026 15:00 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Reggiana
#18 · 37 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Palermo
#4 · 72 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Palermo, result Draw
M. Lambourde 21'
30' (ast. N. Pierozzi) A. Palumbo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 60% win probability (draw 24%, Reggiana 14%). The final result was Reggiana 1–1 Palermo. In 1 previous meetings, Reggiana have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palermo.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
14
1
Shots on target
7
0.85
Actual xG
1.33
5
Saves
0
31%
Possession
69%
2
Corners
6
17
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
11'
A. Palumbo
⚽M. Lambourde
21'
30'
ast. N. Pierozzi · A. Palumbo⚽
A. Micai
31'
↕ K. Bozhanaj / A. Tripaldelli
46'
↕ T. Reinhart / M. Bertagnoli
46'
66'
D. Johnsen / J. Segre ↕
↕ C. Gondo / N. Girma
74'
75'
G. Corona / J. Le Douaron ↕
75'
A. Vasic / R. Modesto ↕
A. Papetti
83'
84'
E. Gyasi / P. Ceccaroni ↕
↕ M. Lambourde / M. Rover
88'
Mateus Lusuardi
89'
M. Rover
90'+1
↕ L. Belardinelli / Charlys
90'+4
90'
Pre-match prediction
14.81%
Reggiana
24.99%
X ←
60.2%
Palermo
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.99% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Reggiana
0.63
0.85
+0.22
Palermo
1.77
1.33
-0.44
Palermo dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.85). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
1 Sudtirol Sudtirol 1 1
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
2 Bari Bari 1 1
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Reggiana Reggiana 4-3-2-1
1
A. Micai G 7.00
43
S. Bonetti D 7.00
47
Mateus Lusuardi D 6.20
34
F. Vicari D 7.20
2 A. Papetti A. Papetti 83' D 6.20
10
K. Bozhanaj 45' M 6.50
57
L. Belardinelli M 7.30
16 T. Reinhart T. Reinhart 45' M 6.20
90
M. Portanova M 6.70
93
M. Lambourde 1 ⚽ 88' M 7.60
11
C. Gondo 74' F 6.60
Bench
9
A. Novakovich F
33
A. Tripaldelli 48' D 6.70
8 Charlys Charlys M
26
M. Bertagnoli 48' M 6.50
23
M. Rover 5' F
80
N. Girma 19' F 6.50
77
T. Fumagalli F
Palermo Palermo 3-4-2-1
66 Jesse Joronen Jesse Joronen G 6.50
32 Pietro Ceccaroni Pietro Ceccaroni 84' D 6.90
29 Patryk Peda Patryk Peda D 7.30
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi 1 👟 D 6.90
3
M 7.00
10 Filippo Ranocchia Filippo Ranocchia M 7.20
8 Jacopo Segre Jacopo Segre 66' M 6.20
18 Rui Modesto Rui Modesto 74' M 6.60
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 1 ⚽ F 7.60
21 Jérémy Le Douaron Jérémy Le Douaron 74' F 6.50
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo F 6.30
Bench
14 Aljoša Vasić Aljoša Vasić 19' M 6.20
19 Bartosz Bereszyński Bartosz Bereszyński D
7 Dennis Johnsen Dennis Johnsen 27' F 6.70
11 Emmanuel Gyasi Emmanuel Gyasi 9' D 6.70
96 Giangiacomo Magnani Giangiacomo Magnani D
13 M. Bani M. Bani D
17 Samuel Giovane Samuel Giovane M
Best on the pitch
A. Palumbo
A. Palumbo
F · Palermo
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 52 pass
M. Lambourde
M · Reggiana
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
L. Belardinelli
M · Reggiana
7.30
· 25 pass
Patryk Peda
Patryk Peda
D · Palermo
7.30
3 shots · 57 pass
F. Vicari
D · Reggiana
7.20
· 19 pass
Filippo Ranocchia
Filippo Ranocchia
M · Palermo
7.20
2 shots · 96 pass
Reggiana Reggiana — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Micai G 93 7.00 — — — 21 11% — 1 —
S. Bonetti D 93 7.00 — — — 18 16% 2 — —
Mateus Lusuardi D 93 6.20 — — — 14 12% 1 1 —
F. Vicari D 93 7.20 — — — 19 12% 1 — —
A. Papetti D 83 6.20 — — — 15 10% — — 1
K. Bozhanaj M 45 6.50 — — — 9 6% 2 — —
L. Belardinelli M 93 7.30 — — — 25 15% 2 — —
T. Reinhart M 45 6.20 — — — 7 4% — — —
M. Portanova M 93 6.70 — — — 16 8% 3 — —
M. Lambourde M 88 7.60 1 — 1 14 12% 4 — —
C. Gondo F 74 6.60 — — 2 10 3% — — —
A. Tripaldelli D 48 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
M. Bertagnoli M 48 6.50 — — — 14 13% 1 — —
M. Rover F 5 — — — — 1 — — 1 —
N. Girma F 19 6.50 — — — 2 — 1 — —
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jesse Joronen G 93 6.50 — — — 17 14% — — —
Pietro Ceccaroni D 84 6.90 — — — 57 53% 1 — —
Patryk Peda D 93 7.30 — — 3 57 53% 3 — —
N. Pierozzi D 93 6.90 — 1 — 39 38% 1 — —
M 93 7.00 — — — 38 30% 3 — —
Filippo Ranocchia M 93 7.20 — — 2 96 86% 3 — —
Jacopo Segre M 66 6.20 — — — 20 17% 2 — —
Rui Modesto M 74 6.60 — — 1 23 19% 2 — —
A. Palumbo F 93 7.60 1 — 4 52 46% — 1 —
Jérémy Le Douaron F 74 6.50 — — 1 8 5% — — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 93 6.30 — — 2 8 6% 1 — —
Aljoša Vasić M 19 6.20 — — 1 4 3% — — —
Dennis Johnsen F 27 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Emmanuel Gyasi D 9 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Reggiana vs Palermo?
The final score was Reggiana 1–1 Palermo.
What did the model predict before Reggiana vs Palermo?
The model assigned 14% probability to a Reggiana win, 24% to a draw, and 60% to an Palermo win.